Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
Latest: 2024
Safe Democratic — shifted 10.2pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 13.0M residents — 2 counties
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 27.7% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(20) | 45.0% |
▶Black / African American(16) | 6.2% |
▶Asian(6) | 16.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(11) | 3.5% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 1.3% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(5) | 0.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.7% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 31.6% | 61.3% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 9.5% | 18.5% |
| Other | 6.2% | 12.1% |
| Black Protestant | 1.7% | 3.4% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.5% | 3.0% |
| Mainline Protestant | 1.5% | 2.9% |
| Orthodox Christian | 0.9% | 1.8% |
| Non-religious | 48.4% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris+24.7 |
| 2020 | Biden+34.9 |
| 2016 | Clinton+38.8 |
| 2012 | Obama+29.3 |
| 2008 | Obama+29.3 |
| 2004 | Kerry+14.9 |
| 2000 | Gore+18.8 |
| 1996 | Clinton+17.2 |
| 1992 | Clinton+14.2 |
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA is a metro area that has a population of 12,974,487. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+24.7. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 60.7% | 36.0% | D+24.7 | R+10.2 |
| 2020 | 66.4% | 31.5% | D+34.9 | R+3.9 |
| 2016 | 66.4% | 27.6% | D+38.8 | D+9.5 |
| 2012 | 63.4% | 34.1% | D+29.3 | 0.0 |
| 2008 | 63.6% | 34.3% | D+29.3 | D+14.4 |
| 2004 | 56.8% | 41.9% | D+14.9 | R+3.9 |
| 2000 | 57.3% | 38.5% | D+18.8 | D+1.6 |
| 1996 | 53.7% | 36.4% | D+17.2 | D+3.1 |
| 1992 | 47.1% | 32.9% | D+14.2 | D+19.4 |
| 1988 | 46.8% | 52.0% | R+5.3 | D+14.8 |
| 1984 | 39.4% | 59.5% | R+20.0 | R+1.5 |
| 1980 | 35.9% | 54.5% | R+18.6 | R+14.4 |
| 1976 | 46.7% | 50.8% | R+4.2 | D+13.9 |
| 1972 | 39.2% | 57.3% | R+18.1 | R+11.5 |
| 1968 | 43.5% | 50.1% | R+6.6 | R+18.1 |
| 1964 | 55.7% | 44.2% | D+11.5 | D+12.9 |
| 1960 | 49.1% | 50.6% | R+1.4 | D+11.3 |
| 1956 | 43.5% | 56.2% | R+12.7 | D+1.2 |
| 1952 | 42.5% | 56.4% | R+13.9 | R+13.3 |
| 1948 | 46.5% | 47.1% | R+0.6 | — |
What defines Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA?
It has a majority-minority electorate where racial demographics are the primary driver of partisan lean.
Constituent Counties
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Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.
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Counties in Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.
Sort:
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles | 9.8M | D+32.9 | 2,417,109 | 1,189,862 | 3,728,427 | 72.8% |
| Orange | 3.2M | D+2.6 | 691,731 | 654,815 | 1,390,965 | 27.2% |
2 countiesTotal votes: 5,119,392
Ask the Historian
Explore Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Democratic landslide with a 24.7% margin
- Swung 10.2 points toward Republican between 2020 and 2024
Who Lives Here
A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
| Group | Local | National |
|---|---|---|
▶Hispanic / Latino(20) | 45.0% | 19.3% |
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 27.7% | 57.4% |
▶Asian(6) | 16.9% | 6.0% |
▶Black / African American(16) | 6.2% | 12.2% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(11) | 3.5% | 0.9% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.7% | 4.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 1.3% | 0.9% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(5) | 0.2% | 0.2% |
Method notes
Religious Adherents
Population that are religious adherents:
51.6%
Catholic-Evangelical edge: +38.4pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31.6% | 61.3% | — | — | |
| 9.5% | 18.5% | — | — | |
| 6.2% | 12.1% | — | — | |
| 1.7% | 3.4% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 1.5% | 3.0% | — | — |
| 1.5% | 2.9% | — | — | |
| 0.9% | 1.8% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 48.4% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA metro area? 12,974,487 residents across 2 counties.
Demographics
Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
Population & electorate
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Total population
13.0M
Share of U.S. population
3.87%
Voting-age population
77.4%
Economic profile
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Median household income
$96,413
Poverty rate
12.7%
College degree
38.0%
Homeownership
48.4%
Community profile
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Median age
38.5 yrs
Age 18–29
16.3%
Age 65+
15.4%
Foreign born
32.7%
Non-English at home
53.0%
English only
47.0%
Turnout in Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
51.0%
-6.6pp
10,043,152
1988–2024
How competitive is Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA?
Safe DAvg margin: D+32.8 (last 3 elections)
2008
D+29.3
2012
D+29.3
2016
D+38.8
2020
D+34.9
2024
D+24.7
14.1pp
0
D+31.4
Do voters in Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA split their tickets?
Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.
Heavy splitting (0/100)
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | D+24.7 | D+22.4 | 2.3pp |
Average divergence across office pairs: 21.3pp
Located In
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA sits inside these higher-level geographies.
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