How did Lebanon-Claremont, NH-VT vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Lebanon-Claremont, NH-VT voted Democratic in 2024 with a margin of D+20.0. Kamala D Harris received 78,099 votes and Donald Trump received 51,534 out of 133,077 total votes cast, a 4.4-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is Lebanon-Claremont, NH-VT's political history?

Lebanon-Claremont, NH-VT has 40 presidential elections on record, spanning 1868 to 2024. It has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 1992. The largest single-election swing was 56.4 points in 1964.

What are the demographics of Lebanon-Claremont, NH-VT?

Lebanon-Claremont, NH-VT has a population of 223,586 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 90.2% non-Hispanic white, 2.4% Hispanic. About 41% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $83,143.

Which places are most similar to Lebanon-Claremont, NH-VT?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar metro areas to Lebanon-Claremont, NH-VT are Duluth, MN-WI, La Crosse-Onalaska, WI-MN, Davenport-Moline-Rock Island, IA-IL. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Lebanon-Claremont, NH-VT

Latest: 2024↓ R+4.4 vs 2020

Safe Democratic — shifted 4.4pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 224K residents — 4 counties

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Race & ancestry

Group	%
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	90.2%
▶Hispanic / Latino(18)	2.4%
▶Black / African American(11)	0.8%
▶Asian(6)	1.9%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10)	0.5%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2)	0.2%
Multiracial / Other	4.6%

View full demographics →

Religious adherence

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents
Catholic	10.5%	45.1%
Mainline Protestant	6.3%	27.1%
Evangelical Protestant	3.9%	16.9%
Other	2.4%	10.5%
LDS (Mormon)	1.0%	4.4%
Non-religious	76.8%	—

View full religion →

Presidential results

Year	Result
2024	Harris+20.0
2020	Biden+24.4
2016	Clinton+17.2
2012	Obama+26.3
2008	Obama+29.4
2004	Kerry+14.0
2000	Gore+2.4
1996	Clinton+15.1
1992	Clinton+10.2

View full election history →

Lebanon-Claremont, NH-VT is a metro area that has a population of 223,586. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+20.0. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.

Lebanon-Claremont, NH-VT Presidential Election Results, 1948–2024
Year	Dem %	Rep %	Margin	Swing
2024	58.7%	38.7%	D+20.0	R+4.4
2020	61.0%	36.6%	D+24.4	D+7.2
2016	53.9%	36.7%	D+17.2	R+9.1
2012	62.1%	35.8%	D+26.3	R+3.1
2008	63.8%	34.4%	D+29.4	D+15.4
2004	56.2%	42.2%	D+14.0	D+11.6
2000	47.8%	45.4%	D+2.4	R+12.7
1996	51.0%	35.9%	D+15.1	D+4.8
1992	44.4%	34.2%	D+10.2	D+24.5
1988	42.4%	56.7%	R+14.3	D+12.5
1984	36.2%	63.0%	R+26.8	R+7.0
1980	31.7%	51.5%	R+19.8	R+4.2
1976	41.2%	56.8%	R+15.6	D+13.2
1972	35.1%	63.9%	R+28.8	R+10.7
1968	39.1%	57.2%	R+18.1	R+46.2
1964	64.0%	36.0%	D+28.1	D+56.4
1960	35.9%	64.1%	R+28.3	D+21.7
1956	25.0%	75.0%	R+50.0	R+2.9
1952	26.4%	73.5%	R+47.1	R+15.4
1948	33.5%	65.3%	R+31.7	—

Political Identity

What defines Lebanon-Claremont, NH-VT?

It has a highly educated electorate (41% college-educated) — a demographic increasingly aligned with Democrats nationwide.

Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer

Similarity Explorer

Similar metro areas

Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.

8 visible matches

Duluth, MN-WI

Educated rural competitive 2

D+10.3

Similarity score95%

La Crosse-Onalaska, WI-MN

Educated rural competitive 2

D+3.6

Similarity score93%

Davenport-Moline-Rock Island, IA-IL

Educated rural competitive 2

R+3.1

Similarity score91%

Portland-South Portland, ME

Educated rural democratic

D+24.6

Similarity score91%

Jackson, WY-ID

Educated rural democratic

D+25.4

Similarity score88%

Barre, VT

Educated rural democratic

D+43.0

Similarity score88%

Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI

Educated rural competitive 2

D+16.8

Similarity score88%

Brattleboro, VT

Educated rural democratic

D+42.3

Similarity score87%

Constituent Geography

Counties in Lebanon-Claremont, NH-VT

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Grafton	92K	D+19.8	32,993	21,909	55,895	42.0%
Windsor	58K	D+35.3	22,569	10,458	34,289	25.8%
Sullivan	44K	R+0.7	12,317	12,484	25,221	19.0%
Orange	30K	D+20.0	10,220	6,683	17,672	13.3%

4 countiesTotal votes: 133,077

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Lebanon-Claremont, NH-VT's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Lebanon-Claremont, NH-VT metro area voted in presidential elections?”

Automated Readout

Key Insights

High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.

Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
Split-ticket voting in 2024: Different parties won President and Governor
College attainment is 41% — 8pp above the national average. Similar education levels correlate with Democratic lean nationally

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Lebanon-Claremont, NH-VTCensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 90.2%Multiracial 4.6%Hispanic 2.4%Asian 1.9%Black 0.8%

Group	Local	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	90.2%	57.4%
Multiracial / Other	4.6%	4.0%
▶Hispanic / Latino(18)	2.4%	19.3%
▶Asian(6)	1.9%	6.0%
▶Black / African American(11)	0.8%	12.2%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10)	0.5%	0.9%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2)	0.2%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

23.2%(51.9K people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: +23.7pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Catholic	10.5%	45.1%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	6.3%	27.1%	—	—
Evangelical Protestant	3.9%	16.9%	—	—
Other	2.4%	10.5%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	1.0%	4.4%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	76.8%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Who lives in the Lebanon-Claremont, NH-VT metro area? 223,586 residents across 4 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

Lebanon-Claremont, NH-VT vs National224K residents

41% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 8pp above the national average. Places with similar education levels vote D+16 on average nationally.

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

224K

local

224KNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.07%

local

0.07%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

79.1%

local

79.1%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$83,143

local

$83,143National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

9.9%

local

9.9%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

41.4%

local

41.4%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

74.7%

local

74.7%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

45.9 yrs

local

45.9 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

14.4%

local

14.4%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

23.8%

local

23.8%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

3.8%

local

3.8%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

4.3%

local

4.3%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

95.7%

local

95.7%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Lebanon-Claremont, NH-VT

Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.

2024 Turnout

75.3%

vs Previous

+1.8pp

Voting-Age Pop

176,776

History

1988–2024

Competitiveness

How competitive is Lebanon-Claremont, NH-VT?

Safe DAvg margin: D+20.5 (last 3 elections)

2008

D+29.4

2012

D+26.3

2016

D+17.2

2020

D+24.4

2024

D+20.0

Elasticity

12.2pp

margin range

Party Flips

last 30 years

5-Elec Avg

D+23.5

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Lebanon-Claremont, NH-VT split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyHeavy splitting (0/100)

2024 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
Senate vs Governor	D+28.9	R+18.7	47.7pp
President vs Governor	D+20.0	R+18.7	38.7pp
President vs Senate	D+20.0	D+28.9	9.0pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 20.1pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Lebanon-Claremont, NH-VT sits inside these higher-level geographies.

New Hampshire(State)Vermont(State)

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