Elizabethtown, KY
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — shifted 5.1pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 127K residents — 2 counties
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 76.3% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(13) | 6.1% |
▶Black / African American(8) | 10.1% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(4) | 0.1% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(4) | 0.2% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(4) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 5.2% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 31.8% | 72.6% |
| Catholic | 5.2% | 12.0% |
| Mainline Protestant | 3.9% | 9.0% |
| Other | 1.5% | 3.5% |
| Black Protestant | 1.3% | 2.9% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.9% | 2.1% |
| Non-religious | 56.1% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+33.4 |
| 2020 | Trump+28.3 |
| 2016 | Trump+33.4 |
| 2012 | Romney+22.9 |
| 2008 | McCain+22.7 |
| 2004 | Bush+36.3 |
| 2000 | Bush+26.6 |
| 1996 | Dole+5.5 |
| 1992 | Bush+9.2 |
Elizabethtown, KY is a metro area that has a population of 127,049. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+33.4. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 32.5% | 65.9% | R+33.4 | R+5.1 |
| 2020 | 34.9% | 63.2% | R+28.3 | D+5.1 |
| 2016 | 30.7% | 64.2% | R+33.4 | R+10.5 |
| 2012 | 37.7% | 60.6% | R+22.9 | R+0.2 |
| 2008 | 38.0% | 60.8% | R+22.7 | D+13.6 |
| 2004 | 31.4% | 67.8% | R+36.3 | R+9.8 |
| 2000 | 35.7% | 62.3% | R+26.6 | R+21.1 |
| 1996 | 41.8% | 47.3% | R+5.5 | D+3.7 |
| 1992 | 37.6% | 46.8% | R+9.2 | D+17.7 |
| 1988 | 36.3% | 63.3% | R+27.0 | D+10.1 |
| 1984 | 31.2% | 68.2% | R+37.0 | R+31.6 |
| 1980 | 45.8% | 51.2% | R+5.5 | R+15.1 |
| 1976 | 54.1% | 44.4% | D+9.6 | D+42.4 |
| 1972 | 32.2% | 64.9% | R+32.8 | R+23.9 |
| 1968 | 34.4% | 43.2% | R+8.8 | R+43.4 |
| 1964 | 67.0% | 32.4% | D+34.6 | D+47.3 |
| 1960 | 43.6% | 56.4% | R+12.8 | R+3.6 |
| 1956 | 45.2% | 54.3% | R+9.2 | R+18.4 |
| 1952 | 54.4% | 45.2% | D+9.2 | R+14.4 |
| 1948 | 60.6% | 37.0% | D+23.6 | — |
What defines Elizabethtown, KY?
Elizabethtown, KY voted overwhelmingly Republican in 2024. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, revealing how its political character has evolved over more than a century.
Constituent Counties
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Small-town rural republican 3
Henderson, KY
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Ozark, AL
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Counties in Elizabethtown, KY
2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.
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Ask the Historian
Explore Elizabethtown, KY's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 33.4% margin
- College attainment is 24% — 9pp below the national average. Similar education levels correlate with Republican lean nationally
Who Lives Here
A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
| Group | Elizabethtown, KY | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 76.3% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(8) | 10.1% | 12.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(13) | 6.1% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 5.2% | 4.0% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.9% | 6.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(4) | 0.2% | 0.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(4) | 0.1% | 0.9% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(4) | 0.1% | 0.2% |
Method notes
Religious Adherents
Population that are religious adherents:
43.8%
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -65.1pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31.8% | 72.6% | — | — | |
| 5.2% | 12.0% | — | — | |
| 3.9% | 9.0% | — | — | |
| 1.5% | 3.5% | — | — | |
| 1.3% | 2.9% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.9% | 2.1% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 56.1% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Elizabethtown, KY metro area? 127,049 residents across 2 counties.
Demographics
Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
24% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 9pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+9 on average nationally.
Population & electorate
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Total population
127K
Share of U.S. population
0.04%
Voting-age population
73.2%
Economic profile
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Median household income
$67,578
Poverty rate
13.6%
College degree
23.7%
Homeownership
64.6%
Community profile
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Median age
37.7 yrs
Age 18–29
14.8%
Age 65+
15.5%
Foreign born
4.0%
Non-English at home
6.4%
English only
93.6%
Turnout in Elizabethtown, KY
Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
59.5%
-1.0pp
92,965
1988–2024
How competitive is Elizabethtown, KY?
Safe RAvg margin: R+31.7 (last 3 elections)
2008
R+22.7
2012
R+22.9
2016
R+33.4
2020
R+28.3
2024
R+33.4
10.7pp
0
R+28.2
Do voters in Elizabethtown, KY split their tickets?
Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.
Heavy splitting (26/100)
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+28.3 | R+20.7 | 7.6pp |
Average divergence across office pairs: 13.5pp
Located In
Elizabethtown, KY sits inside these higher-level geographies.
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