Las Vegas, NM
Safe Democratic — shifted 11.4pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 31K residents — 2 counties
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 18.5% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(12) | 75.0% |
▶Black / African American(5) | 1.6% |
▶Asian(2) | 0.3% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(2) | 0.1% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(4) | 2.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.3% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 75.7% | 90.8% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 5.3% | 6.3% |
| Other | 1.7% | 2.0% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.2% | 1.4% |
| Mainline Protestant | 0.7% | 0.9% |
| Non-religious | 16.6% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris+25.9 |
| 2020 | Biden+37.3 |
| 2016 | Clinton+44.3 |
| 2012 | Obama+56.0 |
| 2008 | Obama+60.1 |
| 2004 | Kerry+42.3 |
| 2000 | Gore+45.0 |
| 1996 | Clinton+51.0 |
| 1992 | Clinton+41.4 |
Las Vegas, NM is a metro area that has a population of 30,999. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+25.9. Akashic Edge tracks 29 presidential elections here, dating back to 1912.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 62.0% | 36.0% | D+25.9 | R+11.4 |
| 2020 | 67.8% | 30.4% | D+37.3 | R+6.9 |
| 2016 | 66.9% | 22.6% | D+44.3 | R+11.7 |
| 2012 | 76.5% | 20.5% | D+56.0 | R+4.1 |
| 2008 | 79.5% | 19.4% | D+60.1 | D+17.8 |
| 2004 | 70.7% | 28.4% | D+42.3 | R+2.8 |
| 2000 | 70.4% | 25.4% | D+45.0 | R+6.0 |
| 1996 | 71.8% | 20.8% | D+51.0 | D+9.6 |
| 1992 | 65.6% | 24.1% | D+41.4 | D+6.4 |
| 1988 | 66.8% | 31.9% | D+35.0 | D+17.4 |
| 1984 | 58.0% | 40.4% | D+17.6 | D+4.0 |
| 1980 | 53.8% | 40.3% | D+13.6 | R+10.1 |
| 1976 | 61.1% | 37.4% | D+23.7 | D+22.0 |
| 1972 | 49.9% | 48.2% | D+1.7 | D+1.9 |
| 1968 | 48.5% | 48.7% | R+0.2 | R+32.4 |
| 1964 | 66.0% | 33.8% | D+32.2 | D+18.9 |
| 1960 | 56.6% | 43.4% | D+13.3 | D+26.8 |
| 1956 | 43.2% | 56.8% | R+13.5 | R+2.8 |
| 1952 | 44.6% | 55.4% | R+10.8 | R+10.2 |
| 1948 | 49.7% | 50.3% | R+0.6 | — |
What defines Las Vegas, NM?
Las Vegas, NM has been trending Republican — 30pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a majority-minority electorate where racial demographics are the primary driver of partisan lean.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Counties in Las Vegas, NM
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Miguel | 27K | D+27.9 | 6,985 | 3,887 | 11,108 | 81.7% |
| Mora | 4K | D+17.3 | 1,439 | 1,010 | 2,487 | 18.3% |
Ask the Historian
Key Insights
- Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Democratic landslide with a 25.9% margin
- Swung 11.4 points toward Republican between 2020 and 2024
Who Lives Here
| Group | Las Vegas, NM | National |
|---|---|---|
▶Hispanic / Latino(12) | 75.0% | 19.3% |
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 18.5% | 57.4% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(4) | 2.3% | 0.9% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.3% | 4.0% |
▶Black / African American(5) | 1.6% | 12.2% |
▶Asian(2) | 0.3% | 6.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(2) | 0.1% | 0.9% |
Religious Adherents
Catholic-Evangelical edge: +80.0pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 75.7% | 90.8% | — | — | |
| 5.3% | 6.3% | — | — | |
| 1.7% | 2.0% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 1.2% | 1.4% | — | — |
| 0.7% | 0.9% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 16.6% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Las Vegas, NM metro area? 30,999 residents across 2 counties.
Demographics
28% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 5pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+3 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in Las Vegas, NM
How competitive is Las Vegas, NM?
Do voters in Las Vegas, NM split their tickets?
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | D+25.9 | D+35.3 | 9.4pp |