New Haven, CT
Leans Democratic — shifted 5.5pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 865K residents — 1 counties
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 58.9% |
Hispanic / Latino | 19.7% |
▶Black / African American(15) | 13.8% |
Asian | 4.3% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10) | 1.9% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 0.5% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.8% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 29.9% | 64.1% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 6.4% | 13.8% |
| Mainline Protestant | 4.4% | 9.5% |
| Other | 3.9% | 8.4% |
| Black Protestant | 1.4% | 3.1% |
| Orthodox Christian | 0.5% | 1.0% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.4% | 0.9% |
| Non-religious | 53.4% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris+11.9 |
| 2020 | Biden+17.4 |
| 2016 | Clinton+12.3 |
| 2012 | Obama+22.3 |
| 2008 | Obama+23.2 |
| 2004 | Kerry+10.6 |
| 2000 | Gore+22.0 |
| 1996 | Clinton+22.0 |
| 1992 | Clinton+5.2 |
New Haven, CT is a metro area that has a population of 864,835. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+11.9. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 55.0% | 43.1% | D+11.9 | R+5.5 |
| 2020 | 58.0% | 40.6% | D+17.4 | D+5.1 |
| 2016 | 54.2% | 42.0% | D+12.3 | R+10.0 |
| 2012 | 60.7% | 38.3% | D+22.3 | R+0.9 |
| 2008 | 61.0% | 37.8% | D+23.2 | D+12.7 |
| 2004 | 54.3% | 43.8% | D+10.6 | R+11.4 |
| 2000 | 58.0% | 36.0% | D+22.0 | 0.0 |
| 1996 | 54.7% | 32.7% | D+22.0 | D+16.8 |
| 1992 | 41.9% | 36.7% | D+5.2 | D+8.5 |
| 1988 | 47.7% | 50.9% | R+3.2 | D+16.8 |
| 1984 | 39.7% | 59.8% | R+20.1 | R+8.8 |
| 1980 | 38.8% | 50.1% | R+11.3 | R+6.2 |
| 1976 | 47.1% | 52.2% | R+5.1 | D+14.2 |
| 1972 | 39.7% | 59.0% | R+19.3 | R+28.6 |
| 1968 | 50.8% | 41.5% | D+9.3 | R+29.0 |
| 1964 | 69.1% | 30.8% | D+38.2 | D+22.3 |
| 1960 | 58.0% | 42.0% | D+15.9 | D+42.0 |
| 1956 | 37.0% | 63.0% | R+26.0 | R+16.3 |
| 1952 | 45.0% | 54.7% | R+9.7 | R+10.0 |
| 1948 | 48.8% | 48.5% | D+0.3 | — |
What defines New Haven, CT?
It has a racially mixed, moderately educated electorate — the suburban swing demographic that decides close elections.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Counties in New Haven, CT
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Haven | 865K | D+11.9 | 218,981 | 171,435 | 397,984 | 100.0% |
Ask the Historian
Key Insights
- Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
- Swung 5.5 points toward Republican between 2020 and 2024
Who Lives Here
| Group | New Haven, CT | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 58.9% | 57.4% |
Hispanic / Latino | 19.7% | 19.3% |
▶Black / African American(15) | 13.8% | 12.2% |
Asian | 4.3% | 6.0% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.8% | 4.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10) | 1.9% | 0.9% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 0.5% | 0.9% |
Religious Adherents
Catholic-Evangelical edge: +45.8pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.9% | 64.1% | — | — | |
| 6.4% | 13.8% | — | — | |
| 4.4% | 9.5% | — | — | |
| 3.9% | 8.4% | — | — | |
| 1.4% | 3.1% | — | — | |
| 0.5% | 1.0% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.4% | 0.9% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 53.4% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the New Haven, CT metro area? 864,835 residents across 1 counties.
Demographics
39% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 6pp above the national average. Places with similar education levels vote D+8 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in New Haven, CT
How competitive is New Haven, CT?
Do voters in New Haven, CT split their tickets?
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | D+11.9 | D+18.3 | 6.3pp |