Las Vegas-Henderson-North Las Vegas, NV
Competitive — shifted 6.7pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 2.3M residents — 1 counties
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 38.3% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(20) | 31.9% |
▶Black / African American(16) | 12.0% |
▶Asian(6) | 10.7% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(11) | 1.1% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(7) | 1.2% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(6) | 0.8% |
Multiracial / Other | 5.1% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 25.4% | 60.4% |
| Other | 8.2% | 19.4% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 6.4% | 15.3% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 5.7% | 13.5% |
| Mainline Protestant | 0.9% | 2.2% |
| Orthodox Christian | 0.6% | 1.3% |
| Black Protestant | 0.5% | 1.3% |
| Non-religious | 57.9% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris+2.6 |
| 2020 | Biden+9.3 |
| 2016 | Clinton+10.7 |
| 2012 | Obama+14.6 |
| 2008 | Obama+19.0 |
| 2004 | Kerry+4.8 |
| 2000 | Gore+6.6 |
| 1996 | Clinton+9.3 |
| 1992 | Clinton+9.0 |
Las Vegas-Henderson-North Las Vegas, NV is a metro area that has a population of 2,329,548. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+2.6. Akashic Edge tracks 29 presidential elections here, dating back to 1912.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 50.4% | 47.8% | D+2.6 | R+6.7 |
| 2020 | 53.7% | 44.3% | D+9.3 | R+1.4 |
| 2016 | 52.4% | 41.7% | D+10.7 | R+3.9 |
| 2012 | 56.4% | 41.8% | D+14.6 | R+4.4 |
| 2008 | 58.5% | 39.5% | D+19.0 | D+14.1 |
| 2004 | 51.7% | 46.8% | D+4.8 | R+1.7 |
| 2000 | 51.3% | 44.7% | D+6.6 | R+2.8 |
| 1996 | 48.7% | 39.4% | D+9.3 | D+0.4 |
| 1992 | 41.1% | 32.2% | D+9.0 | D+24.5 |
| 1988 | 40.9% | 56.4% | R+15.5 | D+11.6 |
| 1984 | 35.5% | 62.6% | R+27.1 | D+2.6 |
| 1980 | 30.1% | 59.8% | R+29.7 | R+32.6 |
| 1976 | 49.8% | 46.9% | D+2.9 | D+21.0 |
| 1972 | 40.9% | 59.1% | R+18.1 | R+20.4 |
| 1968 | 44.3% | 42.0% | D+2.3 | R+23.8 |
| 1964 | 63.0% | 37.0% | D+26.0 | D+12.4 |
| 1960 | 56.8% | 43.2% | D+13.6 | D+12.3 |
| 1956 | 50.7% | 49.3% | D+1.4 | D+7.2 |
| 1952 | 47.1% | 52.9% | R+5.9 | R+31.1 |
| 1948 | 61.8% | 36.6% | D+25.2 | — |
What defines Las Vegas-Henderson-North Las Vegas, NV?
Las Vegas-Henderson-North Las Vegas, NV has been trending Republican — 12pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a majority-minority electorate where racial demographics are the primary driver of partisan lean.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Counties in Las Vegas-Henderson-North Las Vegas, NV
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clark | 2.3M | D+2.6 | 520,187 | 493,052 | 1,031,223 | 100.0% |
Ask the Historian
Key Insights
- Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
- Shifted 12.0 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections
- Margins have been narrowing — from 10.7pp to 2.6pp over the last 3 presidential elections
Who Lives Here
| Group | Local | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 38.3% | 57.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(20) | 31.9% | 19.3% |
▶Black / African American(16) | 12.0% | 12.2% |
▶Asian(6) | 10.7% | 6.0% |
Multiracial / Other | 5.1% | 4.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(7) | 1.2% | 0.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(11) | 1.1% | 0.9% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(6) | 0.8% | 0.2% |
Religious Adherents
Catholic-Evangelical edge: +40.6pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25.4% | 60.4% | — | — | |
| 8.2% | 19.4% | — | — | |
| 6.4% | 15.3% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 5.7% | 13.5% | — | — |
| 0.9% | 2.2% | — | — | |
| 0.6% | 1.3% | — | — | |
| 0.5% | 1.3% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 57.9% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Las Vegas-Henderson-North Las Vegas, NV metro area? 2,329,548 residents across 1 counties.
Demographics
28% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 5pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+3 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in Las Vegas-Henderson-North Las Vegas, NV
How competitive is Las Vegas-Henderson-North Las Vegas, NV?
Do voters in Las Vegas-Henderson-North Las Vegas, NV split their tickets?
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | D+2.6 | D+7.3 | 4.6pp |