Seneca Falls, NY
Latest: 2024
Leans Republican — 33K residents — 1 counties
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 87.3% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(9) | 4.4% |
▶Black / African American(5) | 3.7% |
▶Asian(5) | 0.6% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(5) | 0.3% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.9% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 16.3% | 43.8% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 12.3% | 33.0% |
| Mainline Protestant | 6.3% | 16.8% |
| Other | 2.4% | 6.4% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.2% | 3.3% |
| Non-religious | 62.7% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+11.8 |
| 2020 | Trump+9.1 |
| 2016 | Trump+11.0 |
| 2012 | Obama+9.1 |
| 2008 | Obama+2.6 |
| 2004 | Bush+6.5 |
| 2000 | Gore+0.7 |
| 1996 | Clinton+13.0 |
| 1992 | Clinton+2.5 |
Seneca Falls, NY is a metro area that has a population of 32,920. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+11.8. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 44.0% | 55.7% | R+11.8 | R+2.7 |
| 2020 | 44.2% | 53.3% | R+9.1 | D+2.0 |
| 2016 | 40.8% | 51.8% | R+11.0 | R+20.1 |
| 2012 | 53.5% | 44.4% | D+9.1 | D+6.5 |
| 2008 | 50.3% | 47.7% | D+2.6 | D+9.1 |
| 2004 | 45.5% | 52.1% | R+6.5 | R+7.3 |
| 2000 | 47.7% | 47.0% | D+0.7 | R+12.3 |
| 1996 | 48.9% | 35.9% | D+13.0 | D+10.5 |
| 1992 | 38.8% | 36.3% | D+2.5 | D+9.9 |
| 1988 | 45.8% | 53.2% | R+7.4 | D+24.7 |
| 1984 | 33.7% | 65.8% | R+32.1 | R+16.3 |
| 1980 | 36.6% | 52.4% | R+15.8 | R+1.6 |
| 1976 | 42.5% | 56.7% | R+14.2 | D+21.4 |
| 1972 | 32.1% | 67.7% | R+35.6 | R+20.3 |
| 1968 | 39.2% | 54.5% | R+15.3 | R+48.3 |
| 1964 | 66.5% | 33.4% | D+33.0 | D+54.1 |
| 1960 | 39.4% | 60.6% | R+21.1 | D+27.3 |
| 1956 | 25.8% | 74.2% | R+48.4 | R+7.9 |
| 1952 | 28.5% | 69.0% | R+40.5 | R+20.6 |
| 1948 | 38.2% | 58.1% | R+19.9 | — |
What defines Seneca Falls, NY?
Seneca Falls, NY has been won by both parties in the last 6 presidential elections (2D, 4R) — a genuine swing geography.
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Counties in Seneca Falls, NY
2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.
Sort:
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seneca | 33K | R+11.8 | 6,610 | 8,379 | 15,034 | 100.0% |
1 countiesTotal votes: 15,034
Ask the Historian
Explore Seneca Falls, NY's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2012, Republicans in 2024
- Highly elastic — margins have ranged 20.9 points across recent elections, suggesting a volatile electorate
- Closest recent contest: 2008 at just 2.6 points
Who Lives Here
A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
| Group | Seneca Falls, NY | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 87.3% | 57.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(9) | 4.4% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.9% | 4.0% |
▶Black / African American(5) | 3.7% | 12.2% |
▶Asian(5) | 0.6% | 6.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(5) | 0.3% | 0.9% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 0.1% | 0.9% |
Method notes
Religious Adherents
Population that are religious adherents:
37.3%
Catholic-Evangelical edge: +6.3pp (vs national 4.5pp). A moderate religious balance between Catholic and Evangelical traditions.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16.3% | 43.8% | — | — | |
| 12.3% | 33.0% | — | — | |
| 6.3% | 16.8% | — | — | |
| 2.4% | 6.4% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 1.2% | 3.3% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 62.7% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Seneca Falls, NY metro area? 32,920 residents across 1 counties.
Demographics
Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
25% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 8pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+3 on average nationally.
Population & electorate
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Total population
33K
Share of U.S. population
0.01%
Voting-age population
73.9%
Economic profile
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Median household income
$68,089
Poverty rate
13.5%
College degree
25.2%
Homeownership
71.0%
Community profile
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Median age
43.0 yrs
Age 18–29
13.4%
Age 65+
21.6%
Foreign born
3.0%
Non-English at home
7.7%
English only
92.3%
Turnout in Seneca Falls, NY
Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
61.8%
-2.4pp
24,341
1988–2024
How competitive is Seneca Falls, NY?
Likely RAvg margin: R+10.6 (last 3 elections)
2008
D+2.6
2012
D+9.1
2016
R+11.0
2020
R+9.1
2024
R+11.8
20.9pp
3
R+4.0
Do voters in Seneca Falls, NY split their tickets?
Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.
Heavy splitting (23/100)
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+11.8 | R+6.6 | 5.2pp |
Average divergence across office pairs: 13.9pp
Located In
Seneca Falls, NY sits inside these higher-level geographies.
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