Galesburg, IL
Leans Republican — shifted 3.7pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 49K residents — 1 counties
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 79.9% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(11) | 6.4% |
▶Black / African American(5) | 8.1% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.3% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(4) | 0.1% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.2% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Mainline Protestant | 10.7% | 42.8% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 8.1% | 32.1% |
| Catholic | 3.7% | 14.7% |
| Other | 1.6% | 6.4% |
| Black Protestant | 1.0% | 4.0% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.7% | 2.7% |
| Non-religious | 74.9% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+9.4 |
| 2020 | Trump+5.6 |
| 2016 | Trump+2.9 |
| 2012 | Obama+17.3 |
| 2008 | Obama+19.8 |
| 2004 | Kerry+9.3 |
| 2000 | Gore+11.6 |
| 1996 | Clinton+20.7 |
| 1992 | Clinton+16.6 |
Galesburg, IL is a metro area that has a population of 49,046. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+9.4. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 44.3% | 53.7% | R+9.4 | R+3.7 |
| 2020 | 46.1% | 51.7% | R+5.6 | R+2.7 |
| 2016 | 44.8% | 47.7% | R+2.9 | R+20.2 |
| 2012 | 57.6% | 40.3% | D+17.3 | R+2.5 |
| 2008 | 58.9% | 39.1% | D+19.8 | D+10.5 |
| 2004 | 54.2% | 45.0% | D+9.3 | R+2.3 |
| 2000 | 54.8% | 43.2% | D+11.6 | R+9.1 |
| 1996 | 55.4% | 34.7% | D+20.7 | D+4.1 |
| 1992 | 49.5% | 32.9% | D+16.6 | D+8.5 |
| 1988 | 53.8% | 45.7% | D+8.1 | D+18.9 |
| 1984 | 44.3% | 55.2% | R+10.9 | D+12.6 |
| 1980 | 33.4% | 56.9% | R+23.5 | R+13.5 |
| 1976 | 44.4% | 54.4% | R+10.0 | D+19.8 |
| 1972 | 34.9% | 64.7% | R+29.8 | R+12.7 |
| 1968 | 36.8% | 53.9% | R+17.1 | R+24.8 |
| 1964 | 53.9% | 46.1% | D+7.7 | D+28.0 |
| 1960 | 39.8% | 60.1% | R+20.3 | D+12.1 |
| 1956 | 33.8% | 66.2% | R+32.3 | R+3.9 |
| 1952 | 35.8% | 64.2% | R+28.4 | R+7.4 |
| 1948 | 39.2% | 60.2% | R+21.0 | — |
What defines Galesburg, IL?
Galesburg, IL has been trending Republican — 27pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a working-class electorate (21% college-educated) — a demographic increasingly aligned with Republicans nationwide.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Counties in Galesburg, IL
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Knox | 49K | R+9.4 | 9,838 | 11,917 | 22,191 | 100.0% |
Ask the Historian
Key Insights
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2012, Republicans in 2024
- Shifted 26.7 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections
- Highly elastic — margins have ranged 29.2 points across recent elections, suggesting a volatile electorate
Who Lives Here
| Group | Galesburg, IL | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 79.9% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(5) | 8.1% | 12.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(11) | 6.4% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.2% | 4.0% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.3% | 6.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(4) | 0.1% | 0.9% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.1% | 0.9% |
Religious Adherents
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -21.9pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.7% | 42.8% | — | — | |
| 8.1% | 32.1% | — | — | |
| 3.7% | 14.7% | — | — | |
| 1.6% | 6.4% | — | — | |
| 1.0% | 4.0% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.7% | 2.7% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 74.9% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Galesburg, IL metro area? 49,046 residents across 1 counties.
Demographics
21% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 12pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+15 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in Galesburg, IL
How competitive is Galesburg, IL?
Do voters in Galesburg, IL split their tickets?
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senate vs Governor | R+6.0 | R+12.0 | 6.0pp |