Worcester, MA
Latest: 2024
Leans Democratic — shifted 7.9pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 868K residents — 1 counties
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 70.3% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(19) | 13.7% |
▶Black / African American(14) | 5.2% |
▶Asian(6) | 5.3% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(11) | 1.7% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 5.2% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 32.1% | 72.1% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 4.5% | 10.2% |
| Mainline Protestant | 3.4% | 7.7% |
| Other | 3.2% | 7.1% |
| Orthodox Christian | 1.1% | 2.5% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.3% | 0.7% |
| Black Protestant | 0.1% | 0.3% |
| Non-religious | 55.5% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris+10.0 |
| 2020 | Biden+17.8 |
| 2016 | Clinton+10.4 |
| 2012 | Obama+9.2 |
| 2008 | Obama+13.8 |
| 2004 | Kerry+14.1 |
| 2000 | Gore+19.2 |
| 1996 | Clinton+28.4 |
| 1992 | Clinton+11.4 |
Worcester, MA is a metro area that has a population of 867,788. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+10.0. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 53.6% | 43.7% | D+10.0 | R+7.9 |
| 2020 | 57.6% | 39.7% | D+17.8 | D+7.5 |
| 2016 | 50.2% | 39.8% | D+10.4 | D+1.1 |
| 2012 | 53.7% | 44.5% | D+9.2 | R+4.5 |
| 2008 | 55.6% | 41.8% | D+13.8 | R+0.4 |
| 2004 | 56.4% | 42.3% | D+14.1 | R+5.1 |
| 2000 | 56.0% | 36.8% | D+19.2 | R+9.2 |
| 1996 | 58.3% | 29.8% | D+28.4 | D+17.0 |
| 1992 | 43.7% | 32.3% | D+11.4 | D+13.8 |
| 1988 | 48.2% | 50.6% | R+2.3 | D+10.9 |
| 1984 | 43.2% | 56.5% | R+13.2 | R+12.2 |
| 1980 | 42.1% | 43.1% | R+1.0 | R+24.5 |
| 1976 | 60.4% | 36.9% | D+23.5 | D+17.5 |
| 1972 | 52.8% | 46.7% | D+6.1 | R+24.1 |
| 1968 | 63.5% | 33.3% | D+30.2 | R+24.3 |
| 1964 | 77.1% | 22.6% | D+54.5 | D+33.4 |
| 1960 | 60.5% | 39.4% | D+21.1 | D+41.5 |
| 1956 | 39.7% | 60.1% | R+20.4 | R+14.2 |
| 1952 | 46.8% | 53.0% | R+6.2 | R+17.3 |
| 1948 | 54.7% | 43.6% | D+11.1 | — |
What defines Worcester, MA?
It has a moderately diverse, middle-class electorate where education levels and suburban growth shape the partisan balance.
Constituent Counties
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Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
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San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA
Diverse rural democratic
Trenton-Princeton, NJ
Diverse rural democratic
San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara, CA
Diverse rural democratic
Counties in Worcester, MA
2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.
Sort:
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Worcester | 868K | D+9.9 | 225,680 | 183,802 | 420,841 | 100.0% |
1 countiesTotal votes: 420,841
Ask the Historian
Explore Worcester, MA's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
- Swung 7.9 points toward Republican between 2020 and 2024
Who Lives Here
A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
| Group | Worcester, MA | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 70.3% | 57.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(19) | 13.7% | 19.3% |
▶Asian(6) | 5.3% | 6.0% |
▶Black / African American(14) | 5.2% | 12.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 5.2% | 4.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(11) | 1.7% | 0.9% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.3% | 0.9% |
Method notes
Religious Adherents
Population that are religious adherents:
44.5%
Catholic-Evangelical edge: +57.5pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32.1% | 72.1% | — | — | |
| 4.5% | 10.2% | — | — | |
| 3.4% | 7.7% | — | — | |
| 3.2% | 7.1% | — | — | |
| 1.1% | 2.5% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.3% | 0.7% | — | — |
| 0.1% | 0.3% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 55.5% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Worcester, MA metro area? 867,788 residents across 1 counties.
Demographics
Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
40% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 7pp above the national average. Places with similar education levels vote D+8 on average nationally.
Population & electorate
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Total population
868K
Share of U.S. population
0.26%
Voting-age population
76.2%
Economic profile
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Median household income
$95,939
Poverty rate
10.3%
College degree
39.7%
Homeownership
65.8%
Community profile
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Median age
40.2 yrs
Age 18–29
15.5%
Age 65+
17.0%
Foreign born
14.5%
Non-English at home
22.3%
English only
77.7%
Turnout in Worcester, MA
Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
63.6%
-1.7pp
661,325
1988–2024
How competitive is Worcester, MA?
Likely DAvg margin: D+12.7 (last 3 elections)
2008
D+13.8
2012
D+9.2
2016
D+10.4
2020
D+17.8
2024
D+10.0
8.6pp
0
D+12.2
Do voters in Worcester, MA split their tickets?
Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.
Heavy splitting (0/100)
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | D+10.0 | D+3.9 | 6.1pp |
Average divergence across office pairs: 27.7pp
Located In
Worcester, MA sits inside these higher-level geographies.
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