Show Low, AZ
Safe Republican — shifted 8.9pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 108K residents — 1 counties
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 42.7% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(15) | 10.9% |
▶Black / African American(3) | 1.1% |
▶Asian(4) | 0.4% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(6) | 0.2% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(9) | 42.2% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(3) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.6% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Other | 28.1% | 63.3% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 27.0% | 60.9% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 8.5% | 19.1% |
| Catholic | 6.7% | 15.0% |
| Mainline Protestant | 1.0% | 2.2% |
| Black Protestant | 0.2% | 0.4% |
| Non-religious | 55.6% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+17.2 |
| 2020 | Trump+8.3 |
| 2016 | Trump+10.2 |
| 2012 | Romney+7.8 |
| 2008 | McCain+11.6 |
| 2004 | Bush+7.6 |
| 2000 | Bush+2.4 |
| 1996 | Clinton+14.6 |
| 1992 | Clinton+11.7 |
Show Low, AZ is a metro area that has a population of 108,415. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+17.2. Akashic Edge tracks 29 presidential elections here, dating back to 1912.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 40.8% | 58.0% | R+17.2 | R+8.9 |
| 2020 | 45.2% | 53.4% | R+8.3 | D+2.0 |
| 2016 | 40.8% | 51.1% | R+10.2 | R+2.4 |
| 2012 | 45.2% | 53.1% | R+7.8 | D+3.8 |
| 2008 | 43.4% | 55.0% | R+11.6 | R+4.0 |
| 2004 | 45.7% | 53.3% | R+7.6 | R+5.2 |
| 2000 | 46.9% | 49.3% | R+2.4 | R+17.0 |
| 1996 | 51.8% | 37.1% | D+14.6 | D+2.9 |
| 1992 | 44.2% | 32.4% | D+11.7 | D+18.7 |
| 1988 | 45.9% | 52.8% | R+7.0 | D+10.2 |
| 1984 | 40.9% | 58.1% | R+17.2 | D+16.5 |
| 1980 | 30.3% | 63.9% | R+33.6 | R+37.3 |
| 1976 | 50.3% | 46.7% | D+3.6 | D+29.5 |
| 1972 | 34.6% | 60.5% | R+25.9 | R+7.4 |
| 1968 | 32.5% | 51.0% | R+18.5 | R+17.5 |
| 1964 | 49.4% | 50.5% | R+1.0 | D+13.5 |
| 1960 | 42.7% | 57.2% | R+14.5 | D+17.2 |
| 1956 | 34.1% | 65.8% | R+31.7 | R+17.2 |
| 1952 | 42.7% | 57.3% | R+14.6 | R+32.7 |
| 1948 | 58.5% | 40.3% | D+18.1 | — |
What defines Show Low, AZ?
It has a plurality-minority electorate (57% nonwhite) where demographic change is reshaping the political map.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Counties in Show Low, AZ
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Navajo | 108K | R+17.2 | 20,754 | 29,480 | 50,847 | 100.0% |
Ask the Historian
Key Insights
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- College attainment is 19% — 14pp below the national average. Similar education levels correlate with Republican lean nationally
- Swung 8.9 points toward Republican between 2020 and 2024
Who Lives Here
| Group | Show Low, AZ | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 42.7% | 57.4% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(9) | 42.2% | 0.9% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(15) | 10.9% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.6% | 4.0% |
▶Black / African American(3) | 1.1% | 12.2% |
▶Asian(4) | 0.4% | 6.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(6) | 0.2% | 0.9% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(3) | 0.1% | 0.2% |
Religious Adherents
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -8.5pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28.1% | 63.3% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 27.0% | 60.9% | — | — |
| 8.5% | 19.1% | — | — | |
| 6.7% | 15.0% | — | — | |
| 1.0% | 2.2% | — | — | |
| 0.2% | 0.4% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 55.6% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Show Low, AZ metro area? 108,415 residents across 1 counties.
Demographics
19% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 14pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+15 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in Show Low, AZ
How competitive is Show Low, AZ?
Do voters in Show Low, AZ split their tickets?
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+17.2 | R+10.0 | 7.2pp |