
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
Safe Democratic — shifted 4.3pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 6.3M residents — 11 counties
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 58.5% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(20) | 10.8% |
▶Black / African American(16) | 20.1% |
▶Asian(6) | 6.5% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10) | 0.9% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.9% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 26.7% | 54.7% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 7.3% | 14.9% |
| Mainline Protestant | 6.6% | 13.5% |
| Other | 5.8% | 11.8% |
| Black Protestant | 2.1% | 4.4% |
| Orthodox Christian | 0.4% | 0.8% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.3% | 0.6% |
| Non-religious | 51.2% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris+25.4 |
| 2020 | Biden+29.7 |
| 2016 | Clinton+27.6 |
| 2012 | Obama+29.0 |
| 2008 | Obama+31.3 |
| 2004 | Kerry+22.3 |
| 2000 | Gore+23.9 |
| 1996 | Clinton+24.4 |
| 1992 | Clinton+16.0 |
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD is a metro area that has a population of 6,272,014. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+25.4. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 62.1% | 36.7% | D+25.4 | R+4.3 |
| 2020 | 64.2% | 34.6% | D+29.7 | D+2.0 |
| 2016 | 61.8% | 34.2% | D+27.6 | R+1.4 |
| 2012 | 63.9% | 34.9% | D+29.0 | R+2.3 |
| 2008 | 65.1% | 33.8% | D+31.3 | D+8.9 |
| 2004 | 60.9% | 38.5% | D+22.3 | R+1.6 |
| 2000 | 60.5% | 36.6% | D+23.9 | R+0.4 |
| 1996 | 56.9% | 32.6% | D+24.4 | D+8.4 |
| 1992 | 49.2% | 33.3% | D+16.0 | D+18.3 |
| 1988 | 48.4% | 50.7% | R+2.3 | D+3.5 |
| 1984 | 46.9% | 52.7% | R+5.8 | R+2.5 |
| 1980 | 43.7% | 47.0% | R+3.3 | R+12.2 |
| 1976 | 53.5% | 44.7% | D+8.8 | D+22.1 |
| 1972 | 42.6% | 55.9% | R+13.3 | R+21.0 |
| 1968 | 49.1% | 41.3% | D+7.7 | R+24.3 |
| 1964 | 65.9% | 33.8% | D+32.1 | D+20.3 |
| 1960 | 55.8% | 44.0% | D+11.7 | D+17.8 |
| 1956 | 46.9% | 53.0% | R+6.1 | R+6.7 |
| 1952 | 50.1% | 49.5% | D+0.6 | D+6.3 |
| 1948 | 46.0% | 51.6% | R+5.7 | — |
What defines Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD?
It has a racially mixed, moderately educated electorate — the suburban swing demographic that decides close elections.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Counties in Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia | 1.6M | D+58.8 | 568,571 | 144,311 | 721,441 | 21.9% |
| Montgomery | 868K | D+22.8 | 317,103 | 198,311 | 520,906 | 15.8% |
| Bucks | 647K | R+0.1 | 198,431 | 198,722 | 401,028 | 12.2% |
| Delaware | 579K | D+23.7 | 201,324 | 123,421 | 328,172 | 10.0% |
| New Castle | 578K | D+32.6 | 180,700 | 90,868 | 275,917 | 8.4% |
| Chester | 548K | D+14.5 | 184,281 | 137,299 | 324,964 | 9.9% |
| Camden | 527K | D+27.4 | 155,522 | 87,767 | 246,954 | 7.5% |
| Burlington | 468K | D+16.6 | 132,275 | 94,116 | 229,466 | 7.0% |
| Gloucester | 307K | R+2.8 | 78,708 | 83,326 | 164,635 | 5.0% |
| Cecil | 105K | R+30.8 | 17,628 | 33,871 | 52,831 | 1.6% |
| Salem | 65K | R+19.2 | 12,275 | 18,229 | 31,001 | 0.9% |
Ask the Historian
Key Insights
- Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Democratic landslide with a 25.4% margin
- College attainment is 42% — 9pp above the national average. Similar education levels correlate with Democratic lean nationally
Who Lives Here
| Group | Local | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 58.5% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(16) | 20.1% | 12.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(20) | 10.8% | 19.3% |
▶Asian(6) | 6.5% | 6.0% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.9% | 4.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10) | 0.9% | 0.9% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.3% | 0.9% |
Religious Adherents
Catholic-Evangelical edge: +35.3pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26.7% | 54.7% | — | — | |
| 7.3% | 14.9% | — | — | |
| 6.6% | 13.5% | — | — | |
| 5.8% | 11.8% | — | — | |
| 2.1% | 4.4% | — | — | |
| 0.4% | 0.8% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.3% | 0.6% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 51.2% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD metro area? 6,272,014 residents across 11 counties.
Demographics
42% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 9pp above the national average. Places with similar education levels vote D+16 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
How competitive is Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD?
Do voters in Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD split their tickets?
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Governor | D+25.4 | D+28.6 | 3.2pp |
| Senate vs Governor | D+26.1 | D+28.6 | 2.5pp |
| President vs Senate | D+25.4 | D+26.1 | 0.7pp |