Eugene
Latest: 2024
Leans Democratic — 657K residents — 4 counties
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 79.3% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(17) | 9.3% |
▶Black / African American(13) | 1.0% |
▶Asian(6) | 2.8% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(11) | 0.5% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(9) | 1.2% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(5) | 0.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 6.2% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 11.3% | 43.9% |
| Catholic | 6.5% | 25.2% |
| Other | 5.5% | 21.2% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 3.0% | 11.7% |
| Mainline Protestant | 2.2% | 8.5% |
| Black Protestant | 0.2% | 0.8% |
| Non-religious | 74.2% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris+10.5 |
| 2020 | Biden+11.5 |
| 2016 | Clinton+7.2 |
| 2012 | Obama+12.7 |
| 2008 | Obama+17.0 |
| 2004 | Kerry+6.0 |
| 2000 | Gore+0.2 |
| 1996 | Clinton+8.4 |
| 1992 | Clinton+13.8 |
Eugene is a media market that has a population of 657,409. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+10.5. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 53.4% | 42.9% | D+10.5 | R+1.0 |
| 2020 | 54.1% | 42.6% | D+11.5 | D+4.3 |
| 2016 | 48.1% | 40.9% | D+7.2 | R+5.5 |
| 2012 | 54.4% | 41.7% | D+12.7 | R+4.3 |
| 2008 | 57.0% | 40.0% | D+17.0 | D+11.0 |
| 2004 | 52.1% | 46.2% | D+6.0 | D+5.8 |
| 2000 | 46.4% | 46.2% | D+0.2 | R+8.2 |
| 1996 | 46.6% | 38.2% | D+8.4 | R+5.4 |
| 1992 | 44.6% | 30.8% | D+13.8 | D+1.6 |
| 1988 | 55.0% | 42.8% | D+12.2 | D+16.6 |
| 1984 | 47.6% | 52.0% | R+4.4 | D+2.7 |
| 1980 | 39.4% | 46.5% | R+7.1 | R+12.0 |
| 1976 | 49.9% | 44.9% | D+5.0 | D+11.3 |
| 1972 | 44.4% | 50.7% | R+6.3 | D+1.7 |
| 1968 | 41.7% | 49.7% | R+8.0 | R+40.4 |
| 1964 | 66.1% | 33.7% | D+32.4 | D+34.7 |
| 1960 | 48.8% | 51.0% | R+2.2 | D+8.1 |
| 1956 | 44.9% | 55.1% | R+10.3 | D+17.6 |
| 1952 | 35.8% | 63.7% | R+27.9 | R+12.6 |
| 1948 | 40.6% | 55.9% | R+15.3 | — |
What defines Eugene?
It has a moderately diverse, middle-class electorate where education levels and suburban growth shape the partisan balance.
Constituent Counties
Similar media markets
Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.
Eureka
Educated rural competitive
Rochester, NY
Educated rural competitive
Syracuse
Educated rural competitive
Madison
Educated rural competitive
Binghamton
Small-town rural republican 2
Lansing
Educated rural competitive
Springfield-Holyoke
Educated rural competitive
Tucson (Sierra Vista)
Educated rural competitive
Counties in Eugene
2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.
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Explore Eugene's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
- Turnout decreased by 3.4 percentage points since the previous presidential election
Who Lives Here
A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
| Group | Eugene | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 79.3% | 57.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(17) | 9.3% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 6.2% | 4.0% |
▶Asian(6) | 2.8% | 6.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(9) | 1.2% | 0.9% |
▶Black / African American(13) | 1.0% | 12.2% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(11) | 0.5% | 0.9% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(5) | 0.2% | 0.2% |
Method notes
Religious Adherents
Population that are religious adherents:
25.8%
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -23.2pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.3% | 43.9% | — | — | |
| 6.5% | 25.2% | — | — | |
| 5.5% | 21.2% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 3.0% | 11.7% | — | — |
| 2.2% | 8.5% | — | — | |
| 0.2% | 0.8% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 74.2% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Eugene media market? 657,409 residents across 4 counties.
Demographics
Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
Population & electorate
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Total population
657K
Share of U.S. population
0.20%
Voting-age population
79.5%
Economic profile
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Median household income
$69,658
Poverty rate
16.0%
College degree
33.4%
Homeownership
62.8%
Community profile
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Median age
41.3 yrs
Age 18–29
18.7%
Age 65+
22.1%
Foreign born
5.5%
Non-English at home
8.3%
English only
91.7%
Turnout in Eugene
Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
68.7%
-3.4pp
522,436
1988–2024
How competitive is Eugene?
Lean DAvg margin: D+9.7 (last 3 elections)
2008
D+17.0
2012
D+12.7
2016
D+7.2
2020
D+11.5
2024
D+10.5
9.8pp
0
D+11.8
Do voters in Eugene split their tickets?
Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.
Heavy splitting (43/100)
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senate vs Governor | D+12.5 | D+0.6 | 11.9pp |
Average divergence across office pairs: 11.1pp
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