Bend, OR
Leans Democratic — 206K residents — 1 counties
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 83.5% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(20) | 9.2% |
▶Black / African American(8) | 0.4% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.1% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(8) | 0.6% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(7) | 0.7% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(2) | 0.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.9% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 15.3% | 54.3% |
| Catholic | 5.7% | 20.2% |
| Other | 5.3% | 18.8% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 2.5% | 8.8% |
| Mainline Protestant | 1.8% | 6.4% |
| Non-religious | 71.8% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris+10.4 |
| 2020 | Biden+8.2 |
| 2016 | Trump+3.3 |
| 2012 | Romney+6.7 |
| 2008 | McCain+0.3 |
| 2004 | Bush+14.3 |
| 2000 | Bush+17.4 |
| 1996 | Dole+8.8 |
| 1992 | Clinton+0.1 |
Bend, OR is a media market that has a population of 206,334. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+10.4. Akashic Edge tracks 27 presidential elections here, dating back to 1920.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 53.5% | 43.1% | D+10.4 | D+2.2 |
| 2020 | 52.7% | 44.4% | D+8.2 | D+11.5 |
| 2016 | 43.1% | 46.4% | R+3.3 | D+3.4 |
| 2012 | 45.1% | 51.8% | R+6.7 | R+6.4 |
| 2008 | 48.7% | 49.0% | R+0.3 | D+14.0 |
| 2004 | 42.1% | 56.4% | R+14.3 | D+3.1 |
| 2000 | 38.1% | 55.5% | R+17.4 | R+8.6 |
| 1996 | 37.9% | 46.7% | R+8.8 | R+8.9 |
| 1992 | 35.7% | 35.6% | D+0.1 | D+7.0 |
| 1988 | 45.5% | 52.4% | R+6.9 | D+17.7 |
| 1984 | 37.6% | 62.2% | R+24.6 | R+5.3 |
| 1980 | 33.6% | 52.9% | R+19.3 | R+21.5 |
| 1976 | 48.9% | 46.7% | D+2.2 | D+11.8 |
| 1972 | 42.6% | 52.3% | R+9.6 | R+3.0 |
| 1968 | 43.3% | 49.9% | R+6.6 | R+44.1 |
| 1964 | 68.7% | 31.1% | D+37.5 | D+41.3 |
| 1960 | 48.0% | 51.7% | R+3.7 | D+9.9 |
| 1956 | 43.2% | 56.8% | R+13.7 | D+15.3 |
| 1952 | 35.3% | 64.3% | R+29.0 | R+29.5 |
| 1948 | 48.8% | 48.3% | D+0.5 | — |
What defines Bend, OR?
Bend, OR has been drifting steadily toward Democrats — 17pp bluer over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a highly educated electorate (45% college-educated) — a demographic increasingly aligned with Democrats nationwide.
Constituent Counties
Similar media markets
Counties in Bend, OR
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deschutes | 206K | D+10.4 | 68,108 | 54,850 | 127,375 | 100.0% |
Ask the Historian
Key Insights
- The 2008 election was decided by just 0.3 points — razor-thin
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2024, Republicans in 2016
- Shifted 17.1 points toward Democrats over the last 4 elections
Who Lives Here
| Group | Bend, OR | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 83.5% | 57.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(20) | 9.2% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.9% | 4.0% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.1% | 6.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(7) | 0.7% | 0.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(8) | 0.6% | 0.9% |
▶Black / African American(8) | 0.4% | 12.2% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(2) | 0.2% | 0.2% |
Religious Adherents
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -38.5pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15.3% | 54.3% | — | — | |
| 5.7% | 20.2% | — | — | |
| 5.3% | 18.8% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 2.5% | 8.8% | — | — |
| 1.8% | 6.4% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 71.8% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Bend, OR media market? 206,334 residents across 1 counties.
Demographics
45% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 12pp above the national average. Places with similar education levels vote D+16 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in Bend, OR
How competitive is Bend, OR?
Do voters in Bend, OR split their tickets?
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senate vs Governor | D+10.2 | R+3.3 | 13.5pp |