How did Fairbanks-College, AK vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Fairbanks-College, AK voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+17.9. Kamala D Harris received 17,070 votes and Donald Trump received 24,887 out of 43,760 total votes cast, a 3.2-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is Fairbanks-College, AK's political history?

Fairbanks-College, AK has 3 presidential elections on record, spanning 2016 to 2024. Democrats have won 0 and Republicans 3 of those contests. The largest single-election swing was 5.9 points in 2020.

What are the demographics of Fairbanks-College, AK?

Fairbanks-College, AK has a population of 95,460 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 66.8% non-Hispanic white, 8.5% Hispanic, 4.1% Black. About 33% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $88,267.

Which places are most similar to Fairbanks-College, AK?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar metro areas to Fairbanks-College, AK are Anchorage, AK, Jacksonville, NC, Lincoln, NE. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Fairbanks-College, AK

Latest: 2024↓ R+3.2 vs 2020

Safe Republican — shifted 3.2pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 95K residents — 1 counties

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Race & ancestry

Group	%
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	66.8%
▶Hispanic / Latino(17)	8.5%
▶Black / African American(9)	4.1%
▶Asian(6)	2.8%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(7)	0.3%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(4)	6.2%
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(4)	0.7%
Multiracial / Other	10.9%

View full demographics →

Religious adherence

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents
Evangelical Protestant	17.3%	57.1%
Other	5.4%	17.9%
LDS (Mormon)	4.4%	14.7%
Mainline Protestant	3.0%	9.9%
Catholic	2.4%	8.0%
Black Protestant	2.1%	7.0%
Non-religious	69.7%	—

View full religion →

Presidential results

Year	Result
2024	Trump+17.9
2020	Trump+14.6
2016	Trump+20.5

View full election history →

Fairbanks-College, AK is a metro area that has a population of 95,460. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+17.9. Akashic Edge tracks 3 presidential elections here, dating back to 2016.

Fairbanks-College, AK Presidential Election Results, 2016–2024
Year	Dem %	Rep %	Margin	Swing
2024	39.0%	56.9%	R+17.9	R+3.2
2020	40.3%	55.0%	R+14.6	D+5.9
2016	33.2%	53.7%	R+20.5	—

Political Identity

What defines Fairbanks-College, AK?

It has a moderately diverse, middle-class electorate where education levels and suburban growth shape the partisan balance.

Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer

Similarity Explorer

Similar metro areas

Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.

8 visible matches

Anchorage, AK

Educated rural competitive 2

R+13.2

Similarity score85%

Jacksonville, NC

Educated rural competitive

R+35.8

Similarity score82%

Lincoln, NE

Educated rural competitive

D+1.5

Similarity score82%

Bozeman, MT

Educated rural competitive

D+3.2

Similarity score81%

Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR

Educated rural competitive 2

R+19.5

Similarity score81%

Colorado Springs, CO

Educated rural competitive 2

R+10.9

Similarity score81%

Provo-Orem-Lehi, UT

Educated rural competitive

R+39.6

Similarity score81%

Manhattan, KS

Educated rural competitive

R+16.1

Similarity score80%

Constituent Geography

Counties in Fairbanks-College, AK

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Fairbanks North Star Borough	95K	R+17.9	17,070	24,887	43,760	100.0%

1 countiesTotal votes: 43,760

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Fairbanks-College, AK's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Fairbanks-College, AK metro area voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Fairbanks-College, AKCensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 66.8%Multiracial 10.9%Hispanic 8.5%Native American 6.2%Black 4.1%Asian 2.8%Native Hawaiian 0.7%

Group	Local	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	66.8%	57.4%
Multiracial / Other	10.9%	4.0%
▶Hispanic / Latino(17)	8.5%	19.3%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(4)	6.2%	0.9%
▶Black / African American(9)	4.1%	12.2%
▶Asian(6)	2.8%	6.0%
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(4)	0.7%	0.2%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(7)	0.3%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

30.3%(28.9K people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: -53.7pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Evangelical Protestant	17.3%	57.1%	—	—
Other	5.4%	17.9%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	4.4%	14.7%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	3.0%	9.9%	—	—
Catholic	2.4%	8.0%	—	—
Black Protestant	2.1%	7.0%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	69.7%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Who lives in the Fairbanks-College, AK metro area? 95,460 residents across 1 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

Fairbanks-College, AK vs National95K residents

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

95K

local

95KNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.03%

local

0.03%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

72.1%

local

72.1%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$88,267

local

$88,267National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

6.1%

local

6.1%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

33.1%

local

33.1%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

61.7%

local

61.7%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

32.5 yrs

local

32.5 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

21.1%

local

21.1%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

12.7%

local

12.7%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

5.6%

local

5.6%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

9.8%

local

9.8%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

90.2%

local

90.2%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Fairbanks-College, AK

Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.

2024 Turnout

63.6%

vs Previous

-2.2pp

Voting-Age Pop

68,794

History

2016–2024

Competitiveness

How competitive is Fairbanks-College, AK?

Safe RAvg margin: R+17.7 (last 3 elections)

2016

R+20.5

2020

R+14.6

2024

R+17.9

Elasticity

5.9pp

margin range

Party Flips

last 30 years

5-Elec Avg

R+17.7

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Fairbanks-College, AK split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyHeavy splitting (0/100)

2022 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
Senate vs Governor	R+77.8	R+36.0	41.8pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 41.8pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Fairbanks-College, AK sits inside these higher-level geographies.

Alaska(State)

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