Raymondville, TX
Competitive — shifted 15.3pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 20K residents — 1 counties
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(11) | 9.8% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(4) | 87.3% |
▶Black / African American(3) | 1.5% |
▶Asian(1) | 0.2% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 0.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 1.1% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 13.2% | 57.5% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 5.2% | 22.7% |
| Mainline Protestant | 2.5% | 11.0% |
| Other | 2.0% | 8.8% |
| Non-religious | 77.0% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+3.3 |
| 2020 | Biden+12.0 |
| 2016 | Clinton+36.8 |
| 2012 | Obama+43.1 |
| 2008 | Obama+39.8 |
| 2004 | Kerry+10.6 |
| 2000 | Gore+28.2 |
| 1996 | Clinton+45.4 |
| 1992 | Clinton+33.9 |
Raymondville, TX is a metro area that has a population of 20,139. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+3.3. Akashic Edge tracks 29 presidential elections here, dating back to 1912.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 48.0% | 51.3% | R+3.3 | R+15.3 |
| 2020 | 56.0% | 44.0% | D+12.0 | R+24.8 |
| 2016 | 67.2% | 30.4% | D+36.8 | R+6.3 |
| 2012 | 71.1% | 28.0% | D+43.1 | D+3.3 |
| 2008 | 69.5% | 29.7% | D+39.8 | D+29.3 |
| 2004 | 55.1% | 44.5% | D+10.6 | R+17.6 |
| 2000 | 63.6% | 35.3% | D+28.2 | R+17.2 |
| 1996 | 70.0% | 24.6% | D+45.4 | D+11.5 |
| 1992 | 61.0% | 27.0% | D+33.9 | D+5.3 |
| 1988 | 64.1% | 35.4% | D+28.6 | D+15.7 |
| 1984 | 56.3% | 43.4% | D+12.9 | R+7.7 |
| 1980 | 59.7% | 39.1% | D+20.6 | R+11.0 |
| 1976 | 65.5% | 33.8% | D+31.6 | D+56.7 |
| 1972 | 37.1% | 62.1% | R+25.0 | R+43.9 |
| 1968 | 53.1% | 34.2% | D+18.9 | R+8.3 |
| 1964 | 63.5% | 36.3% | D+27.2 | D+5.9 |
| 1960 | 60.5% | 39.2% | D+21.3 | D+34.7 |
| 1956 | 42.8% | 56.2% | R+13.4 | D+12.3 |
| 1952 | 37.0% | 62.8% | R+25.7 | R+49.8 |
| 1948 | 59.2% | 35.1% | D+24.1 | — |
What defines Raymondville, TX?
Raymondville, TX has been trending Republican — 46pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a majority-minority electorate where racial demographics are the primary driver of partisan lean.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Counties in Raymondville, TX
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Willacy | 20K | R+3.3 | 2,673 | 2,856 | 5,563 | 100.0% |
Ask the Historian
Key Insights
- Swung 15.3 points toward Republican between 2020 and 2024
- Split-ticket voting in 2024: Different parties won President and Senate
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2020, Republicans in 2024
Who Lives Here
| Group | Raymondville, TX | National |
|---|---|---|
▶Hispanic / Latino(4) | 87.3% | 19.3% |
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(11) | 9.8% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(3) | 1.5% | 12.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 1.1% | 4.0% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 0.2% | 0.9% |
▶Asian(1) | 0.2% | 6.0% |
Religious Adherents
Catholic-Evangelical edge: +30.4pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13.2% | 57.5% | — | — | |
| 5.2% | 22.7% | — | — | |
| 2.5% | 11.0% | — | — | |
| 2.0% | 8.8% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 77.0% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Raymondville, TX metro area? 20,139 residents across 1 counties.
Demographics
14% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 19pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+28 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in Raymondville, TX
How competitive is Raymondville, TX?
Do voters in Raymondville, TX split their tickets?
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+3.3 | D+9.7 | 13.0pp |