Eagle Pass, TX
Safe Republican — shifted 27.9pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 58K residents — 1 counties
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(8) | 2.9% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(8) | 94.8% |
▶Black / African American(1) | 0.2% |
▶Asian(5) | 0.5% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 1.7% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(1) | 0.1% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 64.3% | 83.6% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 5.9% | 7.7% |
| Other | 3.7% | 4.8% |
| Black Protestant | 2.1% | 2.7% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.6% | 2.0% |
| Mainline Protestant | 0.9% | 1.2% |
| Non-religious | 23.1% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+18.5 |
| 2020 | Biden+9.5 |
| 2016 | Clinton+55.8 |
| 2012 | Obama+58.1 |
| 2008 | Obama+57.0 |
| 2004 | Kerry+19.2 |
| 2000 | Gore+30.9 |
| 1996 | Clinton+64.6 |
| 1992 | Clinton+34.6 |
Eagle Pass, TX is a metro area that has a population of 58,082. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+18.5. Akashic Edge tracks 39 presidential elections here, dating back to 1872.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 40.5% | 59.0% | R+18.5 | R+27.9 |
| 2020 | 54.3% | 44.8% | D+9.5 | R+46.3 |
| 2016 | 76.5% | 20.7% | D+55.8 | R+2.3 |
| 2012 | 78.6% | 20.6% | D+58.1 | D+1.0 |
| 2008 | 78.2% | 21.2% | D+57.0 | D+37.9 |
| 2004 | 59.3% | 40.1% | D+19.2 | R+11.7 |
| 2000 | 65.0% | 34.1% | D+30.9 | R+33.7 |
| 1996 | 80.6% | 15.9% | D+64.6 | D+30.1 |
| 1992 | 61.9% | 27.3% | D+34.6 | R+12.1 |
| 1988 | 73.2% | 26.5% | D+46.7 | D+20.4 |
| 1984 | 63.0% | 36.7% | D+26.3 | R+9.4 |
| 1980 | 67.1% | 31.4% | D+35.8 | R+14.6 |
| 1976 | 74.7% | 24.3% | D+50.4 | D+43.1 |
| 1972 | 53.5% | 46.2% | D+7.3 | R+24.6 |
| 1968 | 62.6% | 30.8% | D+31.9 | R+27.0 |
| 1964 | 79.4% | 20.5% | D+58.9 | D+18.8 |
| 1960 | 70.0% | 29.9% | D+40.2 | D+33.8 |
| 1956 | 52.6% | 46.2% | D+6.3 | R+0.5 |
| 1952 | 53.4% | 46.6% | D+6.8 | R+35.9 |
| 1948 | 69.9% | 27.2% | D+42.8 | — |
What defines Eagle Pass, TX?
Eagle Pass, TX has been trending Republican — 77pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a majority-minority electorate where racial demographics are the primary driver of partisan lean.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Counties in Eagle Pass, TX
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maverick | 58K | R+18.5 | 6,373 | 9,285 | 15,745 | 100.0% |
Ask the Historian
Key Insights
- Swung 27.9 points toward Republican between 2020 and 2024
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2020, Republicans in 2024
- Shifted 76.5 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections
Who Lives Here
| Group | Eagle Pass, TX | National |
|---|---|---|
▶Hispanic / Latino(8) | 94.8% | 19.3% |
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(8) | 2.9% | 57.4% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 1.7% | 0.9% |
▶Asian(5) | 0.5% | 6.0% |
▶Black / African American(1) | 0.2% | 12.2% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(1) | 0.1% | 0.2% |
Religious Adherents
Catholic-Evangelical edge: +71.4pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 64.3% | 83.6% | — | — | |
| 5.9% | 7.7% | — | — | |
| 3.7% | 4.8% | — | — | |
| 2.1% | 2.7% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 1.6% | 2.0% | — | — |
| 0.9% | 1.2% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 23.1% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Eagle Pass, TX metro area? 58,082 residents across 1 counties.
Demographics
14% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 19pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+28 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in Eagle Pass, TX
How competitive is Eagle Pass, TX?
Do voters in Eagle Pass, TX split their tickets?
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+18.5 | R+2.9 | 15.6pp |