Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA
Latest: 2024
Leans Democratic — shifted 4.9pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 2.4M residents — 4 counties
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 47.6% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(19) | 22.8% |
▶Black / African American(14) | 6.7% |
▶Asian(6) | 15.1% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(11) | 1.3% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(6) | 0.9% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(7) | 0.8% |
Multiracial / Other | 6.0% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 16.9% | 44.9% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 10.3% | 27.3% |
| Other | 7.6% | 20.2% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 3.1% | 8.3% |
| Mainline Protestant | 1.4% | 3.8% |
| Black Protestant | 1.1% | 2.8% |
| Orthodox Christian | 0.3% | 0.9% |
| Non-religious | 62.4% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris+11.8 |
| 2020 | Biden+16.8 |
| 2016 | Clinton+14.7 |
| 2012 | Obama+8.7 |
| 2008 | Obama+11.5 |
| 2004 | Bush+5.7 |
| 2000 | Bush+2.2 |
| 1996 | Clinton+4.3 |
| 1992 | Clinton+6.0 |
Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA is a metro area that has a population of 2,426,388. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+11.8. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 54.3% | 42.5% | D+11.8 | R+4.9 |
| 2020 | 57.2% | 40.4% | D+16.8 | D+2.1 |
| 2016 | 53.0% | 38.3% | D+14.7 | D+5.9 |
| 2012 | 52.9% | 44.2% | D+8.7 | R+2.8 |
| 2008 | 54.6% | 43.1% | D+11.5 | D+17.2 |
| 2004 | 46.5% | 52.2% | R+5.7 | R+3.5 |
| 2000 | 46.2% | 48.4% | R+2.2 | R+6.5 |
| 1996 | 47.2% | 42.9% | D+4.3 | R+1.8 |
| 1992 | 42.0% | 36.0% | D+6.0 | D+11.3 |
| 1988 | 46.7% | 52.0% | R+5.3 | D+8.9 |
| 1984 | 42.2% | 56.4% | R+14.2 | R+4.8 |
| 1980 | 39.1% | 48.5% | R+9.4 | R+17.0 |
| 1976 | 52.3% | 44.6% | D+7.6 | D+8.3 |
| 1972 | 48.0% | 48.6% | R+0.7 | R+9.3 |
| 1968 | 50.5% | 41.8% | D+8.6 | R+23.1 |
| 1964 | 65.8% | 34.1% | D+31.7 | D+19.6 |
| 1960 | 55.8% | 43.7% | D+12.1 | D+4.0 |
| 1956 | 54.0% | 45.8% | D+8.1 | D+7.9 |
| 1952 | 49.7% | 49.6% | D+0.2 | R+18.7 |
| 1948 | 57.5% | 38.6% | D+18.9 | — |
What defines Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA?
Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA has been won by both parties in the last 6 presidential elections (5D, 1R) — a genuine swing geography. It has a racially mixed, moderately educated electorate — the suburban swing demographic that decides close elections.
Constituent Counties
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Counties in Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA
2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.
Sort:
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sacramento | 1.6M | D+19.7 | 381,564 | 252,140 | 656,626 | 60.0% |
| Placer | 419K | R+8.5 | 103,958 | 123,941 | 234,809 | 21.4% |
| Yolo | 221K | D+36.7 | 61,405 | 27,844 | 91,373 | 8.3% |
| El Dorado | 193K | R+12.0 | 47,703 | 61,109 | 111,890 | 10.2% |
4 countiesTotal votes: 1,094,698
Ask the Historian
Explore Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2024, Republicans in 2004
- Turnout decreased by 3.9 percentage points since the previous presidential election
Who Lives Here
A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
| Group | Local | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 47.6% | 57.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(19) | 22.8% | 19.3% |
▶Asian(6) | 15.1% | 6.0% |
▶Black / African American(14) | 6.7% | 12.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 6.0% | 4.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(11) | 1.3% | 0.9% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(6) | 0.9% | 0.9% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(7) | 0.8% | 0.2% |
Method notes
Religious Adherents
Population that are religious adherents:
37.6%
Catholic-Evangelical edge: +13.1pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16.9% | 44.9% | — | — | |
| 10.3% | 27.3% | — | — | |
| 7.6% | 20.2% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 3.1% | 8.3% | — | — |
| 1.4% | 3.8% | — | — | |
| 1.1% | 2.8% | — | — | |
| 0.3% | 0.9% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 62.4% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA metro area? 2,426,388 residents across 4 counties.
Demographics
Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
Population & electorate
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Total population
2.4M
Share of U.S. population
0.72%
Voting-age population
76.1%
Economic profile
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Median household income
$97,845
Poverty rate
11.5%
College degree
37.1%
Homeownership
63.0%
Community profile
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Median age
38.6 yrs
Age 18–29
15.6%
Age 65+
16.7%
Foreign born
19.5%
Non-English at home
29.3%
English only
70.7%
Turnout in Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA
Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
59.3%
-3.9pp
1,847,014
1988–2024
How competitive is Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA?
Likely DAvg margin: D+14.4 (last 3 elections)
2008
D+11.5
2012
D+8.7
2016
D+14.7
2020
D+16.8
2024
D+11.8
8.1pp
2
D+12.7
Do voters in Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA split their tickets?
Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.
Heavy splitting (0/100)
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | D+11.8 | D+8.6 | 3.2pp |
Average divergence across office pairs: 29.4pp
Located In
Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA sits inside these higher-level geographies.
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