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Hartford-West Hartford-East Hartford, CT

Hartford-West Hartford-East Hartford, CT

Latest: 2024↓ R+4.7 vs 2020

Safe Democratic — shifted 4.7pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 1.5M residents — 4 counties

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Race & ancestry
Group%
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)
65.4%
Hispanic / Latino
14.8%
▶Black / African American(16)
10.6%
Asian
5.3%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(11)
1.5%
Native American / Alaska Native
0.4%
Multiracial / Other
3.5%
View full demographics →
Religious adherence
Tradition% Pop% Adherents
Catholic26.2%55.9%
Evangelical Protestant6.7%14.3%
Mainline Protestant6.4%13.8%
Other5.1%10.9%
Black Protestant2.1%4.6%
LDS (Mormon)0.4%0.8%
Orthodox Christian0.3%0.5%
Non-religious53.1%—
View full religion →
Presidential results
YearResult
2024Harris+18.8
2020Biden+23.5
2016Clinton+17.6
2012Obama+22.4
2008Obama+28.6
2004Kerry+17.2
2000Gore+22.8
1996Clinton+24.0
1992Clinton+14.1
View full election history →

Hartford-West Hartford-East Hartford, CT is a metro area that has a population of 1,482,086. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+18.8. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.

Hartford-West Hartford-East Hartford, CT Presidential Election Results, 1948–2024
YearDem %Rep %MarginSwing
202458.5%39.7%D+18.8R+4.7
202060.9%37.4%D+23.5D+5.9
201656.4%38.8%D+17.6R+4.8
201260.6%38.2%D+22.4R+6.2
200863.6%35.1%D+28.6D+11.4
200457.7%40.5%D+17.2R+5.6
200058.6%35.8%D+22.8R+1.2
199655.6%31.6%D+24.0D+9.8
199245.7%31.6%D+14.1D+9.4
198851.9%47.2%D+4.7D+18.0
198443.1%56.5%R+13.3R+14.4
198042.7%41.6%D+1.1R+1.6
197651.1%48.4%D+2.7D+10.4
197245.7%53.4%R+7.7R+22.1
196854.7%40.3%D+14.4R+29.5
196471.9%28.0%D+43.9D+29.9
196057.0%43.0%D+14.0D+32.6
195640.7%59.3%R+18.5R+14.3
195247.8%52.0%R+4.2R+10.0
194851.9%46.0%D+5.8—
Political Identity

What defines Hartford-West Hartford-East Hartford, CT?

It has a racially mixed, moderately educated electorate — the suburban swing demographic that decides close elections.

Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer
Similarity Explorer

Similar metro areas

Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.
8 visible matches
Constituent Geography

Counties in Hartford-West Hartford-East Hartford, CT

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.
Sort:
CountyPop.MarginDemRepTotalShare
Hartford899K
D+22.6
259,366162,572429,31357.6%
New London269K
D+12.6
76,19058,858137,50018.4%
Middlesex164K
D+12.8
54,17341,65497,51813.1%
Tolland150K
D+8.0
43,31136,77381,52010.9%
4 countiesTotal votes: 745,851
Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Hartford-West Hartford-East Hartford, CT's political evolution with the Historian
Automated Readout

Key Insights

High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
  • Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
  • College attainment is 41% — 8pp above the national average. Similar education levels correlate with Democratic lean nationally
  • Swung 4.7 points toward Republican between 2020 and 2024
Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Hartford-West Hartford-East Hartford, CTCensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
Expand rows for ancestry detail
White (Non-Hispanic) 65.4%Hispanic 14.8%Black 10.6%Asian 5.3%Multiracial 3.5%Native American 0.4%
GroupLocalNational
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)
65.4%57.4%
Hispanic / Latino
14.8%19.3%
▶Black / African American(16)
10.6%12.2%
Asian
5.3%6.0%
Multiracial / Other
3.5%4.0%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(11)
1.5%0.9%
Native American / Alaska Native
0.4%0.9%
Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:
46.9%(539.3K people)
U.S. Religion Census 2020
Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: +37.2pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.

Tradition% Pop% AdherentsUS PopUS Adherents
Catholic
26.2%55.9%——
Evangelical Protestant
6.7%14.3%——
Mainline Protestant
6.4%13.8%——
Other
5.1%10.9%——
Black Protestant
2.1%4.6%——
LDS (Mormon)
0.4%0.8%——
Orthodox Christian
0.3%0.5%——
Non-religiousPopulation
53.1%———
Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Who lives in the Hartford-West Hartford-East Hartford, CT metro area? 1,482,086 residents across 4 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
Hartford-West Hartford-East Hartford, CT vs National1.5M residents

41% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 8pp above the national average. Places with similar education levels vote D+16 on average nationally.

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population
Local vs state vs U.S.
1.5M
local
1.5MNational 334.9M
Share of U.S. population
Local vs state vs U.S.
0.44%
local
0.44%National 100%
Voting-age population
Local vs state vs U.S.
80.3%
local
80.3%National 75.7%
Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income
Local vs state vs U.S.
$99,141
local
$99,141National $83,960
Poverty rate
Local vs state vs U.S.
9.8%
local
9.8%National 12.5%
College degree
Local vs state vs U.S.
41.2%
local
41.2%National 35.6%
Homeownership
Local vs state vs U.S.
67.3%
local
67.3%National 65.2%
Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age
Local vs state vs U.S.
41.1 yrs
local
41.1 yrsNational 39.1 yrs
Age 18–29
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/ANational 15.7%
Age 65+
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/ANational 17.0%
Foreign born
Local vs state vs U.S.
13.1%
local
13.1%National 14.1%
Non-English at home
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/ANational 22.2%
English only
Local vs state vs U.S.
N/A
local
N/ANational 77.8%
Voter Turnout

Turnout in Hartford-West Hartford-East Hartford, CT

Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
2024 Turnout
48.6%
vs Previous
-1.6pp
Voting-Age Pop
1,189,914
History
1988–2024
Competitiveness

How competitive is Hartford-West Hartford-East Hartford, CT?

Safe DAvg margin: D+20.0 (last 3 elections)
2008
D+28.6
2012
D+22.4
2016
D+17.6
2020
D+23.5
2024
D+18.8
Elasticity
10.9pp
margin range
Party Flips
0
last 30 years
5-Elec Avg
D+22.2
Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Hartford-West Hartford-East Hartford, CT split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.
ConsistencyHeavy splitting (11/100)
2024 Office Comparisons
OfficesMargin AMargin BSplit
President vs SenateD+18.8D+22.43.6pp
Average divergence across office pairs: 15.6pp
Containing Geography

Located In

Hartford-West Hartford-East Hartford, CT sits inside these higher-level geographies.
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