
Wausau-Rhinelander
Safe Republican — 458K residents — 11 counties
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 88.9% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(16) | 3.3% |
▶Black / African American(8) | 0.6% |
▶Asian(6) | 2.6% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(7) | 0.1% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 1.0% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.6% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 21.5% | 45.8% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 15.7% | 33.5% |
| Mainline Protestant | 7.9% | 16.8% |
| Other | 1.8% | 3.8% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.5% | 1.1% |
| Non-religious | 53.2% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+19.2 |
| 2020 | Trump+17.9 |
| 2016 | Trump+17.6 |
| 2012 | Romney+1.7 |
| 2008 | Obama+12.3 |
| 2004 | Bush+3.5 |
| 2000 | Bush+2.8 |
| 1996 | Clinton+10.6 |
| 1992 | Clinton+3.4 |
Wausau-Rhinelander is a media market that has a population of 457,577. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+19.2. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 39.6% | 58.8% | R+19.2 | R+1.3 |
| 2020 | 40.2% | 58.1% | R+17.9 | R+0.3 |
| 2016 | 38.3% | 55.9% | R+17.6 | R+15.9 |
| 2012 | 48.5% | 50.1% | R+1.7 | R+13.9 |
| 2008 | 55.2% | 42.9% | D+12.3 | D+15.7 |
| 2004 | 47.7% | 51.1% | R+3.5 | R+0.7 |
| 2000 | 45.8% | 48.6% | R+2.8 | R+13.4 |
| 1996 | 47.4% | 36.8% | D+10.6 | D+7.2 |
| 1992 | 39.0% | 35.6% | D+3.4 | D+2.4 |
| 1988 | 50.1% | 49.1% | D+1.0 | D+16.2 |
| 1984 | 41.7% | 56.9% | R+15.2 | R+11.1 |
| 1980 | 43.9% | 48.0% | R+4.1 | R+9.5 |
| 1976 | 51.5% | 46.1% | D+5.4 | D+14.8 |
| 1972 | 43.1% | 52.5% | R+9.4 | R+9.4 |
| 1968 | 45.8% | 45.7% | Even | R+29.8 |
| 1964 | 64.8% | 35.0% | D+29.8 | D+36.3 |
| 1960 | 46.7% | 53.1% | R+6.4 | D+18.5 |
| 1956 | 37.2% | 62.2% | R+25.0 | R+1.5 |
| 1952 | 38.1% | 61.5% | R+23.4 | R+31.5 |
| 1948 | 52.6% | 44.6% | D+8.0 | — |
What defines Wausau-Rhinelander?
Wausau-Rhinelander has been won by both parties in the last 6 presidential elections (1D, 5R) — a genuine swing geography.
Constituent Counties
Similar media markets
Counties in Wausau-Rhinelander
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon | 138K | R+18.6 | 31,529 | 46,213 | 78,826 | 29.0% |
| Wood | 74K | R+19.9 | 16,599 | 24,997 | 42,216 | 15.5% |
| Portage | 71K | D+1.2 | 21,503 | 20,987 | 43,258 | 15.9% |
| Oneida | 38K | R+17.6 | 10,080 | 14,455 | 24,895 | 9.1% |
| Lincoln | 28K | R+25.1 | 6,306 | 10,633 | 17,209 | 6.3% |
| Vilas | 24K | R+23.0 | 6,119 | 9,837 | 16,135 | 5.9% |
| Adams | 21K | R+25.8 | 4,443 | 7,763 | 12,882 | 4.7% |
| Taylor | 20K | R+48.1 | 2,823 | 8,209 | 11,186 | 4.1% |
| Langlade | 19K | R+34.6 | 3,746 | 7,782 | 11,664 | 4.3% |
| Price | 14K | R+31.1 | 3,005 | 5,763 | 8,856 | 3.3% |
| Forest | 9K | R+33.4 | 1,681 | 3,382 | 5,097 | 1.9% |
Ask the Historian
Key Insights
- The 2012 election was decided by just 1.7 points — razor-thin
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2008, Republicans in 2024
- Shifted 17.5 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections
Who Lives Here
| Group | Wausau-Rhinelander | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 88.9% | 57.4% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.6% | 4.0% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(16) | 3.3% | 19.3% |
▶Asian(6) | 2.6% | 6.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 1.0% | 0.9% |
▶Black / African American(8) | 0.6% | 12.2% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(7) | 0.1% | 0.9% |
Religious Adherents
Catholic-Evangelical edge: +7.9pp (vs national 4.5pp). A moderate religious balance between Catholic and Evangelical traditions.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21.5% | 45.8% | — | — | |
| 15.7% | 33.5% | — | — | |
| 7.9% | 16.8% | — | — | |
| 1.8% | 3.8% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.5% | 1.1% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 53.2% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Wausau-Rhinelander media market? 457,577 residents across 11 counties.
Demographics
26% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 7pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+3 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in Wausau-Rhinelander
How competitive is Wausau-Rhinelander?
Do voters in Wausau-Rhinelander split their tickets?
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+19.2 | R+15.9 | 3.2pp |