How did Casper-Riverton vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Casper-Riverton voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+49.2. Kamala D Harris received 15,505 votes and Donald Trump received 47,186 out of 64,413 total votes cast, a 0.7-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is Casper-Riverton's political history?

Casper-Riverton has 34 presidential elections on record, spanning 1892 to 2024. It has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1968. The largest single-election swing was 51.3 points in 1920.

What are the demographics of Casper-Riverton?

Casper-Riverton has a population of 145,595 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 80.5% non-Hispanic white, 8.7% Hispanic. About 27% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $70,496.

Which places are most similar to Casper-Riverton?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar media markets to Casper-Riverton are North Platte, Sherman-Ada, Billings. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Casper-Riverton

Latest: 2024↓ R+0.7 vs 2020

Safe Republican — 146K residents — 5 counties

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Presidential margin · 2008 → 2024

Full history

2008
R+36.2
McCain
2012
R+42.6
Romney
2016
R+51.6
Trump
2020
R+48.4
Trump
2024
R+49.2
Trump

Who lives here

Full breakdown

White80.5%
Hispanic8.7%
Native American5.3%

Economy & age

Population: 146K
Median age: 39.6; +0.5pp vs U.S.
Median income: $70K; −$13K vs U.S.
College+: 27%; −8.8pp vs U.S.

Faith & language

Full detail

Evangelical15.6%
Catholic10.7%

95% English only5% Non-English

Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer

Similarity Explorer

Similar media markets

Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.

8 visible matches

North Platte

Small-town rural republican

R+57.1

Similarity score92%

Sherman-Ada

Small-town rural republican

R+57.0

Similarity score91%

Billings

Small-town rural republican

R+35.4

Similarity score90%

Glendive

Small-town rural republican

R+59.3

Similarity score90%

Cheyenne-Scottsbluff

Small-town rural republican

R+38.8

Similarity score89%

Lima

Small-town rural republican

R+55.1

Similarity score88%

Minot-Bismarck-Dickinson (Williston)

Small-town rural republican

R+51.8

Similarity score85%

St. Joseph

Small-town rural republican

R+37.8

Similarity score85%

Constituent Geography

Counties in Casper-Riverton

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Natrona	80K	R+48.1	8,337	24,671	33,921	52.7%
Fremont	40K	R+36.9	5,179	11,552	17,256	26.8%
Converse	14K	R+72.9	845	5,756	6,739	10.5%
Washakie	8K	R+63.7	656	3,125	3,877	6.0%
Hot Springs	5K	R+60.8	488	2,082	2,620	4.1%

5 countiesTotal votes: 64,413

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Casper-Riverton's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Casper-Riverton media market voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Casper-RivertonCensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 80.5%Hispanic 8.7%Native American 5.3%Multiracial 4.5%Black 0.5%Asian 0.4%

Group	Casper-Riverton	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	80.5%	57.4%
▶Hispanic / Latino(13)	8.7%	19.3%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(7)	5.3%	0.9%
Multiracial / Other	4.5%	4.0%
▶Black / African American(6)	0.5%	12.2%
▶Asian(6)	0.4%	6.0%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(5)	0.2%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

39.6%(57.7K people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: -16.8pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.

Ecological pattern — how to read this

Reflects patterns in counties where this religious tradition concentrates — not a claim about individual voters.

Values are derived by joining Religion Census 2020 (U.S. Religion Data Archive) with certified election results at the county level. That means we know what counties with more or fewer of this group did — not how any individual voted.

This is known as ecological inference. It is a valid way to surface geographic correlation but must not be read as a personal-vote claim about anyone in the group.

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Evangelical Protestant	15.6%	39.3%	—	—
Catholic	10.7%	26.9%	—	—
Other	9.2%	23.2%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	8.1%	20.4%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	4.0%	10.0%	—	—
Black Protestant	0.2%	0.4%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	60.4%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Explore Evangelical Protestant adherence nationally

Who lives in the Casper-Riverton media market? 145,595 residents across 5 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

Casper-Riverton vs National146K residents

27% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 6pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+3 on average nationally.

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

146K

local

146KNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.04%

local

0.04%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

74.5%

local

74.5%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$70,496

local

$70,496National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

10.7%

local

10.7%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

26.8%

local

26.8%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

73.1%

local

73.1%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

39.6 yrs

local

39.6 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

13.4%

local

13.4%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

18.6%

local

18.6%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

2.1%

local

2.1%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

5.2%

local

5.2%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

94.8%

local

94.8%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Casper-Riverton

Turnout % = votes cast ÷ citizen voting-age population (CVAP). Source: CVAP Special Tab 2020-2024.

2024 Turnout

58.6%

vs Previous

-2.3pp

Eligible Non-Voters

45K · 41.4%

Citizen VAP

109,868

History

1988–2024

Competitiveness

How competitive is Casper-Riverton?

Safe RAvg margin: R+49.7 (last 3 elections)

2008

R+36.2

2012

R+42.6

2016

R+51.6

2020

R+48.4

2024

R+49.2

Elasticity

15.3pp

margin range

Party Flips

last 30 years

5-Elec Avg

R+45.6

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Casper-Riverton split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyHeavy splitting (0/100)

2024 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
President vs Senate	R+49.2	R+53.7	4.5pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 23.3pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Casper-Riverton sits inside these higher-level geographies.

Wyoming(State)

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