Farmington, NM
Safe Republican — shifted 3.5pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 121K residents — 1 counties
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 36.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(11) | 19.8% |
▶Black / African American(6) | 0.6% |
▶Asian(5) | 0.8% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(4) | 0.2% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(7) | 39.6% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.9% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 15.8% | 39.1% |
| Other | 11.8% | 29.1% |
| Catholic | 10.7% | 26.5% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 10.7% | 26.4% |
| Mainline Protestant | 2.1% | 5.3% |
| Non-religious | 59.5% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+31.7 |
| 2020 | Trump+28.3 |
| 2016 | Trump+32.7 |
| 2012 | Romney+28.1 |
| 2008 | McCain+21.2 |
| 2004 | Bush+32.6 |
| 2000 | Bush+27.3 |
| 1996 | Dole+16.6 |
| 1992 | Bush+7.0 |
Farmington, NM is a metro area that has a population of 120,942. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+31.7. Akashic Edge tracks 29 presidential elections here, dating back to 1912.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 33.0% | 64.7% | R+31.7 | R+3.5 |
| 2020 | 34.6% | 62.9% | R+28.3 | D+4.4 |
| 2016 | 27.9% | 60.6% | R+32.7 | R+4.6 |
| 2012 | 34.3% | 62.4% | R+28.1 | R+6.9 |
| 2008 | 38.8% | 59.9% | R+21.2 | D+11.5 |
| 2004 | 33.0% | 65.6% | R+32.6 | R+5.3 |
| 2000 | 34.6% | 61.8% | R+27.3 | R+10.7 |
| 1996 | 37.1% | 53.7% | R+16.6 | R+9.6 |
| 1992 | 37.3% | 44.3% | R+7.0 | D+11.4 |
| 1988 | 40.0% | 58.4% | R+18.4 | D+16.4 |
| 1984 | 32.1% | 67.0% | R+34.9 | D+2.9 |
| 1980 | 28.5% | 66.3% | R+37.8 | R+26.4 |
| 1976 | 43.8% | 55.1% | R+11.4 | D+29.3 |
| 1972 | 26.9% | 67.6% | R+40.7 | R+15.1 |
| 1968 | 28.5% | 54.0% | R+25.6 | R+26.2 |
| 1964 | 49.7% | 49.0% | D+0.7 | D+19.2 |
| 1960 | 40.7% | 59.3% | R+18.5 | D+18.4 |
| 1956 | 31.5% | 68.5% | R+36.9 | D+3.1 |
| 1952 | 30.0% | 70.0% | R+40.0 | R+18.9 |
| 1948 | 39.5% | 60.5% | R+21.1 | — |
What defines Farmington, NM?
It has a majority-minority electorate where racial demographics are the primary driver of partisan lean.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Counties in Farmington, NM
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Juan | 121K | R+31.7 | 17,464 | 34,264 | 52,926 | 100.0% |
Ask the Historian
Key Insights
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 31.7% margin
- College attainment is 18% — 15pp below the national average. Similar education levels correlate with Republican lean nationally
Who Lives Here
| Group | Farmington, NM | National |
|---|---|---|
▶Native American / Alaska Native(7) | 39.6% | 0.9% |
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 36.2% | 57.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(11) | 19.8% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.9% | 4.0% |
▶Asian(5) | 0.8% | 6.0% |
▶Black / African American(6) | 0.6% | 12.2% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(4) | 0.2% | 0.9% |
Religious Adherents
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -17.0pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15.8% | 39.1% | — | — | |
| 11.8% | 29.1% | — | — | |
| 10.7% | 26.5% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 10.7% | 26.4% | — | — |
| 2.1% | 5.3% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 59.5% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Farmington, NM metro area? 120,942 residents across 1 counties.
Demographics
18% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 15pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+15 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in Farmington, NM
How competitive is Farmington, NM?
Do voters in Farmington, NM split their tickets?
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+31.7 | R+25.9 | 5.8pp |