Flint, MI
Competitive — shifted 5.1pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 403K residents — 1 counties
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 70.0% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(15) | 4.3% |
▶Black / African American(7) | 19.3% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.1% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(11) | 1.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 5.0% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 16.3% | 39.9% |
| Catholic | 9.3% | 22.9% |
| Black Protestant | 6.9% | 16.9% |
| Other | 4.5% | 10.9% |
| Mainline Protestant | 3.4% | 8.4% |
| Orthodox Christian | 0.4% | 1.0% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.3% | 0.7% |
| Non-religious | 59.2% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris+4.2 |
| 2020 | Biden+9.3 |
| 2016 | Clinton+9.4 |
| 2012 | Obama+28.1 |
| 2008 | Obama+32.4 |
| 2004 | Kerry+20.8 |
| 2000 | Gore+27.9 |
| 1996 | Clinton+32.6 |
| 1992 | Clinton+28.7 |
Flint, MI is a metro area that has a population of 403,305. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+4.2. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 51.4% | 47.2% | D+4.2 | R+5.1 |
| 2020 | 53.9% | 44.6% | D+9.3 | R+0.1 |
| 2016 | 52.0% | 42.6% | D+9.4 | R+18.7 |
| 2012 | 63.3% | 35.2% | D+28.1 | R+4.4 |
| 2008 | 65.3% | 32.9% | D+32.4 | D+11.6 |
| 2004 | 60.0% | 39.2% | D+20.8 | R+7.1 |
| 2000 | 62.8% | 34.9% | D+27.9 | R+4.7 |
| 1996 | 60.9% | 28.3% | D+32.6 | D+3.9 |
| 1992 | 52.6% | 23.9% | D+28.7 | D+9.5 |
| 1988 | 59.3% | 40.1% | D+19.2 | D+21.1 |
| 1984 | 48.8% | 50.7% | R+1.9 | R+8.3 |
| 1980 | 49.2% | 42.7% | D+6.4 | D+1.2 |
| 1976 | 51.9% | 46.7% | D+5.2 | D+12.5 |
| 1972 | 45.5% | 52.8% | R+7.3 | R+14.1 |
| 1968 | 45.8% | 39.0% | D+6.8 | R+28.1 |
| 1964 | 67.4% | 32.5% | D+35.0 | D+36.9 |
| 1960 | 48.9% | 50.8% | R+2.0 | D+7.2 |
| 1956 | 45.4% | 54.5% | R+9.1 | R+4.5 |
| 1952 | 47.4% | 52.0% | R+4.6 | R+12.4 |
| 1948 | 52.2% | 44.4% | D+7.8 | — |
What defines Flint, MI?
Flint, MI voted narrowly Democratic in 2024. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, revealing how its political character has evolved over more than a century.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Counties in Flint, MI
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genesee | 403K | D+4.2 | 114,670 | 105,303 | 223,268 | 100.0% |
Ask the Historian
Key Insights
- Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
- Shifted 23.9 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections
- Highly elastic — margins have ranged 28.2 points across recent elections, suggesting a volatile electorate
Who Lives Here
| Group | Flint, MI | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 70.0% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(7) | 19.3% | 12.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 5.0% | 4.0% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(15) | 4.3% | 19.3% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.1% | 6.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(11) | 1.0% | 0.9% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.3% | 0.9% |
Religious Adherents
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -21.5pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16.3% | 39.9% | — | — | |
| 9.3% | 22.9% | — | — | |
| 6.9% | 16.9% | — | — | |
| 4.5% | 10.9% | — | — | |
| 3.4% | 8.4% | — | — | |
| 0.4% | 1.0% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.3% | 0.7% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 59.2% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Flint, MI metro area? 403,305 residents across 1 counties.
Demographics
23% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 10pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+9 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in Flint, MI
How competitive is Flint, MI?
Do voters in Flint, MI split their tickets?
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | D+4.2 | D+7.7 | 3.5pp |