Greenwood-Greenville
Latest: 2024
Safe Democratic — shifted 6.2pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 176K residents — 8 counties
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(12) | 31.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(9) | 2.2% |
▶Black / African American(4) | 63.7% |
▶Asian(6) | 0.5% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(3) | 0.1% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.1% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 36.4% | 59.0% |
| Black Protestant | 15.2% | 24.6% |
| Mainline Protestant | 6.1% | 9.8% |
| Catholic | 2.4% | 3.9% |
| Other | 1.6% | 2.6% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.4% | 0.6% |
| Non-religious | 38.3% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris+16.0 |
| 2020 | Biden+22.2 |
| 2016 | Clinton+21.9 |
| 2012 | Obama+28.4 |
| 2008 | Obama+23.5 |
| 2004 | Kerry+14.5 |
| 2000 | Gore+12.5 |
| 1996 | Clinton+20.2 |
| 1992 | Clinton+14.4 |
Greenwood-Greenville is a media market that has a population of 176,205. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+16.0. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 57.6% | 41.6% | D+16.0 | R+6.2 |
| 2020 | 60.5% | 38.3% | D+22.2 | D+0.4 |
| 2016 | 60.4% | 38.5% | D+21.9 | R+6.5 |
| 2012 | 63.9% | 35.5% | D+28.4 | D+4.9 |
| 2008 | 61.4% | 37.9% | D+23.5 | D+9.0 |
| 2004 | 56.6% | 42.2% | D+14.5 | D+2.0 |
| 2000 | 55.3% | 42.8% | D+12.5 | R+7.7 |
| 1996 | 58.0% | 37.8% | D+20.2 | D+5.8 |
| 1992 | 53.9% | 39.5% | D+14.4 | D+15.0 |
| 1988 | 49.0% | 49.7% | R+0.6 | D+2.6 |
| 1984 | 48.0% | 51.2% | R+3.2 | R+16.8 |
| 1980 | 55.6% | 42.1% | D+13.5 | D+1.8 |
| 1976 | 54.2% | 42.5% | D+11.7 | D+54.2 |
| 1972 | 27.4% | 69.9% | R+42.5 | R+63.5 |
| 1968 | 36.1% | 15.1% | D+21.0 | D+84.9 |
| 1964 | 18.1% | 81.9% | R+63.8 | R+71.1 |
| 1960 | 35.9% | 28.6% | D+7.3 | R+21.5 |
| 1956 | 52.8% | 24.1% | D+28.8 | D+21.2 |
| 1952 | 53.8% | 46.2% | D+7.6 | D+0.2 |
| 1948 | 11.8% | 4.3% | D+7.4 | — |
What defines Greenwood-Greenville?
It has a majority-minority electorate where racial demographics are the primary driver of partisan lean.
Constituent Counties
Similar media markets
Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.
Counties in Greenwood-Greenville
2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.
Sort:
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington | 43K | D+35.0 | 9,735 | 4,649 | 14,540 | 22.1% |
| Bolivar | 30K | D+23.7 | 6,419 | 3,943 | 10,435 | 15.9% |
| Leflore | 27K | D+38.5 | 6,476 | 2,854 | 9,421 | 14.3% |
| Sunflower | 24K | D+35.5 | 5,312 | 2,515 | 7,876 | 12.0% |
| Grenada | 21K | R+16.3 | 4,060 | 5,651 | 9,766 | 14.9% |
| Tallahatchie | 12K | D+5.9 | 2,630 | 2,333 | 5,012 | 7.6% |
| Chicot | 10K | D+4.0 | 1,796 | 1,658 | 3,490 | 5.3% |
| Carroll | 10K | R+44.3 | 1,431 | 3,730 | 5,194 | 7.9% |
8 countiesTotal votes: 65,734
Ask the Historian
Explore Greenwood-Greenville's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
- College attainment is 21% — 12pp below the national average. Similar education levels correlate with Republican lean nationally
- Turnout decreased by 10.4 percentage points since the previous presidential election
Who Lives Here
A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
| Group | Greenwood-Greenville | National |
|---|---|---|
▶Black / African American(4) | 63.7% | 12.2% |
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(12) | 31.4% | 57.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(9) | 2.2% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.1% | 4.0% |
▶Asian(6) | 0.5% | 6.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(3) | 0.1% | 0.9% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.1% | 0.9% |
Method notes
Religious Adherents
Population that are religious adherents:
61.7%
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -59.6pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36.4% | 59.0% | — | — | |
| 15.2% | 24.6% | — | — | |
| 6.1% | 9.8% | — | — | |
| 2.4% | 3.9% | — | — | |
| 1.6% | 2.6% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.4% | 0.6% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 38.3% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Greenwood-Greenville media market? 176,205 residents across 8 counties.
Demographics
Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
21% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 12pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+15 on average nationally.
Population & electorate
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Total population
176K
Share of U.S. population
0.05%
Voting-age population
71.2%
Economic profile
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Median household income
$41,841
Poverty rate
27.6%
College degree
21.1%
Homeownership
61.9%
Community profile
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Median age
38.4 yrs
Age 18–29
15.5%
Age 65+
17.7%
Foreign born
1.3%
Non-English at home
2.6%
English only
97.4%
Turnout in Greenwood-Greenville
Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
52.4%
-10.4pp
125,514
1988–2024
How competitive is Greenwood-Greenville?
Safe DAvg margin: D+20.0 (last 3 elections)
2008
D+23.5
2012
D+28.4
2016
D+21.9
2020
D+22.2
2024
D+16.0
12.4pp
0
D+22.4
Do voters in Greenwood-Greenville split their tickets?
Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.
Heavy splitting (0/100)
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | D+16.0 | D+11.8 | 4.2pp |
Average divergence across office pairs: 24.1pp
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