Springfield-Holyoke
Latest: 2024
Safe Democratic — shifted 7.5pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 696K residents — 3 counties
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 67.1% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(19) | 20.3% |
▶Black / African American(15) | 6.5% |
▶Asian(6) | 3.2% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(9) | 1.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.7% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 26.0% | 65.7% |
| Other | 4.6% | 11.8% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 4.4% | 11.1% |
| Mainline Protestant | 3.6% | 9.0% |
| Black Protestant | 0.6% | 1.5% |
| Orthodox Christian | 0.4% | 0.9% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.3% | 0.8% |
| Non-religious | 60.4% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris+20.8 |
| 2020 | Biden+28.3 |
| 2016 | Clinton+24.4 |
| 2012 | Obama+32.7 |
| 2008 | Obama+33.2 |
| 2004 | Kerry+29.4 |
| 2000 | Gore+24.7 |
| 1996 | Clinton+35.2 |
| 1992 | Clinton+21.1 |
Springfield-Holyoke is a media market that has a population of 695,787. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+20.8. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 59.0% | 38.2% | D+20.8 | R+7.5 |
| 2020 | 62.9% | 34.7% | D+28.3 | D+3.9 |
| 2016 | 57.5% | 33.1% | D+24.4 | R+8.3 |
| 2012 | 65.3% | 32.6% | D+32.7 | R+0.5 |
| 2008 | 65.3% | 32.1% | D+33.2 | D+3.8 |
| 2004 | 64.0% | 34.6% | D+29.4 | D+4.7 |
| 2000 | 57.1% | 32.4% | D+24.7 | R+10.6 |
| 1996 | 61.6% | 26.4% | D+35.2 | D+14.1 |
| 1992 | 48.0% | 26.9% | D+21.1 | D+5.0 |
| 1988 | 57.6% | 41.5% | D+16.1 | D+15.1 |
| 1984 | 50.3% | 49.3% | D+1.0 | R+4.0 |
| 1980 | 44.3% | 39.3% | D+5.0 | R+14.1 |
| 1976 | 57.8% | 38.7% | D+19.1 | D+15.8 |
| 1972 | 51.3% | 48.0% | D+3.3 | R+23.1 |
| 1968 | 60.3% | 33.9% | D+26.4 | R+21.4 |
| 1964 | 73.6% | 25.9% | D+47.8 | D+28.3 |
| 1960 | 59.6% | 40.1% | D+19.5 | D+37.1 |
| 1956 | 41.0% | 58.6% | R+17.6 | R+7.9 |
| 1952 | 45.0% | 54.7% | R+9.8 | R+18.2 |
| 1948 | 53.5% | 45.0% | D+8.5 | — |
What defines Springfield-Holyoke?
It has a racially mixed, moderately educated electorate — the suburban swing demographic that decides close elections.
Constituent Counties
Similar media markets
Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.
Providence-New Bedford
Educated rural competitive
SantaBarbra-SanMar-SanLuOb
Educated rural democratic
Eureka
Educated rural competitive
Rochester, NY
Educated rural competitive
Syracuse
Educated rural competitive
Tucson (Sierra Vista)
Educated rural competitive
Monterey-Salinas
Educated rural democratic
Madison
Educated rural competitive
Counties in Springfield-Holyoke
2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.
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Ask the Historian
Explore Springfield-Holyoke's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Democratic landslide with a 20.8% margin
- Swung 7.5 points toward Republican between 2020 and 2024
Who Lives Here
A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
| Group | Springfield-Holyoke | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 67.1% | 57.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(19) | 20.3% | 19.3% |
▶Black / African American(15) | 6.5% | 12.2% |
▶Asian(6) | 3.2% | 6.0% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.7% | 4.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(9) | 1.0% | 0.9% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.2% | 0.9% |
Method notes
Religious Adherents
Population that are religious adherents:
39.6%
Catholic-Evangelical edge: +50.2pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26.0% | 65.7% | — | — | |
| 4.6% | 11.8% | — | — | |
| 4.4% | 11.1% | — | — | |
| 3.6% | 9.0% | — | — | |
| 0.6% | 1.5% | — | — | |
| 0.4% | 0.9% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.3% | 0.8% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 60.4% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Springfield-Holyoke media market? 695,787 residents across 3 counties.
Demographics
Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
Population & electorate
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Total population
696K
Share of U.S. population
0.21%
Voting-age population
75.7%
Economic profile
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Median household income
$75,220
Poverty rate
14.7%
College degree
35.7%
Homeownership
64.4%
Community profile
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Median age
40.1 yrs
Age 18–29
18.7%
Age 65+
19.2%
Foreign born
8.8%
Non-English at home
20.6%
English only
79.4%
Turnout in Springfield-Holyoke
Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
63.7%
-2.4pp
526,846
1988–2024
How competitive is Springfield-Holyoke?
Safe DAvg margin: D+24.5 (last 3 elections)
2008
D+33.2
2012
D+32.7
2016
D+24.4
2020
D+28.3
2024
D+20.8
12.4pp
0
D+27.9
Do voters in Springfield-Holyoke split their tickets?
Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.
Heavy splitting (0/100)
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | D+20.8 | D+19.2 | 1.6pp |
Average divergence across office pairs: 23.3pp
Located In
Springfield-Holyoke sits inside these higher-level geographies.
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