Columbia, SC
Competitive — shifted 6.4pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 1.1M residents — 11 counties
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 50.7% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(19) | 6.4% |
▶Black / African American(14) | 37.2% |
▶Asian(6) | 2.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10) | 0.4% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3) | 0.3% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(3) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.4% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 27.4% | 50.7% |
| Mainline Protestant | 10.7% | 19.7% |
| Black Protestant | 6.9% | 12.7% |
| Catholic | 5.6% | 10.4% |
| Other | 3.4% | 6.3% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.0% | 1.9% |
| Orthodox Christian | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Non-religious | 45.9% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris+1.0 |
| 2020 | Biden+7.4 |
| 2016 | Clinton+4.7 |
| 2012 | Obama+7.7 |
| 2008 | Obama+5.9 |
| 2004 | Bush+3.7 |
| 2000 | Bush+6.4 |
| 1996 | Clinton+1.4 |
| 1992 | Bush+1.5 |
Columbia, SC is a media market that has a population of 1,122,746. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+1.0. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 49.7% | 48.7% | D+1.0 | R+6.4 |
| 2020 | 53.0% | 45.6% | D+7.4 | D+2.7 |
| 2016 | 50.2% | 45.5% | D+4.7 | R+3.0 |
| 2012 | 53.2% | 45.5% | D+7.7 | D+1.8 |
| 2008 | 52.5% | 46.6% | D+5.9 | D+9.6 |
| 2004 | 47.7% | 51.4% | R+3.7 | D+2.7 |
| 2000 | 45.7% | 52.1% | R+6.4 | R+7.8 |
| 1996 | 48.1% | 46.7% | D+1.4 | D+2.9 |
| 1992 | 44.4% | 45.8% | R+1.5 | D+17.5 |
| 1988 | 39.7% | 58.7% | R+19.0 | D+3.8 |
| 1984 | 37.9% | 60.7% | R+22.7 | R+17.4 |
| 1980 | 46.0% | 51.3% | R+5.4 | R+10.8 |
| 1976 | 52.4% | 47.0% | D+5.4 | D+42.4 |
| 1972 | 30.8% | 67.8% | R+37.0 | R+29.9 |
| 1968 | 32.9% | 40.0% | R+7.1 | D+20.9 |
| 1964 | 36.0% | 64.0% | R+28.0 | R+10.3 |
| 1960 | 41.1% | 58.9% | R+17.7 | R+26.4 |
| 1956 | 32.2% | 23.5% | D+8.7 | R+27.4 |
| 1952 | 38.9% | 2.8% | D+36.0 | D+23.1 |
| 1948 | 17.0% | 4.1% | D+13.0 | — |
What defines Columbia, SC?
Columbia, SC has been won by both parties in the last 6 presidential elections (5D, 1R) — a genuine swing geography. It has a plurality-minority electorate (49% nonwhite) where demographic change is reshaping the political map.
Constituent Counties
Similar media markets
Counties in Columbia, SC
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richland | 422K | D+34.6 | 121,110 | 58,019 | 182,411 | 35.4% |
| Lexington | 305K | R+33.5 | 47,815 | 96,965 | 146,903 | 28.5% |
| Sumter | 105K | D+4.9 | 23,425 | 21,215 | 45,170 | 8.8% |
| Orangeburg | 83K | D+24.6 | 22,832 | 13,750 | 36,970 | 7.2% |
| Kershaw | 68K | R+28.2 | 11,826 | 21,289 | 33,533 | 6.5% |
| Newberry | 38K | R+34.3 | 5,841 | 12,067 | 18,129 | 3.5% |
| Clarendon | 31K | R+12.3 | 7,064 | 9,065 | 16,320 | 3.2% |
| Fairfield | 21K | D+13.2 | 6,277 | 4,792 | 11,215 | 2.2% |
| Saluda | 19K | R+44.4 | 2,454 | 6,452 | 9,014 | 1.7% |
| Lee | 16K | D+17.7 | 4,505 | 3,078 | 8,076 | 1.6% |
| Calhoun | 14K | R+14.3 | 3,339 | 4,474 | 7,914 | 1.5% |
Ask the Historian
Key Insights
- Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
- The 2024 election was decided by just 1.0 points — razor-thin
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2024, Republicans in 2004
Who Lives Here
| Group | Columbia, SC | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 50.7% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(14) | 37.2% | 12.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(19) | 6.4% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.4% | 4.0% |
▶Asian(6) | 2.0% | 6.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10) | 0.4% | 0.9% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3) | 0.3% | 0.9% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(3) | 0.1% | 0.2% |
Religious Adherents
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -44.8pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27.4% | 50.7% | — | — | |
| 10.7% | 19.7% | — | — | |
| 6.9% | 12.7% | — | — | |
| 5.6% | 10.4% | — | — | |
| 3.4% | 6.3% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 1.0% | 1.9% | — | — |
| 0.1% | 0.2% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 45.9% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Columbia, SC media market? 1,122,746 residents across 11 counties.
Demographics
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in Columbia, SC
How competitive is Columbia, SC?
Do voters in Columbia, SC split their tickets?
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senate vs Governor | R+5.8 | D+2.3 | 8.1pp |