How did Muscatine, IA vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Muscatine, IA voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+14.9. Kamala D Harris received 8,212 votes and Donald Trump received 11,152 out of 19,752 total votes cast, a 7.9-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is Muscatine, IA's political history?

Muscatine, IA has 40 presidential elections on record, spanning 1868 to 2024. Democrats have won 14 and Republicans 26 of those contests. The largest single-election swing was 43.6 points in 1916.

What are the demographics of Muscatine, IA?

Muscatine, IA has a population of 42,559 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 75.0% non-Hispanic white, 18.8% Hispanic, 2.3% Black. About 23% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $69,396.

Which places are most similar to Muscatine, IA?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar metro areas to Muscatine, IA are Sterling, IL, Marshalltown, IA, Michigan City-La Porte, IN. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Muscatine, IA

Latest: 2024↓ R+7.9 vs 2020

Leans Republican — shifted 7.9pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 43K residents — 1 counties

Ask Historian Open in Explore CompareShare image

Race & ancestry

Group	%
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	75.0%
▶Hispanic / Latino(8)	18.8%
▶Black / African American(5)	2.3%
▶Asian(5)	0.6%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3)	0.3%
Multiracial / Other	3.0%

View full demographics →

Religious adherence

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents
Mainline Protestant	13.0%	40.0%
Catholic	11.8%	36.1%
Evangelical Protestant	5.9%	18.1%
Other	1.9%	5.8%
LDS (Mormon)	0.8%	2.4%
Non-religious	67.4%	—

View full religion →

Presidential results

Year	Result
2024	Trump+14.9
2020	Trump+7.0
2016	Trump+6.2
2012	Obama+15.9
2008	Obama+15.6
2004	Kerry+2.8
2000	Gore+3.6
1996	Clinton+11.8
1992	Clinton+5.9

View full election history →

Muscatine, IA is a metro area that has a population of 42,559. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+14.9. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.

Muscatine, IA Presidential Election Results, 1948–2024
Year	Dem %	Rep %	Margin	Swing
2024	41.6%	56.5%	R+14.9	R+7.9
2020	45.3%	52.4%	R+7.0	R+0.8
2016	42.6%	48.8%	R+6.2	R+22.1
2012	57.0%	41.1%	D+15.9	D+0.2
2008	57.1%	41.5%	D+15.6	D+12.9
2004	51.0%	48.2%	D+2.8	R+0.8
2000	50.1%	46.5%	D+3.6	R+8.2
1996	49.9%	38.1%	D+11.8	D+5.9
1992	42.0%	36.1%	D+5.9	D+4.8
1988	50.1%	49.0%	D+1.1	D+21.4
1984	39.5%	59.8%	R+20.3	R+5.6
1980	37.0%	51.7%	R+14.7	R+6.9
1976	45.3%	53.1%	R+7.8	D+18.0
1972	36.0%	61.8%	R+25.8	R+5.3
1968	36.7%	57.2%	R+20.5	R+38.7
1964	59.1%	40.9%	D+18.2	D+34.7
1960	41.7%	58.2%	R+16.5	D+3.4
1956	40.0%	59.8%	R+19.8	D+3.8
1952	38.0%	61.6%	R+23.6	R+19.0
1948	47.1%	51.7%	R+4.6	—

Political Identity

What defines Muscatine, IA?

Muscatine, IA has been trending Republican — 31pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles.

Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer

Similarity Explorer

Similar metro areas

Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.

8 visible matches

Sterling, IL

Small-town rural republican 2

R+14.7

Similarity score86%

Marshalltown, IA

Small-town rural republican 2

R+15.5

Similarity score86%

Michigan City-La Porte, IN

Small-town rural republican 2

R+14.1

Similarity score83%

Clearlake, CA

Small-town rural republican 2

R+1.4

Similarity score82%

Clinton, IA

Small-town rural republican 2

R+18.8

Similarity score81%

Amsterdam, NY

Small-town rural republican 2

R+28.6

Similarity score80%

Española, NM

Diverse rural competitive

D+19.4

Similarity score80%

Fort Madison, IA

Small-town rural republican 2

R+27.7

Similarity score78%

Constituent Geography

Counties in Muscatine, IA

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Muscatine	43K	R+14.9	8,212	11,152	19,752	100.0%

1 countiesTotal votes: 19,752

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Muscatine, IA's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Muscatine, IA metro area voted in presidential elections?”

Automated Readout

Key Insights

High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.

Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2012, Republicans in 2024
Shifted 30.8 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections
Highly elastic — margins have ranged 30.8 points across recent elections, suggesting a volatile electorate

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Muscatine, IACensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 75.0%Hispanic 18.8%Multiracial 3.0%Black 2.3%Asian 0.6%Native American 0.3%

Group	Muscatine, IA	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	75.0%	57.4%
▶Hispanic / Latino(8)	18.8%	19.3%
Multiracial / Other	3.0%	4.0%
▶Black / African American(5)	2.3%	12.2%
▶Asian(5)	0.6%	6.0%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3)	0.3%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

32.6%(13.9K people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: +13.5pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Mainline Protestant	13.0%	40.0%	—	—
Catholic	11.8%	36.1%	—	—
Evangelical Protestant	5.9%	18.1%	—	—
Other	1.9%	5.8%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	0.8%	2.4%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	67.4%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Who lives in the Muscatine, IA metro area? 42,559 residents across 1 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

Muscatine, IA vs National43K residents

23% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 10pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+9 on average nationally.

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

43K

local

43KNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.01%

local

0.01%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

74.4%

local

74.4%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$69,396

local

$69,396National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

13.7%

local

13.7%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

23.1%

local

23.1%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

73.9%

local

73.9%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

39.6 yrs

local

39.6 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

13.8%

local

13.8%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

18.1%

local

18.1%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

6.8%

local

6.8%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

14.1%

local

14.1%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

85.9%

local

85.9%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Muscatine, IA

Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.

2024 Turnout

62.3%

vs Previous

-2.9pp

Voting-Age Pop

31,680

History

1988–2024

Competitiveness

How competitive is Muscatine, IA?

Lean RAvg margin: R+9.4 (last 3 elections)

2008

D+15.6

2012

D+15.9

2016

R+6.2

2020

R+7.0

2024

R+14.9

Elasticity

30.8pp

margin range

Party Flips

last 30 years

5-Elec Avg

D+0.7

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Muscatine, IA split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyHeavy splitting (14/100)

2022 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
Senate vs Governor	R+15.7	R+22.3	6.6pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 15.2pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Muscatine, IA sits inside these higher-level geographies.

Iowa(State)

Upgrade Path

Unlock Metro Area Analytics

Advance from the public dossier into precinct-level, insight-rich district intelligence.

Target plan Pro$33/mo

Precinct data, Smart Insights, full history, and export controls tailored to place pages.

Precinct-Level Data

See results for every neighborhood and voting precinct

Smart Insights

Automated highlights from recent election patterns

Full Historical Access

165 years of election data at every level of geography

CSV Exports

Download any table or chart as a CSV file

Upgrade to Pro$33/mo