Sherman-Ada
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — shifted 3.1pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 359K residents — 11 counties
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 67.6% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(14) | 11.5% |
▶Black / African American(7) | 4.2% |
▶Asian(5) | 1.1% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(8) | 0.1% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(9) | 7.4% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(2) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 8.0% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 44.3% | 76.5% |
| Mainline Protestant | 5.5% | 9.5% |
| Catholic | 4.1% | 7.0% |
| Black Protestant | 2.3% | 3.9% |
| Other | 1.7% | 3.0% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.8% | 1.4% |
| Non-religious | 42.1% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+57.0 |
| 2020 | Trump+53.9 |
| 2016 | Trump+54.0 |
| 2012 | Romney+44.8 |
| 2008 | McCain+38.2 |
| 2004 | Bush+29.1 |
| 2000 | Bush+17.3 |
| 1996 | Clinton+6.1 |
| 1992 | Clinton+10.7 |
Sherman-Ada is a media market that has a population of 359,497. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+57.0. Akashic Edge tracks 39 presidential elections here, dating back to 1872.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 20.9% | 77.9% | R+57.0 | R+3.1 |
| 2020 | 22.3% | 76.2% | R+53.9 | D+0.1 |
| 2016 | 21.1% | 75.0% | R+54.0 | R+9.2 |
| 2012 | 27.3% | 72.1% | R+44.8 | R+6.6 |
| 2008 | 30.7% | 68.9% | R+38.2 | R+9.0 |
| 2004 | 35.3% | 64.5% | R+29.1 | R+11.9 |
| 2000 | 40.7% | 58.0% | R+17.3 | R+23.4 |
| 1996 | 46.9% | 40.8% | D+6.1 | R+4.6 |
| 1992 | 40.9% | 30.2% | D+10.7 | D+8.9 |
| 1988 | 50.6% | 48.8% | D+1.8 | D+22.4 |
| 1984 | 39.5% | 60.0% | R+20.6 | R+20.8 |
| 1980 | 49.0% | 48.7% | D+0.3 | R+26.3 |
| 1976 | 63.0% | 36.4% | D+26.6 | D+64.5 |
| 1972 | 30.4% | 68.3% | R+37.9 | R+44.7 |
| 1968 | 40.6% | 33.8% | D+6.8 | R+30.4 |
| 1964 | 68.6% | 31.4% | D+37.2 | D+29.3 |
| 1960 | 53.9% | 46.0% | D+7.9 | R+12.0 |
| 1956 | 59.9% | 40.0% | D+19.9 | R+3.3 |
| 1952 | 61.6% | 38.4% | D+23.2 | R+39.4 |
| 1948 | 80.6% | 18.0% | D+62.6 | — |
What defines Sherman-Ada?
Sherman-Ada voted overwhelmingly Republican in 2024. Akashic Edge tracks 39 presidential elections here, revealing how its political character has evolved over more than a century.
Constituent Counties
Similar media markets
Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.
Tulsa
Small-town rural republican
Minot-Bismarck-Dickinson (Williston)
Small-town rural republican
Casper-Riverton
Small-town rural republican
Joplin-Pittsburg
Small-town rural republican
Wichita Falls & Lawton
Rural Republican 2
Great Falls
Small-town rural republican
Billings
Small-town rural republican
Rapid City
Small-town rural republican
Counties in Sherman-Ada
2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.
Sort:
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grayson | 143K | R+54.3 | 14,800 | 50,556 | 65,915 | 43.4% |
| Carter | 49K | R+54.7 | 4,277 | 14,945 | 19,488 | 12.8% |
| Bryan | 48K | R+58.6 | 3,569 | 13,999 | 17,812 | 11.7% |
| Pontotoc | 38K | R+46.6 | 3,895 | 10,967 | 15,174 | 10.0% |
| Marshall | 16K | R+63.4 | 1,169 | 5,348 | 6,589 | 4.3% |
| Atoka | 14K | R+71.6 | 779 | 4,832 | 5,662 | 3.7% |
| Choctaw | 14K | R+65.4 | 944 | 4,633 | 5,639 | 3.7% |
| Pushmataha | 11K | R+72.5 | 616 | 4,025 | 4,702 | 3.1% |
| Johnston | 10K | R+65.7 | 684 | 3,462 | 4,230 | 2.8% |
| Love | 10K | R+66.2 | 689 | 3,510 | 4,260 | 2.8% |
| Coal | 5K | R+71.3 | 345 | 2,155 | 2,538 | 1.7% |
11 countiesTotal votes: 152,009
Ask the Historian
Explore Sherman-Ada's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 57.0% margin
- College attainment is 23% — 10pp below the national average. Similar education levels correlate with Republican lean nationally
Who Lives Here
A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
| Group | Sherman-Ada | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 67.6% | 57.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(14) | 11.5% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 8.0% | 4.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(9) | 7.4% | 0.9% |
▶Black / African American(7) | 4.2% | 12.2% |
▶Asian(5) | 1.1% | 6.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(8) | 0.1% | 0.9% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(2) | 0.1% | 0.2% |
Method notes
Religious Adherents
Population that are religious adherents:
57.9%
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -74.0pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.3% | 76.5% | — | — | |
| 5.5% | 9.5% | — | — | |
| 4.1% | 7.0% | — | — | |
| 2.3% | 3.9% | — | — | |
| 1.7% | 3.0% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.8% | 1.4% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 42.1% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Sherman-Ada media market? 359,497 residents across 11 counties.
Demographics
Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
23% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 10pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+9 on average nationally.
Population & electorate
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Total population
359K
Share of U.S. population
0.11%
Voting-age population
73.8%
Economic profile
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Median household income
$63,373
Poverty rate
14.5%
College degree
22.9%
Homeownership
67.6%
Community profile
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Median age
39.0 yrs
Age 18–29
14.5%
Age 65+
18.3%
Foreign born
4.8%
Non-English at home
8.7%
English only
91.3%
Turnout in Sherman-Ada
Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
57.3%
+3.4pp
265,252
1988–2024
How competitive is Sherman-Ada?
Safe RAvg margin: R+55.0 (last 3 elections)
2008
R+38.2
2012
R+44.8
2016
R+54.0
2020
R+53.9
2024
R+57.0
18.8pp
1
R+49.6
Do voters in Sherman-Ada split their tickets?
Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.
Heavy splitting (4/100)
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+57.0 | R+50.6 | 6.4pp |
Average divergence across office pairs: 16.6pp
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