Bowling Green, KY
Safe Republican — shifted 6.1pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 187K residents — 4 counties
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 78.3% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(14) | 6.1% |
▶Black / African American(9) | 7.0% |
▶Asian(6) | 3.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(9) | 0.6% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.4% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(1) | 0.5% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.7% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 34.1% | 71.6% |
| Mainline Protestant | 5.7% | 12.1% |
| Catholic | 5.2% | 10.9% |
| Other | 2.0% | 4.1% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.9% | 1.9% |
| Black Protestant | 0.5% | 1.1% |
| Non-religious | 52.4% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+35.7 |
| 2020 | Trump+29.5 |
| 2016 | Trump+34.8 |
| 2012 | Romney+28.4 |
| 2008 | McCain+25.1 |
| 2004 | Bush+31.9 |
| 2000 | Bush+29.2 |
| 1996 | Dole+17.8 |
| 1992 | Bush+13.5 |
Bowling Green, KY is a metro area that has a population of 186,959. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+35.7. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 31.4% | 67.1% | R+35.7 | R+6.1 |
| 2020 | 34.3% | 63.8% | R+29.5 | D+5.3 |
| 2016 | 30.0% | 64.9% | R+34.8 | R+6.4 |
| 2012 | 35.0% | 63.4% | R+28.4 | R+3.3 |
| 2008 | 36.9% | 62.0% | R+25.1 | D+6.7 |
| 2004 | 33.7% | 65.6% | R+31.9 | R+2.7 |
| 2000 | 34.7% | 63.9% | R+29.2 | R+11.4 |
| 1996 | 37.6% | 55.3% | R+17.8 | R+4.3 |
| 1992 | 37.3% | 50.8% | R+13.5 | D+17.0 |
| 1988 | 34.6% | 65.1% | R+30.5 | D+6.8 |
| 1984 | 31.2% | 68.5% | R+37.3 | R+17.5 |
| 1980 | 38.8% | 58.6% | R+19.8 | R+15.4 |
| 1976 | 47.3% | 51.8% | R+4.4 | D+35.8 |
| 1972 | 29.2% | 69.4% | R+40.2 | R+11.9 |
| 1968 | 25.1% | 53.3% | R+28.3 | R+36.6 |
| 1964 | 54.0% | 45.7% | D+8.3 | D+34.3 |
| 1960 | 37.0% | 63.0% | R+25.9 | R+5.1 |
| 1956 | 39.5% | 60.3% | R+20.8 | R+3.9 |
| 1952 | 41.4% | 58.3% | R+16.9 | R+16.1 |
| 1948 | 48.0% | 48.8% | R+0.8 | — |
What defines Bowling Green, KY?
Bowling Green, KY voted overwhelmingly Republican in 2024. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, revealing how its political character has evolved over more than a century.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Counties in Bowling Green, KY
Ask the Historian
Key Insights
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 35.7% margin
- Swung 6.1 points toward Republican between 2020 and 2024
Who Lives Here
| Group | Bowling Green, KY | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 78.3% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(9) | 7.0% | 12.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(14) | 6.1% | 19.3% |
▶Asian(6) | 3.9% | 6.0% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.7% | 4.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(9) | 0.6% | 0.9% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(1) | 0.5% | 0.2% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.4% | 0.9% |
Religious Adherents
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -65.2pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34.1% | 71.6% | — | — | |
| 5.7% | 12.1% | — | — | |
| 5.2% | 10.9% | — | — | |
| 2.0% | 4.1% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.9% | 1.9% | — | — |
| 0.5% | 1.1% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 52.4% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Bowling Green, KY metro area? 186,959 residents across 4 counties.
Demographics
28% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 5pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+3 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in Bowling Green, KY
How competitive is Bowling Green, KY?
Do voters in Bowling Green, KY split their tickets?
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+29.5 | R+22.9 | 6.6pp |