How did Canton-Massillon, OH vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Canton-Massillon, OH voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+24.2. Kamala D Harris received 74,161 votes and Donald Trump received 122,112 out of 198,012 total votes cast, a 3.3-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is Canton-Massillon, OH's political history?

Canton-Massillon, OH has 40 presidential elections on record, spanning 1868 to 2024. Democrats have won 11 and Republicans 29 of those contests. The largest single-election swing was 36.4 points in 1932.

What are the demographics of Canton-Massillon, OH?

Canton-Massillon, OH has a population of 400,372 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 84.5% non-Hispanic white, 2.9% Hispanic, 6.7% Black. About 25% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $67,726.

Which places are most similar to Canton-Massillon, OH?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar metro areas to Canton-Massillon, OH are Sandusky, OH, Hermitage, PA, Ottawa, IL. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Canton-Massillon, OH

Latest: 2024↓ R+3.3 vs 2020

Safe Republican — shifted 3.3pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 400K residents — 2 counties

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Race & ancestry

Group	%
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	84.5%
▶Hispanic / Latino(17)	2.9%
▶Black / African American(9)	6.7%
▶Asian(6)	0.8%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(9)	0.5%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1)	0.1%
Multiracial / Other	4.9%

View full demographics →

Religious adherence

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents
Evangelical Protestant	22.3%	47.7%
Catholic	12.4%	26.5%
Mainline Protestant	8.3%	17.9%
Black Protestant	1.6%	3.4%
Other	1.4%	2.9%
Orthodox Christian	0.7%	1.6%
LDS (Mormon)	0.4%	0.8%
Non-religious	53.2%	—

View full religion →

Presidential results

Year	Result
2024	Trump+24.2
2020	Trump+20.9
2016	Trump+18.9
2012	Romney+0.5
2008	Obama+4.7
2004	Kerry+0.9
2000	Bush+2.7
1996	Clinton+8.0
1992	Clinton+4.6

View full election history →

Canton-Massillon, OH is a metro area that has a population of 400,372. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+24.2. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.

Canton-Massillon, OH Presidential Election Results, 1948–2024
Year	Dem %	Rep %	Margin	Swing
2024	37.5%	61.7%	R+24.2	R+3.3
2020	38.8%	59.7%	R+20.9	R+2.0
2016	37.1%	56.1%	R+18.9	R+18.5
2012	48.7%	49.2%	R+0.5	R+5.2
2008	51.2%	46.5%	D+4.7	D+3.9
2004	50.2%	49.3%	D+0.9	D+3.5
2000	46.6%	49.3%	R+2.7	R+10.7
1996	46.0%	38.0%	D+8.0	D+3.3
1992	39.9%	35.2%	D+4.6	D+15.9
1988	43.9%	55.2%	R+11.2	D+9.4
1984	39.3%	59.9%	R+20.6	R+2.0
1980	37.4%	56.0%	R+18.6	R+16.9
1976	48.1%	49.8%	R+1.7	D+26.4
1972	34.9%	63.0%	R+28.1	R+20.0
1968	40.1%	48.1%	R+8.1	R+32.2
1964	62.1%	37.9%	D+24.1	D+35.6
1960	44.3%	55.7%	R+11.5	D+15.1
1956	36.7%	63.3%	R+26.5	R+10.3
1952	41.9%	58.1%	R+16.2	R+11.3
1948	47.0%	51.9%	R+4.9	—

Political Identity

What defines Canton-Massillon, OH?

Canton-Massillon, OH has been trending Republican — 24pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles.

Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer

Similarity Explorer

Similar metro areas

Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.

8 visible matches

Sandusky, OH

Small-town rural republican

R+18.3

Similarity score86%

Hermitage, PA

Small-town rural republican 2

R+30.2

Similarity score85%

Ottawa, IL

Small-town rural republican 2

R+19.9

Similarity score85%

Johnstown, PA

Small-town rural republican 3

R+39.7

Similarity score83%

Pittsburgh, PA

Educated rural competitive 2

R+4.5

Similarity score82%

Wisconsin Rapids-Marshfield, WI

Small-town rural republican 2

R+19.9

Similarity score82%

Bay City, MI

Small-town rural republican 2

R+14.7

Similarity score82%

Monroe, MI

Small-town rural republican 2

R+27.1

Similarity score82%

Constituent Geography

Counties in Canton-Massillon, OH

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Stark	374K	R+21.9	71,090	111,478	184,193	93.0%
Carroll	27K	R+54.7	3,071	10,634	13,819	7.0%

2 countiesTotal votes: 198,012

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Canton-Massillon, OH's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Canton-Massillon, OH metro area voted in presidential elections?”

Automated Readout

Key Insights

High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.

Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 24.2% margin
The 2012 election was decided by just 0.5 points — razor-thin
Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2008, Republicans in 2024

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Canton-Massillon, OHCensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 84.5%Black 6.7%Multiracial 4.9%Hispanic 2.9%Asian 0.8%

Group	Canton-Massillon, OH	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	84.5%	57.4%
▶Black / African American(9)	6.7%	12.2%
Multiracial / Other	4.9%	4.0%
▶Hispanic / Latino(17)	2.9%	19.3%
▶Asian(6)	0.8%	6.0%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(9)	0.5%	0.9%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1)	0.1%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

46.8%(187.2K people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: -25.7pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Evangelical Protestant	22.3%	47.7%	—	—
Catholic	12.4%	26.5%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	8.3%	17.9%	—	—
Black Protestant	1.6%	3.4%	—	—
Other	1.4%	2.9%	—	—
Orthodox Christian	0.7%	1.6%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	0.4%	0.8%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	53.2%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Who lives in the Canton-Massillon, OH metro area? 400,372 residents across 2 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

Canton-Massillon, OH vs National400K residents

25% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 8pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+3 on average nationally.

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

400K

local

400KNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.12%

local

0.12%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

76.5%

local

76.5%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$67,726

local

$67,726National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

12.5%

local

12.5%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

25.3%

local

25.3%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

69.9%

local

69.9%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

42.1 yrs

local

42.1 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

14.1%

local

14.1%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

20.6%

local

20.6%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

2.0%

local

2.0%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

3.3%

local

3.3%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

96.7%

local

96.7%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Canton-Massillon, OH

Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.

2024 Turnout

64.6%

vs Previous

-2.0pp

Voting-Age Pop

306,484

History

1988–2024

Competitiveness

How competitive is Canton-Massillon, OH?

Safe RAvg margin: R+21.4 (last 3 elections)

2008

D+4.7

2012

R+0.5

2016

R+18.9

2020

R+20.9

2024

R+24.2

Elasticity

29.0pp

margin range

Party Flips

last 30 years

5-Elec Avg

R+12.0

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Canton-Massillon, OH split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyHeavy splitting (15/100)

2024 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
President vs Senate	R+24.2	R+15.3	8.9pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 15.0pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Canton-Massillon, OH sits inside these higher-level geographies.

Ohio(State)

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