How did Clearlake, CA vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Clearlake, CA voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+1.4. Kamala D Harris received 12,794 votes and Donald Trump received 13,161 out of 26,759 total votes cast, a 7.7-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is Clearlake, CA's political history?

Clearlake, CA has 40 presidential elections on record, spanning 1868 to 2024. Democrats have won 24 and Republicans 16 of those contests. The largest single-election swing was 123.7 points in 1876.

What are the demographics of Clearlake, CA?

Clearlake, CA has a population of 68,152 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 64.0% non-Hispanic white, 24.6% Hispanic, 2.2% Black. About 18% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $60,621.

Which places are most similar to Clearlake, CA?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar metro areas to Clearlake, CA are Ukiah, CA, Taos, NM, Española, NM. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Clearlake, CA

Latest: 2024↓ R+7.7 vs 2020

Competitive — shifted 7.7pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 68K residents — 1 counties

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POPULATION
68K
COUNTIES
1
PRES MARGIN
R+1.4
2024
TURNOUT
51.2%
MEDIAN INCOME
$61K

Place Story

What defines Clearlake, CA

Methodology

Tilts Democratic
- Tilt D
Competitive with a modest baseline — persuasion matters on the margin.
Biggest swing: D+123.7 in 1876
- 1872 → 1876
Volatile behavior — treat historical margins with caution.
Catholic edge: 41pp over Evangelicals
- 60% Catholic / 19% Evangelical
Correlates nationally with Democratic-leaning behavior.
Ticket-splitting: Senate ran 97.2pp ahead of Governor
- Divergence 97.2pp in 2018
Persuadable voters present — downballot races can run independent of presidential.
Demographically distinctive: 18% college+ (-18pp vs national)
- 18% college+ (-18pp vs national)

Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer

Similarity Explorer

Similar metro areas

Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.

8 visible matches

Ukiah, CA

Educated rural democratic

D+26.8

Similarity score90%

Taos, NM

Educated rural democratic

D+47.5

Similarity score89%

Española, NM

Diverse rural competitive

D+19.4

Similarity score88%

Las Vegas, NM

Diverse rural competitive

D+25.9

Similarity score87%

Muscatine, IA

Small-town rural republican 2

R+14.9

Similarity score82%

Santa Fe, NM

Educated rural democratic

D+48.9

Similarity score81%

Monticello, NY

Small-town rural republican 2

R+16.6

Similarity score81%

Pueblo, CO

Small-town rural republican 2

R+5.1

Similarity score81%

Constituent Geography

Counties in Clearlake, CA

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Lake	68K	R+1.4	12,794	13,161	26,759	100.0%

1 countiesTotal votes: 26,759

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Clearlake, CA's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Clearlake, CA metro area voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Clearlake, CACensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 64.0%Hispanic 24.6%Multiracial 4.3%Native American 3.0%Black 2.2%Asian 1.5%Native Hawaiian 0.3%

Group	Clearlake, CA	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	64.0%	57.4%
▶Hispanic / Latino(12)	24.6%	19.3%
Multiracial / Other	4.3%	4.0%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2)	3.0%	0.9%
▶Black / African American(3)	2.2%	12.2%
▶Asian(5)	1.5%	6.0%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(7)	0.7%	0.9%
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(3)	0.3%	0.2%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

30.4%(20.7K people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: +36.3pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Catholic	18.2%	59.8%	—	—
Evangelical Protestant	5.8%	19.1%	—	—
Other	5.4%	17.8%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	2.4%	7.7%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	0.8%	2.6%	—	—
Black Protestant	0.2%	0.6%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	69.6%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Explore Catholic adherence nationally

Who lives in the Clearlake, CA metro area? 68,152 residents across 1 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

Clearlake, CA vs National68K residents

18% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 15pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+22 on average nationally.

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

68K

local

68KNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.02%

local

0.02%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

76.6%

local

76.6%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$60,621

local

$60,621National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

17.0%

local

17.0%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

17.8%

local

17.8%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

72.2%

local

72.2%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

44.1 yrs

local

44.1 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

11.3%

local

11.3%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

23.9%

local

23.9%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

9.9%

local

9.9%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

19.7%

local

19.7%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

80.3%

local

80.3%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Clearlake, CA

Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.

2024 Turnout

51.2%

vs Previous

-3.9pp

Voting-Age Pop

52,231

History

1988–2024

Competitiveness

How competitive is Clearlake, CA?

Tilt DAvg margin: D+2.9 (last 3 elections)

2008

D+19.2

2012

D+16.9

2016

D+3.6

2020

D+6.3

2024

R+1.4

Elasticity

20.6pp

margin range

Party Flips

last 30 years

5-Elec Avg

D+8.9

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Clearlake, CA split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyHeavy splitting (0/100)

2024 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
President vs Senate	R+1.4	R+2.3	0.9pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 29.1pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Clearlake, CA sits inside these higher-level geographies.

California(State)

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