Zapata, TX
Safe Republican — shifted 17.1pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 14K residents — 1 counties
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(9) | 4.8% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(7) | 93.9% |
▶Black / African American(1) | 0.1% |
▶Asian(1) | 0.6% |
Multiracial / Other | 0.5% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 55.2% | 84.5% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 5.8% | 8.8% |
| Other | 3.9% | 6.0% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 2.4% | 3.6% |
| Mainline Protestant | 0.4% | 0.6% |
| Non-religious | 34.7% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+22.4 |
| 2020 | Trump+5.3 |
| 2016 | Clinton+32.9 |
| 2012 | Obama+43.2 |
| 2008 | Obama+35.6 |
| 2004 | Kerry+15.0 |
| 2000 | Gore+26.2 |
| 1996 | Clinton+51.6 |
| 1992 | Clinton+36.5 |
Zapata, TX is a metro area that has a population of 13,841. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+22.4. Akashic Edge tracks 39 presidential elections here, dating back to 1872.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 38.5% | 61.0% | R+22.4 | R+17.1 |
| 2020 | 47.1% | 52.5% | R+5.3 | R+38.3 |
| 2016 | 65.7% | 32.7% | D+32.9 | R+10.3 |
| 2012 | 71.3% | 28.1% | D+43.2 | D+7.6 |
| 2008 | 67.7% | 32.1% | D+35.6 | D+20.6 |
| 2004 | 57.3% | 42.4% | D+15.0 | R+11.2 |
| 2000 | 62.6% | 36.4% | D+26.2 | R+25.4 |
| 1996 | 72.9% | 21.3% | D+51.6 | D+15.1 |
| 1992 | 63.2% | 26.7% | D+36.5 | R+2.2 |
| 1988 | 69.3% | 30.6% | D+38.7 | D+25.7 |
| 1984 | 56.3% | 43.3% | D+13.0 | R+3.2 |
| 1980 | 57.2% | 41.0% | D+16.1 | R+28.7 |
| 1976 | 72.3% | 27.5% | D+44.8 | D+39.8 |
| 1972 | 52.5% | 47.5% | D+5.0 | R+49.3 |
| 1968 | 75.0% | 20.7% | D+54.3 | R+21.9 |
| 1964 | 88.0% | 11.8% | D+76.2 | D+31.8 |
| 1960 | 72.2% | 27.8% | D+44.4 | D+28.0 |
| 1956 | 58.1% | 41.8% | D+16.3 | D+8.5 |
| 1952 | 53.9% | 46.0% | D+7.9 | R+12.9 |
| 1948 | 60.4% | 39.5% | D+20.8 | — |
What defines Zapata, TX?
Zapata, TX has been trending Republican — 66pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a majority-minority electorate where racial demographics are the primary driver of partisan lean.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Counties in Zapata, TX
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zapata | 14K | R+22.4 | 1,877 | 2,970 | 4,871 | 100.0% |
Ask the Historian
Key Insights
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 22.4% margin
- Swung 17.1 points toward Republican between 2020 and 2024
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2016, Republicans in 2024
Who Lives Here
| Group | Zapata, TX | National |
|---|---|---|
▶Hispanic / Latino(7) | 93.9% | 19.3% |
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(9) | 4.8% | 57.4% |
▶Asian(1) | 0.6% | 6.0% |
Multiracial / Other | 0.5% | 4.0% |
▶Black / African American(1) | 0.1% | 12.2% |
Religious Adherents
Catholic-Evangelical edge: +71.2pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 55.2% | 84.5% | — | — | |
| 5.8% | 8.8% | — | — | |
| 3.9% | 6.0% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 2.4% | 3.6% | — | — |
| 0.4% | 0.6% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 34.7% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Zapata, TX metro area? 13,841 residents across 1 counties.
Demographics
15% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 18pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+22 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in Zapata, TX
How competitive is Zapata, TX?
Do voters in Zapata, TX split their tickets?
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+22.4 | R+5.6 | 16.8pp |