
Jackson, MS
Competitive — shifted 5.8pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 883K residents — 24 counties
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 45.6% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(15) | 3.1% |
▶Black / African American(8) | 47.7% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(7) | 0.3% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.4% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.1% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 41.9% | 64.3% |
| Black Protestant | 11.5% | 17.7% |
| Mainline Protestant | 7.1% | 10.9% |
| Catholic | 2.5% | 3.8% |
| Other | 2.1% | 3.2% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.7% | 1.1% |
| Non-religious | 34.8% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+5.0 |
| 2020 | Biden+0.8 |
| 2016 | Trump+0.9 |
| 2012 | Obama+3.3 |
| 2008 | Obama+0.9 |
| 2004 | Bush+11.3 |
| 2000 | Bush+11.1 |
| 1996 | Dole+0.8 |
| 1992 | Bush+6.8 |
Jackson, MS is a media market that has a population of 882,812. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+5.0. Akashic Edge tracks 39 presidential elections here, dating back to 1872.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 47.0% | 52.0% | R+5.0 | R+5.8 |
| 2020 | 49.7% | 48.9% | D+0.8 | D+1.7 |
| 2016 | 48.6% | 49.4% | R+0.9 | R+4.2 |
| 2012 | 51.3% | 48.0% | D+3.3 | D+2.5 |
| 2008 | 50.1% | 49.2% | D+0.9 | D+12.2 |
| 2004 | 43.9% | 55.2% | R+11.3 | R+0.2 |
| 2000 | 43.5% | 54.7% | R+11.1 | R+10.4 |
| 1996 | 46.9% | 47.7% | R+0.8 | D+6.0 |
| 1992 | 42.4% | 49.2% | R+6.8 | D+9.3 |
| 1988 | 41.4% | 57.5% | R+16.1 | D+1.7 |
| 1984 | 40.8% | 58.5% | R+17.8 | R+14.2 |
| 1980 | 47.0% | 50.6% | R+3.6 | D+2.9 |
| 1976 | 45.5% | 52.0% | R+6.5 | D+44.8 |
| 1972 | 23.2% | 74.6% | R+51.4 | R+66.0 |
| 1968 | 28.1% | 13.5% | D+14.6 | D+96.8 |
| 1964 | 8.9% | 91.1% | R+82.2 | R+82.8 |
| 1960 | 26.4% | 25.9% | D+0.6 | R+22.3 |
| 1956 | 47.6% | 24.7% | D+22.9 | D+13.0 |
| 1952 | 54.9% | 45.1% | D+9.9 | D+6.7 |
| 1948 | 5.4% | 2.2% | D+3.2 | — |
What defines Jackson, MS?
Jackson, MS has flipped between parties in each of the last three elections — a fiercely contested battleground. It has a plurality-minority electorate (54% nonwhite) where demographic change is reshaping the political map.
Constituent Counties
Similar media markets
Counties in Jackson, MS
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hinds | 219K | D+46.1 | 62,840 | 22,816 | 86,830 | 22.8% |
| Rankin | 159K | R+47.1 | 18,060 | 50,896 | 69,678 | 18.3% |
| Madison | 112K | R+17.3 | 22,700 | 32,333 | 55,710 | 14.6% |
| Warren | 43K | R+4.0 | 8,683 | 9,407 | 18,298 | 4.8% |
| Pike | 40K | R+3.5 | 7,402 | 7,943 | 15,485 | 4.1% |
| Lincoln | 35K | R+45.4 | 4,262 | 11,432 | 15,802 | 4.2% |
| Adams | 29K | D+13.9 | 6,743 | 5,081 | 11,928 | 3.1% |
| Copiah | 28K | R+6.1 | 5,426 | 6,134 | 11,665 | 3.1% |
| Scott | 28K | R+23.9 | 3,729 | 6,098 | 9,891 | 2.6% |
| Simpson | 26K | R+36.7 | 3,479 | 7,552 | 11,094 | 2.9% |
| Yazoo | 25K | R+2.4 | 4,342 | 4,558 | 8,971 | 2.4% |
| Leake | 21K | R+23.4 | 3,182 | 5,143 | 8,380 | 2.2% |
| Attala | 18K | R+23.3 | 2,930 | 4,723 | 7,703 | 2.0% |
| Holmes | 16K | D+62.1 | 5,420 | 1,243 | 6,730 | 1.8% |
| Smith | 14K | R+60.7 | 1,486 | 6,146 | 7,676 | 2.0% |
| Walthall | 14K | R+26.9 | 2,355 | 4,114 | 6,529 | 1.7% |
| Lawrence | 12K | R+36.6 | 1,899 | 4,113 | 6,053 | 1.6% |
| Jefferson Davis | 11K | D+13.7 | 3,041 | 2,302 | 5,378 | 1.4% |
| Claiborne | 9K | D+67.5 | 2,950 | 558 | 3,541 | 0.9% |
| Franklin | 8K | R+39.8 | 1,213 | 2,831 | 4,066 | 1.1% |
| Humphreys | 7K | D+41.9 | 2,443 | 990 | 3,468 | 0.9% |
| Jefferson | 7K | D+66.3 | 2,727 | 541 | 3,299 | 0.9% |
| Sharkey | 4K | D+36.8 | 1,201 | 551 | 1,766 | 0.5% |
| Issaquena | 928 | R+1.4 | 287 | 296 | 622 | 0.2% |
Ask the Historian
Key Insights
- The 2020 election was decided by just 0.8 points — razor-thin
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2020, Republicans in 2024
- Turnout decreased by 5.5 percentage points since the previous presidential election
Who Lives Here
| Group | Jackson, MS | National |
|---|---|---|
▶Black / African American(8) | 47.7% | 12.2% |
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 45.6% | 57.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(15) | 3.1% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.1% | 4.0% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.0% | 6.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.4% | 0.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(7) | 0.3% | 0.9% |
Religious Adherents
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -65.0pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 41.9% | 64.3% | — | — | |
| 11.5% | 17.7% | — | — | |
| 7.1% | 10.9% | — | — | |
| 2.5% | 3.8% | — | — | |
| 2.1% | 3.2% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.7% | 1.1% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 34.8% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Jackson, MS media market? 882,812 residents across 24 counties.
Demographics
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in Jackson, MS
How competitive is Jackson, MS?
Do voters in Jackson, MS split their tickets?
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+5.0 | R+8.9 | 3.9pp |