Lumberton, NC
Safe Republican — shifted 9.0pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 117K residents — 1 counties
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 23.3% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(12) | 10.9% |
▶Black / African American(6) | 23.4% |
▶Asian(6) | 0.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(6) | 0.3% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(4) | 38.9% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(2) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.7% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 32.2% | 66.9% |
| Mainline Protestant | 7.3% | 15.2% |
| Black Protestant | 4.4% | 9.1% |
| Other | 2.4% | 4.9% |
| Catholic | 1.9% | 3.9% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.0% | 2.1% |
| Non-religious | 51.9% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+27.6 |
| 2020 | Trump+18.6 |
| 2016 | Trump+4.3 |
| 2012 | Obama+17.4 |
| 2008 | Obama+13.8 |
| 2004 | Kerry+5.8 |
| 2000 | Gore+20.5 |
| 1996 | Clinton+33.3 |
| 1992 | Clinton+38.1 |
Lumberton, NC is a metro area that has a population of 116,902. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+27.6. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 35.8% | 63.4% | R+27.6 | R+9.0 |
| 2020 | 40.3% | 58.9% | R+18.6 | R+14.3 |
| 2016 | 46.5% | 50.8% | R+4.3 | R+21.7 |
| 2012 | 58.2% | 40.8% | D+17.4 | D+3.6 |
| 2008 | 56.5% | 42.7% | D+13.8 | D+8.0 |
| 2004 | 52.8% | 47.0% | D+5.8 | R+14.8 |
| 2000 | 60.0% | 39.4% | D+20.5 | R+12.8 |
| 1996 | 62.7% | 29.4% | D+33.3 | R+4.8 |
| 1992 | 63.6% | 25.5% | D+38.1 | D+11.8 |
| 1988 | 62.9% | 36.7% | D+26.2 | D+18.1 |
| 1984 | 53.9% | 45.8% | D+8.2 | R+34.3 |
| 1980 | 70.4% | 27.9% | D+42.5 | R+18.9 |
| 1976 | 80.5% | 19.1% | D+61.4 | D+82.4 |
| 1972 | 39.0% | 60.0% | R+21.0 | R+40.3 |
| 1968 | 42.9% | 23.6% | D+19.4 | R+39.3 |
| 1964 | 79.3% | 20.7% | D+58.7 | D+5.8 |
| 1960 | 76.5% | 23.5% | D+52.9 | R+5.2 |
| 1956 | 79.1% | 20.9% | D+58.1 | D+19.5 |
| 1952 | 69.3% | 30.7% | D+38.6 | R+27.3 |
| 1948 | 77.3% | 11.3% | D+65.9 | — |
What defines Lumberton, NC?
Lumberton, NC has been trending Republican — 45pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a majority-minority electorate where racial demographics are the primary driver of partisan lean.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Counties in Lumberton, NC
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robeson | 117K | R+27.6 | 16,728 | 29,647 | 46,770 | 100.0% |
Ask the Historian
Key Insights
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 27.6% margin
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2012, Republicans in 2024
- Shifted 45.0 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections
Who Lives Here
| Group | Lumberton, NC | National |
|---|---|---|
▶Native American / Alaska Native(4) | 38.9% | 0.9% |
▶Black / African American(6) | 23.4% | 12.2% |
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 23.3% | 57.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(12) | 10.9% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.7% | 4.0% |
▶Asian(6) | 0.9% | 6.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(6) | 0.3% | 0.9% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(2) | 0.1% | 0.2% |
Religious Adherents
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -67.5pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32.2% | 66.9% | — | — | |
| 7.3% | 15.2% | — | — | |
| 4.4% | 9.1% | — | — | |
| 2.4% | 4.9% | — | — | |
| 1.9% | 3.9% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 1.0% | 2.1% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 51.9% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Lumberton, NC metro area? 116,902 residents across 1 counties.
Demographics
15% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 18pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+28 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in Lumberton, NC
How competitive is Lumberton, NC?
Do voters in Lumberton, NC split their tickets?
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Governor | R+27.6 | R+13.4 | 14.3pp |