Springfield, MO
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — 487K residents — 5 counties
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 86.6% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(17) | 4.4% |
▶Black / African American(9) | 2.2% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.4% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(8) | 0.3% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(4) | 0.3% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(4) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.9% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 37.7% | 76.0% |
| Mainline Protestant | 4.6% | 9.3% |
| Catholic | 4.3% | 8.7% |
| Other | 2.6% | 5.2% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.6% | 3.3% |
| Black Protestant | 0.3% | 0.7% |
| Non-religious | 50.3% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+35.2 |
| 2020 | Trump+33.8 |
| 2016 | Trump+38.0 |
| 2012 | Romney+31.5 |
| 2008 | McCain+21.9 |
| 2004 | Bush+29.8 |
| 2000 | Bush+21.0 |
| 1996 | Dole+10.2 |
| 1992 | Bush+4.3 |
Springfield, MO is a metro area that has a population of 486,785. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+35.2. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 31.8% | 66.9% | R+35.2 | R+1.4 |
| 2020 | 32.1% | 65.9% | R+33.8 | D+4.2 |
| 2016 | 27.7% | 65.7% | R+38.0 | R+6.4 |
| 2012 | 33.0% | 64.6% | R+31.5 | R+9.6 |
| 2008 | 38.2% | 60.1% | R+21.9 | D+7.9 |
| 2004 | 34.8% | 64.6% | R+29.8 | R+8.8 |
| 2000 | 38.2% | 59.2% | R+21.0 | R+10.8 |
| 1996 | 39.4% | 49.5% | R+10.2 | R+5.8 |
| 1992 | 38.7% | 43.1% | R+4.3 | D+14.4 |
| 1988 | 40.5% | 59.2% | R+18.8 | D+15.5 |
| 1984 | 32.9% | 67.1% | R+34.3 | R+16.0 |
| 1980 | 38.8% | 57.0% | R+18.2 | R+13.7 |
| 1976 | 47.3% | 51.8% | R+4.5 | D+37.6 |
| 1972 | 28.9% | 71.1% | R+42.2 | R+17.7 |
| 1968 | 32.4% | 56.9% | R+24.5 | R+31.9 |
| 1964 | 53.7% | 46.3% | D+7.5 | D+38.5 |
| 1960 | 34.5% | 65.5% | R+31.0 | R+10.4 |
| 1956 | 39.7% | 60.3% | R+20.6 | D+6.5 |
| 1952 | 36.4% | 63.5% | R+27.1 | R+24.0 |
| 1948 | 48.4% | 51.5% | R+3.1 | — |
What defines Springfield, MO?
Springfield, MO voted overwhelmingly Republican in 2024. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, revealing how its political character has evolved over more than a century.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.
Richmond-Berea, KY
Small-town rural republican 3
Knoxville, TN
Educated rural competitive 2
Jefferson City, MO
Small-town rural republican 3
Greenville-Anderson-Greer, SC
Small-town rural republican 2
Evansville, IN
Small-town rural republican 2
Johnson City, TN
Small-town rural republican 3
Terre Haute, IN
Small-town rural republican 3
Lynchburg, VA
Small-town rural republican 2
Counties in Springfield, MO
2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.
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Ask the Historian
Explore Springfield, MO's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 35.2% margin
Who Lives Here
A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
| Group | Springfield, MO | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 86.6% | 57.4% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.9% | 4.0% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(17) | 4.4% | 19.3% |
▶Black / African American(9) | 2.2% | 12.2% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.4% | 6.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(4) | 0.3% | 0.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(8) | 0.3% | 0.9% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(4) | 0.1% | 0.2% |
Method notes
Religious Adherents
Population that are religious adherents:
49.7%
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -71.8pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 37.7% | 76.0% | — | — | |
| 4.6% | 9.3% | — | — | |
| 4.3% | 8.7% | — | — | |
| 2.6% | 5.2% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 1.6% | 3.3% | — | — |
| 0.3% | 0.7% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 50.3% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Springfield, MO metro area? 486,785 residents across 5 counties.
Demographics
Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
Population & electorate
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Total population
487K
Share of U.S. population
0.15%
Voting-age population
74.9%
Economic profile
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Median household income
$65,654
Poverty rate
13.2%
College degree
30.8%
Homeownership
63.6%
Community profile
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Median age
37.3 yrs
Age 18–29
18.0%
Age 65+
17.2%
Foreign born
3.1%
Non-English at home
5.3%
English only
94.7%
Turnout in Springfield, MO
Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
65.5%
+2.2pp
364,493
1988–2024
How competitive is Springfield, MO?
Safe RAvg margin: R+35.6 (last 3 elections)
2008
R+21.9
2012
R+31.5
2016
R+38.0
2020
R+33.8
2024
R+35.2
16.0pp
0
R+32.1
Do voters in Springfield, MO split their tickets?
Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.
Moderate splitting (55/100)
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+35.2 | R+31.2 | 4.0pp |
| Senate vs Governor | R+31.2 | R+34.0 | 2.8pp |
| President vs Governor | R+35.2 | R+34.0 | 1.2pp |
Average divergence across office pairs: 9.3pp
Located In
Springfield, MO sits inside these higher-level geographies.
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