Urban Honolulu, HI
Safe Democratic — shifted 5.2pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 1.0M residents — 1 counties
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 17.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(18) | 9.4% |
▶Black / African American(12) | 2.4% |
▶Asian(6) | 42.2% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10) | 0.3% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3) | 0.2% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(7) | 9.6% |
Multiracial / Other | 19.1% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 18.2% | 46.7% |
| Other | 10.0% | 25.6% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 8.3% | 21.2% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 4.2% | 10.7% |
| Mainline Protestant | 2.3% | 5.9% |
| Black Protestant | 0.2% | 0.6% |
| Non-religious | 60.9% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris+21.7 |
| 2020 | Biden+26.9 |
| 2016 | Clinton+29.9 |
| 2012 | Obama+39.1 |
| 2008 | Obama+41.1 |
| 2004 | Kerry+2.8 |
| 2000 | Gore+15.0 |
| 1996 | Clinton+22.7 |
| 1992 | Clinton+7.5 |
Urban Honolulu, HI is a metro area that has a population of 1,001,146. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+21.7. Akashic Edge tracks 17 presidential elections here, dating back to 1960.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 59.9% | 38.3% | D+21.7 | R+5.2 |
| 2020 | 62.5% | 35.7% | D+26.9 | R+3.0 |
| 2016 | 61.5% | 31.6% | D+29.9 | R+9.2 |
| 2012 | 68.9% | 29.8% | D+39.1 | R+2.0 |
| 2008 | 69.8% | 28.7% | D+41.1 | D+38.3 |
| 2004 | 51.1% | 48.3% | D+2.8 | R+12.2 |
| 2000 | 54.5% | 39.6% | D+15.0 | R+7.8 |
| 1996 | 56.3% | 33.6% | D+22.7 | D+15.2 |
| 1992 | 46.6% | 39.1% | D+7.5 | D+0.4 |
| 1988 | 53.1% | 46.0% | D+7.2 | D+20.3 |
| 1984 | 42.9% | 56.1% | R+13.1 | R+11.8 |
| 1980 | 42.9% | 44.3% | R+1.4 | R+2.9 |
| 1976 | 50.1% | 48.6% | D+1.5 | D+28.1 |
| 1972 | 36.7% | 63.3% | R+26.6 | R+46.9 |
| 1968 | 59.4% | 39.1% | D+20.2 | R+36.6 |
| 1964 | 78.4% | 21.6% | D+56.8 | D+54.3 |
| 1960 | 51.3% | 48.7% | D+2.5 | — |
What defines Urban Honolulu, HI?
Urban Honolulu, HI has been trending Republican — 17pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a majority-minority electorate where racial demographics are the primary driver of partisan lean.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Counties in Urban Honolulu, HI
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Honolulu | 1.0M | D+21.6 | 204,301 | 130,489 | 340,921 | 100.0% |
Ask the Historian
Key Insights
- Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Democratic landslide with a 21.7% margin
- Shifted 17.4 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections
Who Lives Here
| Group | Urban Honolulu, HI | National |
|---|---|---|
▶Asian(6) | 42.2% | 6.0% |
Multiracial / Other | 19.1% | 4.0% |
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 17.2% | 57.4% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(7) | 9.6% | 0.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(18) | 9.4% | 19.3% |
▶Black / African American(12) | 2.4% | 12.2% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10) | 0.3% | 0.9% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3) | 0.2% | 0.9% |
Religious Adherents
Catholic-Evangelical edge: +21.0pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18.2% | 46.7% | — | — | |
| 10.0% | 25.6% | — | — | |
| 8.3% | 21.2% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 4.2% | 10.7% | — | — |
| 2.3% | 5.9% | — | — | |
| 0.2% | 0.6% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 60.9% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Urban Honolulu, HI metro area? 1,001,146 residents across 1 counties.
Demographics
38% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 5pp above the national average. Places with similar education levels vote D+8 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in Urban Honolulu, HI
How competitive is Urban Honolulu, HI?
Do voters in Urban Honolulu, HI split their tickets?
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | D+21.7 | D+29.5 | 7.9pp |