
Terre Haute, IN
Safe Republican — shifted 3.1pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 169K residents — 4 counties
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 87.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(10) | 2.7% |
▶Black / African American(7) | 4.1% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.4% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(7) | 0.4% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.2% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 18.0% | 51.0% |
| Catholic | 7.7% | 21.9% |
| Mainline Protestant | 6.8% | 19.3% |
| Other | 1.6% | 4.5% |
| Black Protestant | 1.0% | 2.9% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.6% | 1.8% |
| Orthodox Christian | 0.2% | 0.4% |
| Non-religious | 64.7% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+32.1 |
| 2020 | Trump+29.0 |
| 2016 | Trump+27.9 |
| 2012 | Romney+8.3 |
| 2008 | Obama+9.2 |
| 2004 | Bush+12.7 |
| 2000 | Bush+5.7 |
| 1996 | Clinton+4.3 |
| 1992 | Clinton+4.7 |
Terre Haute, IN is a metro area that has a population of 168,719. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+32.1. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 33.0% | 65.1% | R+32.1 | R+3.1 |
| 2020 | 34.5% | 63.5% | R+29.0 | R+1.1 |
| 2016 | 33.5% | 61.3% | R+27.9 | R+19.6 |
| 2012 | 44.7% | 53.0% | R+8.3 | R+17.5 |
| 2008 | 53.8% | 44.6% | D+9.2 | D+21.9 |
| 2004 | 43.3% | 55.9% | R+12.7 | R+7.0 |
| 2000 | 46.5% | 52.2% | R+5.7 | R+10.0 |
| 1996 | 45.4% | 41.0% | D+4.3 | R+0.4 |
| 1992 | 42.1% | 37.4% | D+4.7 | D+11.3 |
| 1988 | 46.5% | 53.1% | R+6.6 | D+10.8 |
| 1984 | 41.0% | 58.4% | R+17.3 | R+6.8 |
| 1980 | 41.9% | 52.4% | R+10.6 | R+15.0 |
| 1976 | 51.8% | 47.3% | D+4.5 | D+26.7 |
| 1972 | 38.6% | 60.8% | R+22.3 | R+19.9 |
| 1968 | 42.6% | 45.0% | R+2.4 | R+22.3 |
| 1964 | 59.7% | 39.9% | D+19.9 | D+21.5 |
| 1960 | 49.0% | 50.6% | R+1.6 | D+0.9 |
| 1956 | 48.6% | 51.1% | R+2.5 | R+3.0 |
| 1952 | 50.0% | 49.4% | D+0.5 | R+11.8 |
| 1948 | 55.2% | 42.9% | D+12.3 | — |
What defines Terre Haute, IN?
Terre Haute, IN has been trending Republican — 24pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Counties in Terre Haute, IN
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vigo | 106K | R+18.1 | 16,338 | 23,738 | 40,914 | 59.3% |
| Clay | 26K | R+56.9 | 2,495 | 9,354 | 12,055 | 17.5% |
| Sullivan | 21K | R+52.7 | 2,006 | 6,639 | 8,795 | 12.7% |
| Vermillion | 15K | R+44.7 | 1,928 | 5,174 | 7,256 | 10.5% |
Ask the Historian
Key Insights
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 32.1% margin
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2008, Republicans in 2024
- Shifted 23.8 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections
Who Lives Here
| Group | Terre Haute, IN | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 87.4% | 57.4% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.2% | 4.0% |
▶Black / African American(7) | 4.1% | 12.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(10) | 2.7% | 19.3% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.4% | 6.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(7) | 0.4% | 0.9% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.2% | 0.9% |
Religious Adherents
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -33.6pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18.0% | 51.0% | — | — | |
| 7.7% | 21.9% | — | — | |
| 6.8% | 19.3% | — | — | |
| 1.6% | 4.5% | — | — | |
| 1.0% | 2.9% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.6% | 1.8% | — | — |
| 0.2% | 0.4% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 64.7% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Terre Haute, IN metro area? 168,719 residents across 4 counties.
Demographics
23% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 10pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+9 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in Terre Haute, IN
How competitive is Terre Haute, IN?
Do voters in Terre Haute, IN split their tickets?
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Governor | R+32.1 | R+23.7 | 8.4pp |
| Senate vs Governor | R+29.4 | R+23.7 | 5.7pp |
| President vs Senate | R+32.1 | R+29.4 | 2.6pp |