Elmira, NY
Safe Republican — shifted 3.3pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 82K residents — 1 counties
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 84.0% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(13) | 3.8% |
▶Black / African American(8) | 6.5% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.5% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(5) | 0.8% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.8% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 20.3% | 46.6% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 9.7% | 22.3% |
| Mainline Protestant | 7.3% | 16.8% |
| Black Protestant | 4.5% | 10.2% |
| Other | 1.6% | 3.7% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.7% | 1.6% |
| Orthodox Christian | 0.2% | 0.4% |
| Non-religious | 56.4% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+16.7 |
| 2020 | Trump+13.4 |
| 2016 | Trump+17.6 |
| 2012 | Romney+2.3 |
| 2008 | McCain+1.2 |
| 2004 | Bush+10.9 |
| 2000 | Bush+3.6 |
| 1996 | Clinton+7.5 |
| 1992 | Bush+2.5 |
Elmira, NY is a metro area that has a population of 82,147. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+16.7. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 41.5% | 58.2% | R+16.7 | R+3.3 |
| 2020 | 42.2% | 55.6% | R+13.4 | D+4.1 |
| 2016 | 38.1% | 55.6% | R+17.6 | R+15.2 |
| 2012 | 48.0% | 50.3% | R+2.3 | R+1.1 |
| 2008 | 48.8% | 50.0% | R+1.2 | D+9.6 |
| 2004 | 43.7% | 54.6% | R+10.9 | R+7.3 |
| 2000 | 46.2% | 49.8% | R+3.6 | R+11.1 |
| 1996 | 47.4% | 39.9% | D+7.5 | D+10.0 |
| 1992 | 38.6% | 41.1% | R+2.5 | D+10.9 |
| 1988 | 43.0% | 56.4% | R+13.4 | D+12.5 |
| 1984 | 36.9% | 62.8% | R+25.9 | R+12.2 |
| 1980 | 39.1% | 52.9% | R+13.7 | R+4.7 |
| 1976 | 45.3% | 54.3% | R+9.0 | D+25.8 |
| 1972 | 32.5% | 67.3% | R+34.8 | R+21.2 |
| 1968 | 38.7% | 52.3% | R+13.6 | R+41.8 |
| 1964 | 64.1% | 35.8% | D+28.3 | D+47.6 |
| 1960 | 40.3% | 59.6% | R+19.3 | D+29.0 |
| 1956 | 25.8% | 74.2% | R+48.3 | R+8.4 |
| 1952 | 28.7% | 68.6% | R+39.9 | R+13.4 |
| 1948 | 35.1% | 61.6% | R+26.6 | — |
What defines Elmira, NY?
Elmira, NY voted overwhelmingly Republican in 2024. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, revealing how its political character has evolved over more than a century.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Counties in Elmira, NY
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chemung | 82K | R+16.7 | 15,572 | 21,861 | 37,560 | 100.0% |
Ask the Historian
Key Insights
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- The 2008 election was decided by just 1.2 points — razor-thin
- Turnout decreased by 3.0 percentage points since the previous presidential election
Who Lives Here
| Group | Elmira, NY | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 84.0% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(8) | 6.5% | 12.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.8% | 4.0% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(13) | 3.8% | 19.3% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.5% | 6.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(5) | 0.8% | 0.9% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.3% | 0.9% |
Religious Adherents
Catholic-Evangelical edge: +19.8pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20.3% | 46.6% | — | — | |
| 9.7% | 22.3% | — | — | |
| 7.3% | 16.8% | — | — | |
| 4.5% | 10.2% | — | — | |
| 1.6% | 3.7% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.7% | 1.6% | — | — |
| 0.2% | 0.4% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 56.4% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Elmira, NY metro area? 82,147 residents across 1 counties.
Demographics
27% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 6pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+3 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in Elmira, NY
How competitive is Elmira, NY?
Do voters in Elmira, NY split their tickets?
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+16.7 | R+12.7 | 4.0pp |