Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
Latest: 2024
Safe Democratic — 4.1M residents — 3 counties
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 56.8% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(20) | 11.7% |
▶Black / African American(14) | 6.2% |
▶Asian(6) | 16.1% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(11) | 1.2% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(6) | 0.8% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(8) | 0.9% |
Multiracial / Other | 7.6% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 19.3% | 47.4% |
| Catholic | 10.9% | 26.8% |
| Other | 6.6% | 16.3% |
| Mainline Protestant | 2.7% | 6.6% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 2.6% | 6.3% |
| Black Protestant | 0.6% | 1.5% |
| Orthodox Christian | 0.6% | 1.4% |
| Non-religious | 59.3% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris+35.5 |
| 2020 | Biden+36.9 |
| 2016 | Clinton+33.5 |
| 2012 | Obama+29.5 |
| 2008 | Obama+31.0 |
| 2004 | Kerry+20.5 |
| 2000 | Gore+18.5 |
| 1996 | Clinton+20.3 |
| 1992 | Clinton+17.9 |
Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA is a metro area that has a population of 4,061,920. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+35.5. Akashic Edge tracks 34 presidential elections here, dating back to 1892.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 65.8% | 30.3% | D+35.5 | R+1.4 |
| 2020 | 66.9% | 30.0% | D+36.9 | D+3.4 |
| 2016 | 61.7% | 28.2% | D+33.5 | D+4.1 |
| 2012 | 63.3% | 33.8% | D+29.5 | R+1.5 |
| 2008 | 64.4% | 33.4% | D+31.0 | D+10.4 |
| 2004 | 59.5% | 39.0% | D+20.5 | D+2.0 |
| 2000 | 56.6% | 38.1% | D+18.5 | R+1.8 |
| 1996 | 53.9% | 33.6% | D+20.3 | D+2.5 |
| 1992 | 46.7% | 28.9% | D+17.9 | D+12.1 |
| 1988 | 52.2% | 46.4% | D+5.8 | D+15.0 |
| 1984 | 44.8% | 54.0% | R+9.2 | R+0.7 |
| 1980 | 38.5% | 47.0% | R+8.5 | R+5.2 |
| 1976 | 46.4% | 49.6% | R+3.3 | D+13.9 |
| 1972 | 39.5% | 56.6% | R+17.1 | R+21.7 |
| 1968 | 48.6% | 44.0% | D+4.6 | R+20.4 |
| 1964 | 62.0% | 37.0% | D+24.9 | D+25.4 |
| 1960 | 48.9% | 49.4% | R+0.5 | D+7.2 |
| 1956 | 45.6% | 53.3% | R+7.7 | R+1.5 |
| 1952 | 46.2% | 52.4% | R+6.2 | R+14.9 |
| 1948 | 51.3% | 42.6% | D+8.7 | — |
What defines Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA?
It has a diverse, highly educated electorate — the core of the modern Democratic coalition.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.
San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont, CA
Diverse rural democratic
Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA
Diverse rural democratic
San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara, CA
Diverse rural democratic
San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA
Diverse rural democratic
Raleigh-Cary, NC
Educated rural competitive 2
Trenton-Princeton, NJ
Diverse rural democratic
Austin-Round Rock-San Marcos, TX
Diverse rural democratic
Vallejo, CA
Diverse rural democratic
Counties in Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.
Sort:
Ask the Historian
Explore Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Democratic landslide with a 35.5% margin
- College attainment is 47% — 14pp above the national average. Similar education levels correlate with Democratic lean nationally
Who Lives Here
A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
| Group | Local | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 56.8% | 57.4% |
▶Asian(6) | 16.1% | 6.0% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(20) | 11.7% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 7.6% | 4.0% |
▶Black / African American(14) | 6.2% | 12.2% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(11) | 1.2% | 0.9% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(8) | 0.9% | 0.2% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(6) | 0.8% | 0.9% |
Method notes
Religious Adherents
Population that are religious adherents:
40.7%
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -25.1pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19.3% | 47.4% | — | — | |
| 10.9% | 26.8% | — | — | |
| 6.6% | 16.3% | — | — | |
| 2.7% | 6.6% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 2.6% | 6.3% | — | — |
| 0.6% | 1.5% | — | — | |
| 0.6% | 1.4% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 59.3% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA metro area? 4,061,920 residents across 3 counties.
Demographics
Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
47% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 14pp above the national average. Places with similar education levels vote D+16 on average nationally.
Population & electorate
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Total population
4.1M
Share of U.S. population
1.21%
Voting-age population
77.4%
Economic profile
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Median household income
$116,592
Poverty rate
8.5%
College degree
47.0%
Homeownership
60.0%
Community profile
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Median age
37.6 yrs
Age 18–29
16.0%
Age 65+
14.4%
Foreign born
21.0%
Non-English at home
26.3%
English only
73.7%
Turnout in Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
63.2%
-4.0pp
3,143,924
1988–2024
How competitive is Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA?
Safe DAvg margin: D+35.3 (last 3 elections)
2008
D+31.0
2012
D+29.5
2016
D+33.5
2020
D+36.9
2024
D+35.5
7.5pp
0
D+33.3
Do voters in Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA split their tickets?
Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.
Moderate splitting (55/100)
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Governor | D+35.5 | D+27.2 | 8.3pp |
| Senate vs Governor | D+34.7 | D+27.2 | 7.5pp |
| President vs Senate | D+35.5 | D+34.7 | 0.8pp |
Average divergence across office pairs: 9.3pp
Located In
Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA sits inside these higher-level geographies.
Unlock Metro Area Analytics
Advance from the public dossier into precinct-level, insight-rich district intelligence.
Precinct data, Smart Insights, full history, and export controls tailored to place pages.
Precinct-Level Data
See results for every neighborhood and voting precinct
Smart Insights
Automated highlights from recent election patterns
Full Historical Access
165 years of election data at every level of geography
CSV Exports
Download any table or chart as a CSV file