Henderson, NC
Leans Democratic — shifted 5.9pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 42K residents — 1 counties
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 37.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(7) | 9.5% |
▶Black / African American(4) | 47.3% |
▶Asian(4) | 0.7% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(2) | 0.3% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 1.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.1% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 33.9% | 62.9% |
| Mainline Protestant | 10.1% | 18.7% |
| Black Protestant | 6.5% | 12.0% |
| Other | 2.2% | 4.1% |
| Catholic | 1.2% | 2.2% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.8% | 1.6% |
| Non-religious | 46.1% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris+13.3 |
| 2020 | Biden+19.2 |
| 2016 | Clinton+24.5 |
| 2012 | Obama+28.3 |
| 2008 | Obama+26.6 |
| 2004 | Kerry+12.0 |
| 2000 | Gore+12.0 |
| 1996 | Clinton+14.9 |
| 1992 | Clinton+14.5 |
Henderson, NC is a metro area that has a population of 42,322. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+13.3. Akashic Edge tracks 36 presidential elections here, dating back to 1884.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 56.2% | 42.9% | D+13.3 | R+5.9 |
| 2020 | 59.2% | 40.0% | D+19.2 | R+5.3 |
| 2016 | 61.2% | 36.7% | D+24.5 | R+3.7 |
| 2012 | 63.9% | 35.6% | D+28.3 | D+1.6 |
| 2008 | 63.1% | 36.4% | D+26.6 | D+14.7 |
| 2004 | 55.9% | 43.9% | D+12.0 | R+0.1 |
| 2000 | 55.8% | 43.8% | D+12.0 | R+2.9 |
| 1996 | 54.9% | 40.0% | D+14.9 | D+0.4 |
| 1992 | 51.5% | 37.1% | D+14.5 | D+14.4 |
| 1988 | 49.9% | 49.9% | D+0.1 | D+7.6 |
| 1984 | 46.2% | 53.7% | R+7.5 | R+19.8 |
| 1980 | 55.4% | 43.1% | D+12.3 | R+6.8 |
| 1976 | 59.4% | 40.3% | D+19.1 | D+53.8 |
| 1972 | 32.1% | 66.8% | R+34.7 | R+48.8 |
| 1968 | 33.9% | 19.8% | D+14.1 | R+6.0 |
| 1964 | 60.0% | 40.0% | D+20.1 | R+27.7 |
| 1960 | 73.9% | 26.1% | D+47.8 | D+4.6 |
| 1956 | 71.6% | 28.4% | D+43.1 | R+10.5 |
| 1952 | 76.8% | 23.2% | D+53.6 | R+14.0 |
| 1948 | 79.5% | 11.9% | D+67.6 | — |
What defines Henderson, NC?
Henderson, NC has been trending Republican — 15pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a majority-minority electorate where racial demographics are the primary driver of partisan lean.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Counties in Henderson, NC
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vance | 42K | D+13.3 | 11,292 | 8,614 | 20,092 | 100.0% |
Ask the Historian
Key Insights
- Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
- Shifted 14.9 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections
- Margins have been narrowing — from 24.5pp to 13.3pp over the last 3 presidential elections
Who Lives Here
| Group | Henderson, NC | National |
|---|---|---|
▶Black / African American(4) | 47.3% | 12.2% |
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 37.2% | 57.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(7) | 9.5% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.1% | 4.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 1.2% | 0.9% |
▶Asian(4) | 0.7% | 6.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(2) | 0.3% | 0.9% |
Religious Adherents
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -65.2pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33.9% | 62.9% | — | — | |
| 10.1% | 18.7% | — | — | |
| 6.5% | 12.0% | — | — | |
| 2.2% | 4.1% | — | — | |
| 1.2% | 2.2% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.8% | 1.6% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 46.1% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Henderson, NC metro area? 42,322 residents across 1 counties.
Demographics
17% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 16pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+22 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in Henderson, NC
How competitive is Henderson, NC?
Do voters in Henderson, NC split their tickets?
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Governor | D+13.3 | D+25.0 | 11.7pp |