Fort Myers-Naples
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — shifted 8.9pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 1.5M residents — 6 counties
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 63.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(19) | 24.5% |
▶Black / African American(13) | 7.4% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.6% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(11) | 0.5% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.9% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.3% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 22.3% | 50.0% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 15.2% | 34.0% |
| Mainline Protestant | 3.4% | 7.5% |
| Other | 2.9% | 6.5% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.7% | 1.5% |
| Black Protestant | 0.6% | 1.4% |
| Orthodox Christian | 0.3% | 0.7% |
| Non-religious | 55.4% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+31.2 |
| 2020 | Trump+22.3 |
| 2016 | Trump+23.2 |
| 2012 | Romney+19.7 |
| 2008 | McCain+13.2 |
| 2004 | Bush+22.1 |
| 2000 | Bush+19.8 |
| 1996 | Dole+11.0 |
| 1992 | Bush+13.1 |
Fort Myers-Naples is a media market that has a population of 1,507,352. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+31.2. Akashic Edge tracks 35 presidential elections here, dating back to 1888.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 34.1% | 65.3% | R+31.2 | R+8.9 |
| 2020 | 38.5% | 60.8% | R+22.3 | D+0.9 |
| 2016 | 37.0% | 60.2% | R+23.2 | R+3.5 |
| 2012 | 39.7% | 59.4% | R+19.7 | R+6.6 |
| 2008 | 42.9% | 56.1% | R+13.2 | D+8.9 |
| 2004 | 38.4% | 60.5% | R+22.1 | R+2.3 |
| 2000 | 38.9% | 58.7% | R+19.8 | R+8.8 |
| 1996 | 38.8% | 49.7% | R+11.0 | D+2.1 |
| 1992 | 32.0% | 45.1% | R+13.1 | D+24.3 |
| 1988 | 31.0% | 68.4% | R+37.4 | D+10.3 |
| 1984 | 26.2% | 73.8% | R+47.7 | R+12.9 |
| 1980 | 29.9% | 64.7% | R+34.8 | R+23.9 |
| 1976 | 43.8% | 54.6% | R+10.8 | D+47.5 |
| 1972 | 20.7% | 79.0% | R+58.3 | R+38.6 |
| 1968 | 25.5% | 45.2% | R+19.7 | R+12.5 |
| 1964 | 46.4% | 53.6% | R+7.2 | D+13.5 |
| 1960 | 39.6% | 60.4% | R+20.7 | R+2.2 |
| 1956 | 40.7% | 59.3% | R+18.6 | R+12.2 |
| 1952 | 46.8% | 53.2% | R+6.3 | R+12.7 |
| 1948 | 41.2% | 34.9% | D+6.3 | — |
What defines Fort Myers-Naples?
It has a moderately diverse, middle-class electorate where education levels and suburban growth shape the partisan balance.
Constituent Counties
Similar media markets
Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.
Tampa-St. Petersburg (Sarasota)
Small-town rural republican 2
West Palm Beach-Fort Pierce
Small-town rural republican 2
Salisbury
Small-town rural republican 2
Orlando-Daytona Beach-Melbourne
Educated rural competitive
Medford-Klamath Falls
Small-town rural republican 2
Wilmington
Small-town rural republican 2
Presque Isle
Small-town rural republican 2
Alpena
Small-town rural republican 2
Counties in Fort Myers-Naples
2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.
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Ask the Historian
Explore Fort Myers-Naples's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 31.2% margin
- Swung 8.9 points toward Republican between 2020 and 2024
Who Lives Here
A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
| Group | Fort Myers-Naples | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 63.2% | 57.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(19) | 24.5% | 19.3% |
▶Black / African American(13) | 7.4% | 12.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.3% | 4.0% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.6% | 6.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.9% | 0.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(11) | 0.5% | 0.9% |
Method notes
Religious Adherents
Population that are religious adherents:
44.7%
Catholic-Evangelical edge: +11.6pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22.3% | 50.0% | — | — | |
| 15.2% | 34.0% | — | — | |
| 3.4% | 7.5% | — | — | |
| 2.9% | 6.5% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.7% | 1.5% | — | — |
| 0.6% | 1.4% | — | — | |
| 0.3% | 0.7% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 55.4% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Fort Myers-Naples media market? 1,507,352 residents across 6 counties.
Demographics
Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
Population & electorate
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Total population
1.5M
Share of U.S. population
0.45%
Voting-age population
81.7%
Economic profile
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Median household income
$77,832
Poverty rate
11.9%
College degree
31.9%
Homeownership
76.4%
Community profile
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Median age
51.1 yrs
Age 18–29
11.6%
Age 65+
31.2%
Foreign born
19.3%
Non-English at home
26.1%
English only
73.9%
Turnout in Fort Myers-Naples
Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
62.1%
+1.3pp
1,230,920
1988–2024
How competitive is Fort Myers-Naples?
Safe RAvg margin: R+25.6 (last 3 elections)
2008
R+13.2
2012
R+19.7
2016
R+23.2
2020
R+22.3
2024
R+31.2
18.0pp
0
R+21.9
Do voters in Fort Myers-Naples split their tickets?
Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.
Heavy splitting (49/100)
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+31.2 | R+36.3 | 5.1pp |
Average divergence across office pairs: 10.1pp
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