Española, NM
Latest: 2024
Safe Democratic — shifted 14.2pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40K residents — 1 counties
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 14.0% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(9) | 67.2% |
▶Black / African American(7) | 0.7% |
▶Asian(3) | 0.6% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(4) | 17.0% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(1) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 0.5% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 65.4% | 82.0% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 7.2% | 9.0% |
| Other | 5.9% | 7.4% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 4.5% | 5.6% |
| Mainline Protestant | 1.3% | 1.6% |
| Non-religious | 20.2% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris+19.4 |
| 2020 | Biden+33.6 |
| 2016 | Clinton+40.3 |
| 2012 | Obama+52.6 |
| 2008 | Obama+50.9 |
| 2004 | Kerry+30.7 |
| 2000 | Gore+38.6 |
| 1996 | Clinton+47.9 |
| 1992 | Clinton+44.6 |
Española, NM is a metro area that has a population of 40,070. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+19.4. Akashic Edge tracks 29 presidential elections here, dating back to 1912.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 58.6% | 39.2% | D+19.4 | R+14.2 |
| 2020 | 66.1% | 32.5% | D+33.6 | R+6.7 |
| 2016 | 64.5% | 24.2% | D+40.3 | R+12.3 |
| 2012 | 74.7% | 22.1% | D+52.6 | D+1.7 |
| 2008 | 75.0% | 24.1% | D+50.9 | D+20.2 |
| 2004 | 65.0% | 34.3% | D+30.7 | R+7.9 |
| 2000 | 67.5% | 28.9% | D+38.6 | R+9.3 |
| 1996 | 70.5% | 22.6% | D+47.9 | D+3.3 |
| 1992 | 67.9% | 23.2% | D+44.6 | D+2.5 |
| 1988 | 70.6% | 28.5% | D+42.2 | D+16.8 |
| 1984 | 62.2% | 36.9% | D+25.3 | D+2.2 |
| 1980 | 59.0% | 35.8% | D+23.1 | R+14.3 |
| 1976 | 68.2% | 30.7% | D+37.4 | D+24.8 |
| 1972 | 55.3% | 42.7% | D+12.7 | D+3.2 |
| 1968 | 52.7% | 43.2% | D+9.5 | R+30.3 |
| 1964 | 69.6% | 29.8% | D+39.8 | D+14.4 |
| 1960 | 62.7% | 37.3% | D+25.4 | D+28.5 |
| 1956 | 48.4% | 51.6% | R+3.1 | R+5.1 |
| 1952 | 51.0% | 49.0% | D+1.9 | R+3.2 |
| 1948 | 52.5% | 47.5% | D+5.1 | — |
What defines Española, NM?
Española, NM has been trending Republican — 33pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a majority-minority electorate where racial demographics are the primary driver of partisan lean.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.
Counties in Española, NM
2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.
Sort:
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rio Arriba | 40K | D+19.4 | 9,373 | 6,268 | 15,989 | 100.0% |
1 countiesTotal votes: 15,989
Ask the Historian
Explore Española, NM's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
- Swung 14.2 points toward Republican between 2020 and 2024
- Shifted 33.2 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections
Who Lives Here
A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
| Group | Española, NM | National |
|---|---|---|
▶Hispanic / Latino(9) | 67.2% | 19.3% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(4) | 17.0% | 0.9% |
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 14.0% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(7) | 0.7% | 12.2% |
▶Asian(3) | 0.6% | 6.0% |
Multiracial / Other | 0.5% | 4.0% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(1) | 0.1% | 0.2% |
Method notes
Religious Adherents
Population that are religious adherents:
79.8%
Catholic-Evangelical edge: +68.5pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 65.4% | 82.0% | — | — | |
| 7.2% | 9.0% | — | — | |
| 5.9% | 7.4% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 4.5% | 5.6% | — | — |
| 1.3% | 1.6% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 20.2% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Española, NM metro area? 40,070 residents across 1 counties.
Demographics
Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
19% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 14pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+15 on average nationally.
Population & electorate
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Total population
40K
Share of U.S. population
0.01%
Voting-age population
76.6%
Economic profile
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Median household income
$57,155
Poverty rate
18.2%
College degree
19.0%
Homeownership
80.0%
Community profile
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Median age
42.0 yrs
Age 18–29
13.3%
Age 65+
21.8%
Foreign born
6.3%
Non-English at home
51.4%
English only
48.6%
Turnout in Española, NM
Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
52.1%
-2.1pp
30,680
1988–2024
How competitive is Española, NM?
Safe DAvg margin: D+31.1 (last 3 elections)
2008
D+50.9
2012
D+52.6
2016
D+40.3
2020
D+33.6
2024
D+19.4
33.2pp
0
D+39.3
Do voters in Española, NM split their tickets?
Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.
Heavy splitting (0/100)
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | D+19.4 | D+29.0 | 9.6pp |
Average divergence across office pairs: 17.4pp
Located In
Española, NM sits inside these higher-level geographies.
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