Rio Grande City-Roma, TX
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — shifted 21.0pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 66K residents — 1 counties
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(9) | 2.3% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(11) | 97.2% |
▶Black / African American(2) | 0.4% |
▶Asian(2) | 0.1% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.1% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 76.8% | 91.2% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 3.8% | 4.5% |
| Other | 3.2% | 3.8% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.4% | 1.6% |
| Mainline Protestant | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Non-religious | 15.8% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+16.0 |
| 2020 | Biden+5.0 |
| 2016 | Clinton+60.2 |
| 2012 | Obama+73.3 |
| 2008 | Obama+69.3 |
| 2004 | Kerry+47.5 |
| 2000 | Gore+54.3 |
| 1996 | Clinton+76.5 |
| 1992 | Clinton+69.7 |
Rio Grande City-Roma, TX is a metro area that has a population of 66,067. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+16.0. Akashic Edge tracks 39 presidential elections here, dating back to 1872.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 41.8% | 57.8% | R+16.0 | R+21.0 |
| 2020 | 52.1% | 47.1% | D+5.0 | R+55.2 |
| 2016 | 79.1% | 18.9% | D+60.2 | R+13.1 |
| 2012 | 86.3% | 13.0% | D+73.3 | D+4.1 |
| 2008 | 84.5% | 15.2% | D+69.3 | D+21.8 |
| 2004 | 73.6% | 26.1% | D+47.5 | R+6.8 |
| 2000 | 76.9% | 22.6% | D+54.3 | R+22.3 |
| 1996 | 86.9% | 10.4% | D+76.5 | D+6.8 |
| 1992 | 82.8% | 13.1% | D+69.7 | R+0.2 |
| 1988 | 84.7% | 14.8% | D+69.9 | D+19.4 |
| 1984 | 75.2% | 24.7% | D+50.5 | R+3.8 |
| 1980 | 76.5% | 22.2% | D+54.3 | R+20.5 |
| 1976 | 87.2% | 12.5% | D+74.8 | D+58.5 |
| 1972 | 58.1% | 41.8% | D+16.3 | R+31.2 |
| 1968 | 73.1% | 25.6% | D+47.5 | R+23.8 |
| 1964 | 85.5% | 14.3% | D+71.2 | R+15.8 |
| 1960 | 93.5% | 6.5% | D+87.0 | D+20.4 |
| 1956 | 83.3% | 16.7% | D+66.6 | D+0.3 |
| 1952 | 83.1% | 16.9% | D+66.3 | R+16.8 |
| 1948 | 91.2% | 8.2% | D+83.0 | — |
What defines Rio Grande City-Roma, TX?
Rio Grande City-Roma, TX has been trending Republican — 89pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a majority-minority electorate where racial demographics are the primary driver of partisan lean.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.
Eagle Pass, TX
Diverse rural competitive
Zapata, TX
Diverse rural competitive
McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX
Diverse rural competitive
Brownsville-Harlingen, TX
Diverse rural competitive
Laredo, TX
Diverse rural competitive
Raymondville, TX
Diverse rural competitive
Del Rio, TX
Diverse rural competitive
Uvalde, TX
Diverse rural competitive
Counties in Rio Grande City-Roma, TX
2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.
Sort:
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starr | 66K | R+16.0 | 6,862 | 9,487 | 16,421 | 100.0% |
1 countiesTotal votes: 16,421
Ask the Historian
Explore Rio Grande City-Roma, TX's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Swung 21.0 points toward Republican between 2020 and 2024
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2020, Republicans in 2024
- Shifted 89.3 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections
Who Lives Here
A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
| Group | Local | National |
|---|---|---|
▶Hispanic / Latino(11) | 97.2% | 19.3% |
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(9) | 2.3% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(2) | 0.4% | 12.2% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.1% | 0.9% |
▶Asian(2) | 0.1% | 6.0% |
Method notes
Religious Adherents
Population that are religious adherents:
84.2%
Catholic-Evangelical edge: +82.2pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76.8% | 91.2% | — | — | |
| 3.8% | 4.5% | — | — | |
| 3.2% | 3.8% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 1.4% | 1.6% | — | — |
| 0.4% | 0.4% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 15.8% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Rio Grande City-Roma, TX metro area? 66,067 residents across 1 counties.
Demographics
Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
14% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 19pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+28 on average nationally.
Population & electorate
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Total population
66K
Share of U.S. population
0.02%
Voting-age population
66.7%
Economic profile
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Median household income
$37,639
Poverty rate
33.5%
College degree
13.6%
Homeownership
69.5%
Community profile
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Median age
29.4 yrs
Age 18–29
18.5%
Age 65+
11.4%
Foreign born
27.2%
Non-English at home
91.2%
English only
8.8%
Turnout in Rio Grande City-Roma, TX
Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
37.3%
-2.5pp
44,076
1988–2024
How competitive is Rio Grande City-Roma, TX?
Safe DAvg margin: D+16.4 (last 3 elections)
2008
D+69.3
2012
D+73.3
2016
D+60.2
2020
D+5.0
2024
R+16.0
89.3pp
1
D+38.4
Do voters in Rio Grande City-Roma, TX split their tickets?
Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.
Moderate splitting (61/100)
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+16.0 | R+2.4 | 13.6pp |
Average divergence across office pairs: 8.3pp
Located In
Rio Grande City-Roma, TX sits inside these higher-level geographies.
Unlock Metro Area Analytics
Advance from the public dossier into precinct-level, insight-rich district intelligence.
Precinct data, Smart Insights, full history, and export controls tailored to place pages.
Precinct-Level Data
See results for every neighborhood and voting precinct
Smart Insights
Automated highlights from recent election patterns
Full Historical Access
165 years of election data at every level of geography
CSV Exports
Download any table or chart as a CSV file