How did Grand Junction-Montrose vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Grand Junction-Montrose voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+26.1. Kamala D Harris received 41,927 votes and Donald Trump received 72,543 out of 117,217 total votes cast, a 3.7-point shift toward Democrats from 2020.

What is Grand Junction-Montrose's political history?

Grand Junction-Montrose has 36 presidential elections on record, spanning 1884 to 2024. It has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1968. The largest single-election swing was 106.3 points in 1896.

What are the demographics of Grand Junction-Montrose?

Grand Junction-Montrose has a population of 202,408 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 77.2% non-Hispanic white, 16.8% Hispanic. About 32% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $73,327.

Which places are most similar to Grand Junction-Montrose?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar media markets to Grand Junction-Montrose are Bend, OR, Salisbury, Glendive. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Grand Junction-Montrose

Latest: 2024↑ D+3.7 vs 2020

Safe Republican — shifted 3.7pp toward Democrats in 2024 — 202K residents — 2 counties

Ask Historian Open in Explore CompareShare image

Race & ancestry

Group	%
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	77.2%
▶Hispanic / Latino(19)	16.8%
▶Black / African American(6)	0.6%
▶Asian(6)	0.8%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(6)	0.1%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(4)	0.9%
Multiracial / Other	3.6%

View full demographics →

Religious adherence

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents
Evangelical Protestant	17.4%	48.4%
Catholic	8.8%	24.5%
Other	7.3%	20.3%
LDS (Mormon)	5.4%	15.1%
Mainline Protestant	2.3%	6.5%
Non-religious	64.0%	—

View full religion →

Presidential results

Year	Result
2024	Trump+26.1
2020	Trump+29.8
2016	Trump+37.4
2012	Romney+33.3
2008	McCain+29.6
2004	Bush+36.4
2000	Bush+33.9
1996	Dole+17.6
1992	Bush+7.4

View full election history →

Grand Junction-Montrose is a media market that has a population of 202,408. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+26.1. Akashic Edge tracks 36 presidential elections here, dating back to 1884.

Grand Junction-Montrose Presidential Election Results, 1948–2024
Year	Dem %	Rep %	Margin	Swing
2024	35.8%	61.9%	R+26.1	D+3.7
2020	33.9%	63.8%	R+29.8	D+7.6
2016	27.5%	64.9%	R+37.4	R+4.1
2012	32.2%	65.6%	R+33.3	R+3.8
2008	34.4%	63.9%	R+29.6	D+6.8
2004	31.2%	67.5%	R+36.4	R+2.4
2000	29.9%	63.8%	R+33.9	R+16.3
1996	35.9%	53.5%	R+17.6	R+10.2
1992	33.8%	41.3%	R+7.4	D+13.9
1988	38.4%	59.7%	R+21.3	D+19.6
1984	28.9%	69.8%	R+40.9	D+5.0
1980	22.9%	68.8%	R+45.9	R+15.6
1976	33.6%	63.8%	R+30.3	D+9.8
1972	27.7%	67.7%	R+40.0	R+29.0
1968	39.4%	50.4%	R+11.0	R+31.6
1964	60.2%	39.6%	D+20.6	D+38.2
1960	41.1%	58.7%	R+17.6	D+7.9
1956	37.1%	62.6%	R+25.5	D+3.2
1952	35.4%	64.1%	R+28.7	R+38.0
1948	53.9%	44.6%	D+9.3	—

Political Identity

What defines Grand Junction-Montrose?

It has a moderately diverse, middle-class electorate where education levels and suburban growth shape the partisan balance.

Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer

Similarity Explorer

Similar media markets

Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.

8 visible matches

Bend, OR

Small-town rural republican 2

D+10.4

Similarity score85%

Salisbury

Small-town rural republican 2

R+11.8

Similarity score84%

Glendive

Small-town rural republican

R+59.3

Similarity score82%

Helena

Small-town rural republican 2

R+11.3

Similarity score82%

Missoula

Small-town rural republican 2

R+14.3

Similarity score81%

Alpena

Small-town rural republican 2

R+32.6

Similarity score81%

Elmira (Corning)

Small-town rural republican

R+29.7

Similarity score81%

Medford-Klamath Falls

Small-town rural republican 2

R+18.7

Similarity score81%

Constituent Geography

Counties in Grand Junction-Montrose

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Mesa	159K	R+24.3	33,573	55,839	91,600	78.1%
Montrose	44K	R+32.6	8,354	16,704	25,617	21.9%

2 countiesTotal votes: 117,217

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Grand Junction-Montrose's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Grand Junction-Montrose media market voted in presidential elections?”

Automated Readout

Key Insights

High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.

Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 26.1% margin
Margins have been narrowing — from 37.4pp to 26.1pp over the last 3 presidential elections

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Grand Junction-MontroseCensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 77.2%Hispanic 16.8%Multiracial 3.6%Native American 0.9%Asian 0.8%Black 0.6%

Group	Local	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	77.2%	57.4%
▶Hispanic / Latino(19)	16.8%	19.3%
Multiracial / Other	3.6%	4.0%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(4)	0.9%	0.9%
▶Asian(6)	0.8%	6.0%
▶Black / African American(6)	0.6%	12.2%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(6)	0.1%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

36.0%(72.9K people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: -28.4pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Evangelical Protestant	17.4%	48.4%	—	—
Catholic	8.8%	24.5%	—	—
Other	7.3%	20.3%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	5.4%	15.1%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	2.3%	6.5%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	64.0%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Who lives in the Grand Junction-Montrose media market? 202,408 residents across 2 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

Grand Junction-Montrose vs National202K residents

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

202K

local

202KNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.06%

local

0.06%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

77.1%

local

77.1%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$73,327

local

$73,327National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

10.9%

local

10.9%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

31.5%

local

31.5%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

73.1%

local

73.1%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

42.3 yrs

local

42.3 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

14.1%

local

14.1%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

22.1%

local

22.1%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

4.5%

local

4.5%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

8.4%

local

8.4%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

91.6%

local

91.6%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Grand Junction-Montrose

Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.

2024 Turnout

75.1%

vs Previous

+1.0pp

Voting-Age Pop

156,016

History

1988–2024

Competitiveness

How competitive is Grand Junction-Montrose?

Safe RAvg margin: R+31.1 (last 3 elections)

2008

R+29.6

2012

R+33.3

2016

R+37.4

2020

R+29.8

2024

R+26.1

Elasticity

11.3pp

margin range

Party Flips

last 30 years

5-Elec Avg

R+31.3

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Grand Junction-Montrose split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyHeavy splitting (29/100)

2022 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
Senate vs Governor	R+19.8	R+16.0	3.8pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 13.1pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Grand Junction-Montrose sits inside these higher-level geographies.

Colorado(State)

Upgrade Path

Unlock Media Market Analytics

Advance from the public dossier into precinct-level, insight-rich district intelligence.

Target plan Pro$33/mo

Precinct data, Smart Insights, full history, and export controls tailored to place pages.

Precinct-Level Data

See results for every neighborhood and voting precinct

Smart Insights

Automated highlights from recent election patterns

Full Historical Access

165 years of election data at every level of geography

CSV Exports

Download any table or chart as a CSV file

Upgrade to Pro$33/mo