Traverse City-Cadillac
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — 625K residents — 25 counties
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 88.7% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(16) | 2.8% |
▶Black / African American(9) | 1.6% |
▶Asian(6) | 0.5% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(11) | 0.4% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 1.8% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.6% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 12.0% | 41.9% |
| Catholic | 9.2% | 32.0% |
| Mainline Protestant | 5.7% | 20.0% |
| Other | 1.4% | 4.8% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.5% | 1.6% |
| Black Protestant | 0.4% | 1.3% |
| Non-religious | 71.3% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+22.9 |
| 2020 | Trump+22.1 |
| 2016 | Trump+25.3 |
| 2012 | Romney+11.4 |
| 2008 | McCain+1.9 |
| 2004 | Bush+14.9 |
| 2000 | Bush+12.9 |
| 1996 | Clinton+3.2 |
| 1992 | Clinton+0.6 |
Traverse City-Cadillac is a media market that has a population of 625,128. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+22.9. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 37.8% | 60.7% | R+22.9 | R+0.8 |
| 2020 | 38.2% | 60.3% | R+22.1 | D+3.2 |
| 2016 | 34.3% | 59.7% | R+25.3 | R+13.9 |
| 2012 | 43.5% | 54.9% | R+11.4 | R+9.6 |
| 2008 | 48.1% | 50.0% | R+1.9 | D+13.0 |
| 2004 | 42.0% | 56.9% | R+14.9 | R+1.9 |
| 2000 | 41.9% | 54.8% | R+12.9 | R+16.2 |
| 1996 | 45.1% | 41.9% | D+3.2 | D+2.7 |
| 1992 | 37.7% | 37.2% | D+0.6 | D+20.5 |
| 1988 | 39.7% | 59.6% | R+19.9 | D+14.9 |
| 1984 | 32.3% | 67.1% | R+34.8 | R+16.0 |
| 1980 | 36.0% | 54.9% | R+18.8 | R+3.5 |
| 1976 | 41.7% | 57.0% | R+15.3 | D+11.6 |
| 1972 | 35.4% | 62.4% | R+27.0 | R+7.3 |
| 1968 | 36.2% | 55.9% | R+19.7 | R+37.5 |
| 1964 | 58.8% | 41.0% | D+17.8 | D+42.8 |
| 1960 | 37.4% | 62.4% | R+25.0 | D+13.9 |
| 1956 | 30.5% | 69.3% | R+38.8 | D+3.1 |
| 1952 | 28.7% | 70.7% | R+42.0 | R+15.5 |
| 1948 | 35.4% | 61.9% | R+26.5 | — |
What defines Traverse City-Cadillac?
Traverse City-Cadillac voted overwhelmingly Republican in 2024. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, revealing how its political character has evolved over more than a century.
Constituent Counties
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Counties in Traverse City-Cadillac
2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.
Sort:
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grand Traverse | 96K | R+1.7 | 30,339 | 31,423 | 62,772 | 16.1% |
| Mecosta | 41K | R+30.1 | 7,688 | 14,445 | 22,489 | 5.8% |
| Chippewa | 36K | R+24.3 | 6,796 | 11,249 | 18,365 | 4.7% |
| Emmet | 34K | R+10.8 | 10,005 | 12,465 | 22,851 | 5.9% |
| Wexford | 34K | R+34.6 | 6,224 | 12,968 | 19,476 | 5.0% |
| Clare | 31K | R+37.6 | 5,273 | 11,772 | 17,288 | 4.4% |
| Mason | 29K | R+21.4 | 6,973 | 10,830 | 18,064 | 4.6% |
| Charlevoix | 26K | R+16.9 | 7,197 | 10,183 | 17,661 | 4.5% |
| Cheboygan | 26K | R+31.1 | 5,543 | 10,653 | 16,423 | 4.2% |
| Otsego | 26K | R+35.3 | 5,052 | 10,693 | 15,971 | 4.1% |
| Manistee | 25K | R+15.9 | 6,309 | 8,748 | 15,297 | 3.9% |
| Antrim | 24K | R+23.8 | 6,330 | 10,341 | 16,883 | 4.3% |
| Roscommon | 24K | R+32.9 | 5,290 | 10,582 | 16,068 | 4.1% |
| Osceola | 23K | R+47.9 | 3,326 | 9,639 | 13,184 | 3.4% |
| Leelanau | 23K | D+7.8 | 9,406 | 8,035 | 17,685 | 4.5% |
| Benzie | 18K | R+8.7 | 5,780 | 6,895 | 12,846 | 3.3% |
| Kalkaska | 18K | R+42.9 | 3,206 | 8,149 | 11,529 | 3.0% |
| Missaukee | 15K | R+56.0 | 1,945 | 7,066 | 9,152 | 2.3% |
| Crawford | 13K | R+33.8 | 2,752 | 5,613 | 8,476 | 2.2% |
| Presque Isle | 13K | R+29.0 | 3,036 | 5,568 | 8,742 | 2.2% |
| Lake | 13K | R+32.2 | 2,298 | 4,523 | 6,915 | 1.8% |
| Mackinac | 11K | R+24.9 | 2,675 | 4,476 | 7,238 | 1.9% |
| Montmorency | 10K | R+45.3 | 1,702 | 4,599 | 6,391 | 1.6% |
| Oscoda | 8K | R+44.3 | 1,414 | 3,716 | 5,192 | 1.3% |
| Luce | 6K | R+46.9 | 769 | 2,170 | 2,985 | 0.8% |
25 countiesTotal votes: 389,943
Ask the Historian
Explore Traverse City-Cadillac's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 22.9% margin
- The 2008 election was decided by just 1.9 points — razor-thin
Who Lives Here
A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
| Group | Local | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 88.7% | 57.4% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.6% | 4.0% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(16) | 2.8% | 19.3% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 1.8% | 0.9% |
▶Black / African American(9) | 1.6% | 12.2% |
▶Asian(6) | 0.5% | 6.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(11) | 0.4% | 0.9% |
Method notes
Religious Adherents
Population that are religious adherents:
28.7%
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -14.4pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.0% | 41.9% | — | — | |
| 9.2% | 32.0% | — | — | |
| 5.7% | 20.0% | — | — | |
| 1.4% | 4.8% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.5% | 1.6% | — | — |
| 0.4% | 1.3% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 71.3% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Traverse City-Cadillac media market? 625,128 residents across 25 counties.
Demographics
Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
28% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 5pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+3 on average nationally.
Population & electorate
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Total population
625K
Share of U.S. population
0.19%
Voting-age population
79.0%
Economic profile
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Median household income
$67,571
Poverty rate
13.0%
College degree
27.9%
Homeownership
81.8%
Community profile
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Median age
47.3 yrs
Age 18–29
12.6%
Age 65+
25.2%
Foreign born
1.8%
Non-English at home
3.5%
English only
96.5%
Turnout in Traverse City-Cadillac
Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
79.0%
+4.0pp
493,686
1988–2024
How competitive is Traverse City-Cadillac?
Safe RAvg margin: R+23.5 (last 3 elections)
2008
R+1.9
2012
R+11.4
2016
R+25.3
2020
R+22.1
2024
R+22.9
23.5pp
1
R+16.7
Do voters in Traverse City-Cadillac split their tickets?
Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.
Moderate splitting (55/100)
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+22.9 | R+22.2 | 0.7pp |
Average divergence across office pairs: 9.2pp
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