How did Deming, NM vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Deming, NM voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+18.9. Kamala D Harris received 3,176 votes and Donald Trump received 4,698 out of 8,056 total votes cast, a 8.5-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is Deming, NM's political history?

Deming, NM has 29 presidential elections on record, spanning 1912 to 2024. Democrats have won 14 and Republicans 15 of those contests. The largest single-election swing was 56.0 points in 1932.

What are the demographics of Deming, NM?

Deming, NM has a population of 25,611 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 28.3% non-Hispanic white, 67.1% Hispanic, 1.5% Black. About 15% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $36,419.

Which places are most similar to Deming, NM?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar metro areas to Deming, NM are Rio Grande City-Roma, TX, Roswell, NM, Zapata, TX. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Deming, NM

Latest: 2024↓ R+8.5 vs 2020

Safe Republican — shifted 8.5pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 26K residents — 1 counties

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Presidential margin · 2008 → 2024

Full history

2008
D+5.3
Obama
2012
R+1.2
Romney
2016
R+3.9
Trump
2020
R+10.4
Trump
2024
R+18.9
Trump

Who lives here

Full breakdown

Hispanic67.1%
White28.3%
Black1.5%

Economy & age

Population: 26K
Median age: 36.3; −2.8pp vs U.S.
Median income: $36K; −$48K vs U.S.
College+: 15%; −21.0pp vs U.S.

Faith & language

Full detail

Catholic39.7%
Evangelical13.2%

48% English only52% Non-English

Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer

Similarity Explorer

Similar metro areas

Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.

8 visible matches

Rio Grande City-Roma, TX

Diverse rural competitive

Diverse rural competitive

R+22.4

Similarity score94%

Uvalde, TX

Diverse rural competitive

R+33.4

Similarity score92%

Yuma, AZ

Diverse rural competitive

R+20.4

Similarity score92%

Eagle Pass, TX

Diverse rural competitive

R+18.5

Similarity score91%

Brownsville-Harlingen, TX

Diverse rural competitive

R+5.8

Similarity score91%

Nogales, AZ

Diverse rural competitive

D+18.6

Similarity score91%

Constituent Geography

Counties in Deming, NM

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Luna	26K	R+18.9	3,176	4,698	8,056	100.0%

1 countiesTotal votes: 8,056

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Deming, NM's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Deming, NM metro area voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Deming, NMCensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

Hispanic 67.1%White (Non-Hispanic) 28.3%Black 1.5%Native American 1.3%Asian 1.1%Multiracial 0.5%

Group	Deming, NM	National
▶Hispanic / Latino(7)	67.1%	19.3%
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	28.3%	57.4%
▶Black / African American(2)	1.5%	12.2%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2)	1.3%	0.9%
▶Asian(3)	1.1%	6.0%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(5)	0.7%	0.9%
Multiracial / Other	0.5%	4.0%
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(1)	0.1%	0.2%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

63.8%(16.3K people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: +37.0pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.

Ecological pattern — how to read this

Reflects patterns in counties where this religious tradition concentrates — not a claim about individual voters.

Values are derived by joining Religion Census 2020 (U.S. Religion Data Archive) with certified election results at the county level. That means we know what counties with more or fewer of this group did — not how any individual voted.

This is known as ecological inference. It is a valid way to surface geographic correlation but must not be read as a personal-vote claim about anyone in the group.

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Catholic	39.7%	62.1%	—	—
Evangelical Protestant	13.2%	20.6%	—	—
Other	8.1%	12.7%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	5.3%	8.2%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	2.5%	3.9%	—	—
Black Protestant	0.4%	0.6%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	36.2%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Explore Catholic adherence nationally

Who lives in the Deming, NM metro area? 25,611 residents across 1 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

Deming, NM vs National26K residents

15% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 18pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+28 on average nationally.

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

26K

local

26KNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.01%

local

0.01%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

72.2%

local

72.2%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$36,419

local

$36,419National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

28.6%

local

28.6%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

14.6%

local

14.6%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

70.9%

local

70.9%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

36.3 yrs

local

36.3 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

16.1%

local

16.1%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

20.8%

local

20.8%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

16.2%

local

16.2%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

52.1%

local

52.1%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

47.9%

local

47.9%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Deming, NM

Turnout % = votes cast ÷ citizen voting-age population (CVAP). Source: CVAP Special Tab 2020-2024.

2024 Turnout

48.2%

vs Previous

-0.2pp

Eligible Non-Voters

9K · 51.8%

Citizen VAP

16,725

History

1988–2024

Competitiveness

How competitive is Deming, NM?

Likely RAvg margin: R+11.1 (last 3 elections)

2008

D+5.3

2012

R+1.2

2016

R+3.9

2020

R+10.4

2024

R+18.9

Elasticity

24.2pp

margin range

Party Flips

last 30 years

5-Elec Avg

R+5.8

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Deming, NM split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyHeavy splitting (6/100)

2024 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
President vs Senate	R+18.9	R+8.5	10.4pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 16.3pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Deming, NM sits inside these higher-level geographies.

New Mexico(State)

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