Omaha, NE-IA
Latest: 2024
Competitive — 982K residents — 8 counties
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 72.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(19) | 12.3% |
▶Black / African American(13) | 7.4% |
▶Asian(6) | 3.3% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(9) | 0.5% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(5) | 0.6% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(3) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.0% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 19.6% | 44.9% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 10.6% | 24.3% |
| Mainline Protestant | 7.8% | 17.9% |
| Other | 4.0% | 9.2% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.6% | 3.6% |
| Black Protestant | 1.4% | 3.3% |
| Orthodox Christian | 0.2% | 0.4% |
| Non-religious | 56.3% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+3.5 |
| 2020 | Trump+2.0 |
| 2016 | Trump+9.9 |
| 2012 | Romney+9.9 |
| 2008 | McCain+2.6 |
| 2004 | Bush+23.8 |
| 2000 | Bush+19.0 |
| 1996 | Dole+14.1 |
| 1992 | Bush+14.1 |
Omaha, NE-IA is a metro area that has a population of 982,064. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+3.5. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 47.5% | 51.1% | R+3.5 | R+1.5 |
| 2020 | 47.7% | 49.7% | R+2.0 | D+7.9 |
| 2016 | 41.1% | 51.0% | R+9.9 | 0.0 |
| 2012 | 44.0% | 54.0% | R+9.9 | R+7.3 |
| 2008 | 47.9% | 50.5% | R+2.6 | D+21.1 |
| 2004 | 37.5% | 61.2% | R+23.8 | R+4.8 |
| 2000 | 38.4% | 57.3% | R+19.0 | R+4.9 |
| 1996 | 37.8% | 51.9% | R+14.1 | 0.0 |
| 1992 | 32.3% | 46.3% | R+14.1 | D+0.5 |
| 1988 | 42.4% | 56.9% | R+14.5 | D+18.9 |
| 1984 | 33.0% | 66.4% | R+33.5 | R+2.5 |
| 1980 | 30.2% | 61.1% | R+30.9 | R+13.7 |
| 1976 | 40.3% | 57.6% | R+17.2 | D+20.6 |
| 1972 | 30.9% | 68.7% | R+37.8 | R+20.7 |
| 1968 | 35.8% | 52.9% | R+17.1 | R+28.2 |
| 1964 | 55.6% | 44.4% | D+11.1 | D+21.4 |
| 1960 | 44.8% | 55.1% | R+10.3 | D+9.1 |
| 1956 | 40.2% | 59.7% | R+19.4 | R+1.6 |
| 1952 | 41.0% | 58.9% | R+17.9 | R+18.0 |
| 1948 | 50.0% | 49.8% | D+0.1 | — |
What defines Omaha, NE-IA?
It has a moderately diverse, middle-class electorate where education levels and suburban growth shape the partisan balance.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.
Kansas City, MO-KS
Educated rural competitive 2
Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC
Educated rural competitive 2
Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
Educated rural competitive 2
Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
Educated rural competitive 2
Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN
Educated rural competitive 2
Sioux Falls, SD-MN
Educated rural competitive 2
St. Louis, MO-IL
Educated rural competitive 2
Virginia Beach-Chesapeake-Norfolk, VA-NC
Educated rural competitive 2
Counties in Omaha, NE-IA
2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.
Sort:
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Douglas | 591K | D+10.2 | 148,733 | 120,919 | 273,403 | 57.3% |
| Sarpy | 197K | R+11.7 | 43,825 | 55,567 | 100,735 | 21.1% |
| Pottawattamie | 93K | R+19.9 | 17,468 | 26,335 | 44,559 | 9.3% |
| Cass | 27K | R+37.2 | 4,824 | 10,685 | 15,755 | 3.3% |
| Saunders | 23K | R+46.4 | 3,558 | 9,854 | 13,565 | 2.8% |
| Washington | 21K | R+42.4 | 3,538 | 8,855 | 12,545 | 2.6% |
| Harrison | 15K | R+41.7 | 2,245 | 5,566 | 7,959 | 1.7% |
| Mills | 15K | R+39.0 | 2,456 | 5,671 | 8,253 | 1.7% |
8 countiesTotal votes: 476,774
Ask the Historian
Explore Omaha, NE-IA's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Split-ticket voting in 2024: Different parties won President and Senate
- Closest recent contest: 2020 at just 2.0 points
Who Lives Here
A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
| Group | Omaha, NE-IA | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 72.4% | 57.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(19) | 12.3% | 19.3% |
▶Black / African American(13) | 7.4% | 12.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.0% | 4.0% |
▶Asian(6) | 3.3% | 6.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(5) | 0.6% | 0.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(9) | 0.5% | 0.9% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(3) | 0.1% | 0.2% |
Method notes
Religious Adherents
Population that are religious adherents:
43.7%
Catholic-Evangelical edge: +16.1pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19.6% | 44.9% | — | — | |
| 10.6% | 24.3% | — | — | |
| 7.8% | 17.9% | — | — | |
| 4.0% | 9.2% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 1.6% | 3.6% | — | — |
| 1.4% | 3.3% | — | — | |
| 0.2% | 0.4% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 56.3% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Omaha, NE-IA metro area? 982,064 residents across 8 counties.
Demographics
Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
39% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 6pp above the national average. Places with similar education levels vote D+8 on average nationally.
Population & electorate
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Total population
982K
Share of U.S. population
0.29%
Voting-age population
73.2%
Economic profile
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Median household income
$85,157
Poverty rate
10.0%
College degree
39.4%
Homeownership
66.2%
Community profile
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Median age
36.7 yrs
Age 18–29
15.6%
Age 65+
14.8%
Foreign born
8.3%
Non-English at home
12.9%
English only
87.1%
Turnout in Omaha, NE-IA
Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
66.3%
+0.2pp
718,993
1988–2024
How competitive is Omaha, NE-IA?
Lean RAvg margin: R+5.2 (last 3 elections)
2008
R+2.6
2012
R+9.9
2016
R+9.9
2020
R+2.0
2024
R+3.5
7.9pp
0
R+5.6
Do voters in Omaha, NE-IA split their tickets?
Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.
Heavy splitting (0/100)
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+3.5 | R+5.1 | 1.6pp |
Average divergence across office pairs: 18.3pp
Located In
Omaha, NE-IA sits inside these higher-level geographies.
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