Recent answers

How has AK-HD-04 voted in state-level races since 2016?

Alaska at state level since 2016 as the closest defensible read, with explicit framing of what Atlas cannot show at the HD-04 grain.

Alaska voted R+13.1 in 2024, a 3.0-point rightward move from R+10.1 in 2020 that landed close to the R+14.

What’s the presidential baseline for AK-HD-18?

AK-HD-18's presidential lean within the constraints of Alaska's block-level data gap, paired with the statewide reference.

Alaska voted R+13.1 in 2024, running 11.7 points to the right of the national R+1.4 — the cleanest single-cycle read…

Compare Gore, Kerry, Clinton, and Harris coalitions

Four Democratic presidential coalitions across 24 years, county-by-county, with era-matched demographic controls — what overlaps, what…