Recent answers

What drove Stephens’s 2020→ 2024 swing?

Stephens County's 2020 to 2024 movement, decomposed into margin and turnout components and placed against its multi-cycle arc and its…

Stephens shifted 4.1 points right between 2020 and 2024 to land at R+62.8, extending a 15.6-point rightward arc that…

What’s the presidential baseline for KS-HD-120?

KS-HD-120's presidential margin pattern reaggregated from block-level data to the post-2020 district boundary, with state and national…

State House District 120 voted R+16.1 in 2024, a 4.0-pt rightward shift from R+12.1 in 2020 that widened an already…

What drove Brantley’s 2020→ 2024 swing?

Brantley County's specific 2020→2024 partisan shift situated against its multi-cycle arc and the parallel moves in Georgia and the nation.

Brantley's 2020→2024 move was only 1.2 points right, from R+81.2 to R+82.5 — the smallest cycle delta in the county's…

Which counties vote most like Jenkins?

Jenkins County, GA's political archetype, named via its top demographic and partisan peers.

The peer-county lookup for Jenkins County returned no matches and no margin, demographic, or trend data resolved in…

Which counties vote most like Stewart?

Stewart's archetype as a small rural Georgia county named via its closest demographic and political peers.

The peer-county lookup for Stewart County returned no matches: the overview margin is unavailable, the historical…

Compare Gore, Kerry, Clinton, and Harris coalitions

Four Democratic presidential coalitions across 24 years, county-by-county, with era-matched demographic controls — what overlaps, what…

30 minutes from downtown Atlanta

Atlanta's 30-minute commute-shed as a multi-county political unit within Georgia.

Where has Georgia trended since 2008?

Georgia's 2008-2024 partisan arc as a multi-cycle realignment with measurable inflection points, compared against the national trajectory ov

Georgia ended 2024 at R+2.2, 3.0 points to the left of where it sat under Obama in 2008

Counties most like Cuyahoga County, OH

Cuyahoga's archetype — Cleveland-anchored urban county, historically Democratic, mixed-race industrial Midwest — named via its peers across

Georgia

Georgia's cycle-by-cycle arc — long-time Republican stronghold that flipped Democratic in 2020, with the 2024 result placing the state in it

Fulton County, GA

Atlanta-anchored urban county in a battleground state with a specific cycle-by-cycle arc.

Fulton County voted D+44.9 in 2024 against Georgia's R+2.2 — a 47-point gap that puts the county on the opposite side…