Bridgeport-Stamford-Danbury, CT
Latest: 2024
Safe Democratic — shifted 7.4pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 1.1M residents — 2 counties
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 61.9% |
Hispanic / Latino | 19.2% |
▶Black / African American(13) | 9.6% |
Asian | 4.8% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10) | 1.8% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 0.4% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.0% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 34.9% | 62.5% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 8.0% | 14.3% |
| Mainline Protestant | 6.6% | 11.9% |
| Other | 4.0% | 7.2% |
| Black Protestant | 1.3% | 2.4% |
| Orthodox Christian | 1.0% | 1.8% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.4% | 0.7% |
| Non-religious | 44.2% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris+18.6 |
| 2020 | Biden+26.0 |
| 2016 | Clinton+18.6 |
| 2012 | Obama+10.1 |
| 2008 | Obama+17.7 |
| 2004 | Kerry+3.7 |
| 2000 | Gore+9.0 |
| 1996 | Clinton+7.8 |
| 1992 | Bush+3.6 |
Bridgeport-Stamford-Danbury, CT is a metro area that has a population of 1,142,605. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+18.6. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 58.5% | 39.9% | D+18.6 | R+7.4 |
| 2020 | 62.3% | 36.3% | D+26.0 | D+7.3 |
| 2016 | 57.3% | 38.6% | D+18.6 | D+8.5 |
| 2012 | 54.6% | 44.5% | D+10.1 | R+7.6 |
| 2008 | 58.4% | 40.8% | D+17.7 | D+14.0 |
| 2004 | 51.2% | 47.5% | D+3.7 | R+5.3 |
| 2000 | 52.2% | 43.2% | D+9.0 | D+1.1 |
| 1996 | 48.8% | 41.0% | D+7.8 | D+11.4 |
| 1992 | 39.0% | 42.6% | R+3.6 | D+15.4 |
| 1988 | 40.0% | 58.9% | R+18.9 | D+13.1 |
| 1984 | 33.8% | 65.8% | R+32.0 | R+11.0 |
| 1980 | 33.7% | 54.7% | R+21.0 | R+4.2 |
| 1976 | 41.3% | 58.1% | R+16.8 | D+12.6 |
| 1972 | 34.5% | 63.9% | R+29.4 | R+19.5 |
| 1968 | 41.9% | 51.7% | R+9.9 | R+31.8 |
| 1964 | 60.9% | 39.0% | D+21.9 | D+28.7 |
| 1960 | 46.6% | 53.4% | R+6.8 | D+33.5 |
| 1956 | 29.8% | 70.2% | R+40.4 | R+18.1 |
| 1952 | 38.5% | 60.8% | R+22.3 | R+9.3 |
| 1948 | 41.8% | 54.8% | R+13.0 | — |
What defines Bridgeport-Stamford-Danbury, CT?
It has a predominantly white, college-educated electorate that has shifted sharply toward Democrats in the Trump era.
Constituent Counties
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Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.
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Torrington, CT
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Kiryas Joel-Poughkeepsie-Newburgh, NY
Educated rural competitive 2
Worcester, MA
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Austin-Round Rock-San Marcos, TX
Diverse rural democratic
Counties in Bridgeport-Stamford-Danbury, CT
2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.
Sort:
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fairfield | 957K | D+19.6 | 267,019 | 178,263 | 452,303 | 81.0% |
| Litchfield | 185K | R+8.0 | 47,940 | 56,452 | 105,969 | 19.0% |
2 countiesTotal votes: 558,272
Ask the Historian
Explore Bridgeport-Stamford-Danbury, CT's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
- College attainment is 49% — 16pp above the national average. Similar education levels correlate with Democratic lean nationally
- Swung 7.4 points toward Republican between 2020 and 2024
Who Lives Here
A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
| Group | Local | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 61.9% | 57.4% |
Hispanic / Latino | 19.2% | 19.3% |
▶Black / African American(13) | 9.6% | 12.2% |
Asian | 4.8% | 6.0% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.0% | 4.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10) | 1.8% | 0.9% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 0.4% | 0.9% |
Method notes
Religious Adherents
Population that are religious adherents:
55.8%
Catholic-Evangelical edge: +43.7pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34.9% | 62.5% | — | — | |
| 8.0% | 14.3% | — | — | |
| 6.6% | 11.9% | — | — | |
| 4.0% | 7.2% | — | — | |
| 1.3% | 2.4% | — | — | |
| 1.0% | 1.8% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.4% | 0.7% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 44.2% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Bridgeport-Stamford-Danbury, CT metro area? 1,142,605 residents across 2 counties.
Demographics
Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
49% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 16pp above the national average. Places with similar education levels vote D+16 on average nationally.
Population & electorate
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Total population
1.1M
Share of U.S. population
0.34%
Voting-age population
78.3%
Economic profile
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Median household income
$126,550
Poverty rate
8.9%
College degree
48.8%
Homeownership
68.0%
Community profile
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Median age
42.1 yrs
Age 18–29
N/A
Age 65+
N/A
Foreign born
21.4%
Non-English at home
N/A
English only
N/A
Turnout in Bridgeport-Stamford-Danbury, CT
Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
50.3%
-2.2pp
895,049
1988–2024
How competitive is Bridgeport-Stamford-Danbury, CT?
Safe DAvg margin: D+21.1 (last 3 elections)
2008
D+17.7
2012
D+10.1
2016
D+18.6
2020
D+26.0
2024
D+18.6
15.9pp
0
D+18.2
Do voters in Bridgeport-Stamford-Danbury, CT split their tickets?
Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.
Heavy splitting (12/100)
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | D+18.6 | D+21.1 | 2.5pp |
Average divergence across office pairs: 15.5pp
Located In
Bridgeport-Stamford-Danbury, CT sits inside these higher-level geographies.
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