Muskegon-Norton Shores, MI
Competitive — 176K residents — 1 counties
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 75.0% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(13) | 6.3% |
▶Black / African American(7) | 12.1% |
▶Asian(6) | 0.7% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(6) | 0.2% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3) | 0.5% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(2) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 5.5% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 10.4% | 36.5% |
| Catholic | 8.6% | 30.3% |
| Mainline Protestant | 5.4% | 19.0% |
| Black Protestant | 2.3% | 8.0% |
| Other | 1.7% | 6.0% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.3% | 1.0% |
| Non-religious | 71.7% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+1.8 |
| 2020 | Biden+0.6 |
| 2016 | Clinton+1.5 |
| 2012 | Obama+17.7 |
| 2008 | Obama+29.2 |
| 2004 | Kerry+11.2 |
| 2000 | Gore+11.3 |
| 1996 | Clinton+21.2 |
| 1992 | Clinton+12.2 |
Muskegon-Norton Shores, MI is a metro area that has a population of 175,961. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+1.8. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 48.4% | 50.1% | R+1.8 | R+2.3 |
| 2020 | 49.4% | 48.8% | D+0.6 | R+0.9 |
| 2016 | 47.4% | 45.9% | D+1.5 | R+16.2 |
| 2012 | 58.2% | 40.4% | D+17.7 | R+11.5 |
| 2008 | 63.7% | 34.5% | D+29.2 | D+18.0 |
| 2004 | 55.1% | 44.0% | D+11.2 | R+0.1 |
| 2000 | 54.7% | 43.3% | D+11.3 | R+9.9 |
| 1996 | 55.7% | 34.5% | D+21.2 | D+9.1 |
| 1992 | 45.2% | 33.0% | D+12.2 | D+19.5 |
| 1988 | 46.1% | 53.4% | R+7.3 | D+14.5 |
| 1984 | 38.9% | 60.7% | R+21.8 | R+7.2 |
| 1980 | 39.2% | 53.7% | R+14.5 | R+1.1 |
| 1976 | 42.6% | 56.1% | R+13.5 | D+8.8 |
| 1972 | 37.3% | 59.6% | R+22.3 | R+15.9 |
| 1968 | 41.7% | 48.1% | R+6.4 | R+31.1 |
| 1964 | 62.3% | 37.5% | D+24.8 | D+31.1 |
| 1960 | 46.6% | 53.0% | R+6.3 | D+2.0 |
| 1956 | 45.7% | 54.0% | R+8.4 | R+4.1 |
| 1952 | 47.2% | 51.5% | R+4.2 | R+18.4 |
| 1948 | 55.6% | 41.5% | D+14.1 | — |
What defines Muskegon-Norton Shores, MI?
Muskegon-Norton Shores, MI has been trending Republican — 20pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a working-class electorate (21% college-educated) — a demographic increasingly aligned with Republicans nationwide.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Counties in Muskegon-Norton Shores, MI
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muskegon | 176K | R+1.8 | 46,028 | 47,733 | 95,181 | 100.0% |
Ask the Historian
Key Insights
- The 2020 election was decided by just 0.6 points — razor-thin
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2020, Republicans in 2024
- Shifted 19.5 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections
Who Lives Here
| Group | Local | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 75.0% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(7) | 12.1% | 12.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(13) | 6.3% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 5.5% | 4.0% |
▶Asian(6) | 0.7% | 6.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3) | 0.5% | 0.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(6) | 0.2% | 0.9% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(2) | 0.1% | 0.2% |
Religious Adherents
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -10.8pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.4% | 36.5% | — | — | |
| 8.6% | 30.3% | — | — | |
| 5.4% | 19.0% | — | — | |
| 2.3% | 8.0% | — | — | |
| 1.7% | 6.0% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.3% | 1.0% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 71.7% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Muskegon-Norton Shores, MI metro area? 175,961 residents across 1 counties.
Demographics
21% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 12pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+15 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in Muskegon-Norton Shores, MI
How competitive is Muskegon-Norton Shores, MI?
Do voters in Muskegon-Norton Shores, MI split their tickets?
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+1.8 | R+0.1 | 1.7pp |